{"id":42746,"date":"2025-07-21T11:54:45","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T18:54:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=42746"},"modified":"2025-07-21T11:54:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T18:54:45","slug":"zohran-mamdani-and-the-black-vote","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2025\/07\/21\/zohran-mamdani-and-the-black-vote\/","title":{"rendered":"Zohran Mamdani and the \u201cBlack Vote\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Mamdani struggled against Andrew Cuomo in majority-Black precincts \u2014 but his lackluster performance may not tell the whole story.Share<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/staff\/mychal-denzel-smith\/\">Mychal Denzel Smith<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>July 18 2025 (TheIntercept.com)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/GettyImages-2223808893.jpg?fit=6016%2C4016\" alt=\"MANHATTAN, NEW YORK, UNITED STATES - JULY 10: Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic nominee for New York City mayor, participate in an endorsement event with Congressman Adriano Espaillat at the United Palace Theater in Manhattan, New York, United States, on July 10, 2025. Zohran Mamdani blasted President Trump for threatening to &quot;denaturalize him&quot; and his threats at federally &quot;taking over&quot; New York City. (Photo by Kyle Mazza\/Anadolu via Getty Images)\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zohran Mamdani participates in an endorsement event in New York City on July 10, 2025.Photo: Kyle Mazza\/Anadolu via Getty Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Mychal Denzel Smith is the author of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mychaldenzelsmith.com\/books\/stakesishigh\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Stakes Is High: Life After the American Dream<\/a>, winner of the Kirkus Prize for Nonfiction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ZOHRAN MAMDANI\u2019S CAMPAIGN<\/strong>&nbsp;struggled to win \u201cthe Black vote.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That was part of the narrative that emerged after Mamdani\u2019s surprising win in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary. Though Mamdani, a state assemblymember, decisively triumphed over his chief opponent, disgraced former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, the young democratic socialist\u2019s performance in majority-Black precincts proved to be a weak spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mamdani\u2019s weak showing wouldn\u2019t be cause for much concern to his campaign if he were only running in the general against perennial Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa. In addition, however, Mamdani will be facing two erstwhile Democratic candidates: disgraced incumbent Mayor Eric Adams and, again, Cuomo. In past elections, they have both relied on Black voters as a crucial bloc of support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Mamdani\u2019s campaign could show us a different side of politics in New York.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Last month\u2019s results in some 15 percent of voting precincts with majority-Black populations, though, don\u2019t tell the whole story. Rather than being a race about a mythically monolithic \u201cBlack vote,\u201d Mamdani\u2019s campaign could show us a different side of politics in New York \u2014 one that speaks to Black voters based on their material needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Staying on message about affordability was Mamdani\u2019s route to victory in the primary, and it could hold the key in the general, too. If he can win over some Black voters \u2014 rather than the \u201cBlack vote\u201d \u2014 he may yet again shock political observers and land himself in the mayor\u2019s office. His foes, however, are already seizing on his primary performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MOST READ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/15\/ice-lawyers-hiding-names-court\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/15\/ice-lawyers-hiding-names-court\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/AP25171789764374-e1752594327578.jpg?w=440&amp;h=440&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"ICE agents are seen waiting outside a courtroom in the hallway of federal immigration court in Lower Manhattan, NY on Friday, June 20, 2025.\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/15\/ice-lawyers-hiding-names-court\/\">ICE Lawyers Are Hiding Their Names in Immigration Court<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/15\/ice-lawyers-hiding-names-court\/\">Debbie Nathan<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/16\/federal-troops-la-doing-nothing\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/16\/federal-troops-la-doing-nothing\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/GettyImages-2220432330_2e50d5-e1752609569478.jpg?w=440&amp;h=440&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 12: A protester holds a sign near Marines from the Marine Corps Air Ground Combat Center (MCAGCC) at Twentynine Palms, California as they guard the Wilshire Federal Building as Vice President JD Vance visits on June 12, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. Daily protests escalated after President Donald Trump authorized military forces to protect federal property against the wishes of city and state officials. A federal appeals court ruling yesterday allows for President Trump's ongoing deployment of around 4,000 National Guard members in Los Angeles which continues to see widespread immigration raids. (Photo by David McNew\/Getty Images)\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/16\/federal-troops-la-doing-nothing\/\">The Military Occupied LA for 40 Days and All They Did Was Detain One Guy<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/16\/federal-troops-la-doing-nothing\/\">Nick Turse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/19\/lone-soldiers-israel-gaza-idf\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/19\/lone-soldiers-israel-gaza-idf\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/IDF-lone-soldiers2.jpg?w=440&amp;h=440&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/19\/lone-soldiers-israel-gaza-idf\/\">U.S. Nonprofits Funnel Millions to Israeli Army Volunteers<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/19\/lone-soldiers-israel-gaza-idf\/\">Georgia Gee, Akela Lacy<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-younger-voters\">Younger Voters<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s true that Mamdani struggled with Black voters. Cuomo won more than half of the votes in majority-Black precincts, while Mamdani got about 34 percent. In those areas with more than 70 percent Black residents, Mamdani did even worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the general election, though, Mamdani stands a chance to perform relatively well among Black voters. With both Cuomo and Adams running, their historically strong numbers in Black precincts may be split: The most&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2025\/07\/09\/zohran-mamdani-leads-general-election-poll-00443469\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">recent polling<\/a>&nbsp;shows Cuomo with 32 percent support among Black voters, and Adams trailing with 14 percent. Mamdani currently leads with 35 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Either Adams or Cuomo could consolidate their Black support if the other drops out, but Mamdani\u2019s position speaks to something else that commentators almost never talk about.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is no singular \u201cBlack vote.\u201d Not even with the Democratic Party, and certainly not in New York City, where the Black population is a wildly diverse mix of native-born New Yorkers, transplants like me, immigrants from the entire diaspora, radicals, conservatives, queer people, church-goers, Muslims, and older and younger residents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The so-called Black vote, in other words, doesn\u2019t need to shake out the way it frequently has in the past; all indications are that it won\u2019t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mamdani is the candidate that has shown he can seize on young voter enthusiasm \u2014 and with young Black voters, themselves no monolith, offering Mamdani an opening. True, some of these younger voters are moving toward the Republican Party, but it\u2019s also true that young Black Democrats are more likely to hold more progressive views than their older counterparts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/11\/congress-outraged-ice-lies\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/11\/congress-outraged-ice-lies\/\">Related<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2025\/07\/11\/congress-outraged-ice-lies\/\">House Democrat Calls on Kristi Noem To Resign Over ICE Lies<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Indeed, young Black voters appear to have gone decisively for Mamdani in the primary. According to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1HbjHWNqstAk2Ztpjem6yf5QkvqbMB83oubYaA5yyRsI\/edit?gid=0#gid=0\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">one primary exit poll<\/a>&nbsp;(with a small sample size), about 70 percent of Black voters under 50 voted for Mamdani citywide. There\u2019s no reason to think he will lose that support in the general, and if he can continue to increase young Black voter turnout, he may not need the older ones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-latest-attack\"><strong>The Latest Attack<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This is something Mamdani\u2019s adversaries don\u2019t want to talk about \u2014&nbsp;which is why they\u2019re so insistent on boosting the narrative that he had a poor showing among Black voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shortly after Mamdani\u2019s primary victory, the first opposition research attack showed how his opponents plan to go after him: by seeking to diminish his support among Black New Yorkers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The salvo came in a recent New York Times report on Mamdani\u2019s 2009 application to Columbia University. The then-17-year-old had checked racial identification boxes for both \u201cAsian\u201d and \u201cAfrican American.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mamdani was born in Uganda, as was his father, an Indian Ugandan, and was raised there and in South Africa until coming to the United States when he was seven years old. He told the Times: \u201cMost college applications don\u2019t have a box for Indian-Ugandans, so I checked multiple boxes trying to capture the fullness of my background.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not much of a scandal: A college applicant with a background that does not neatly fit into U.S.-defined racial categories attempted to use those categories to accurately describe his identity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WE\u2019RE INDEPENDENT OF CORPORATE INTERESTS \u2014 AND POWERED BY MEMBERS. JOIN US.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/join.theintercept.com\/donate\/now\/?referrer_post_id=496006&amp;referrer_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheintercept.com%2F2025%2F07%2F18%2Fmamdani-black-vote-cuomo%2F&amp;source=web_intercept_20241230_Inline_Signup_Replacement\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BECOME A MEMBER<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The story was more remarkable for how it came to be: a hack of Columbia\u2019s records, intended to show that the school was still pursuing race-based affirmative action admissions. The information was then fed to the Times reporters through&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/politics\/2025\/07\/cremieux-jordan-lasker-mamdani-nyt-nazi-faliceer-reddit\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jordan Lasker<\/a>, who has supported eugenics, to whom the Times granted anonymity and described merely as \u201can academic who opposes affirmative action and writes often about I.Q. and race.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the end, checking the boxes didn\u2019t help Mamdani; he didn\u2019t get into Columbia, despite his father\u2019s professorship there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The attack is of a piece with the Democratic Party establishment\u2019s playbook for winning over Black voters. While some Democrats forgo actual policy talk and appeal to cultural signifiers \u2014 think of Bill Clinton playing the sax on The Arsenio Hall Show \u2014 others play up any real or imagined racial grievance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Adams campaign has already pursued this approach. In response to the Times story, it tried to paint Mamdani as a fraud \u2014 a fraud who attempted to personally benefit from the hard-won gains of Black political struggle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-s-actually-happening\"><strong>What\u2019s Actually Happening<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Mamdani has acknowledged this lack of enthusiasm among some Black voters and has noted that he must do more in terms of direct outreach. He has already appeared several times alongside Reverend Al Sharpton and is hitting the Black church circuit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mamdani, in other words, is seeking to build his support among those who typically constitute what we refer to as the \u201cBlack vote\u201d \u2014 frequently older, often church-going, and used to dealing with the Democratic establishment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Democratic leaders have for years courted the \u201cBlack vote\u201d with an old playbook. It includes a brand of retail politics where a select number of power brokers have served as intermediaries and representatives of the greater Black community \u2014 and often engage in a sort of transactional politics with the party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s notable about Mamdani\u2019s appeals to traditional Black stakeholders in New York politics is that he\u2019s not sticking to this playbook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And here, young Black voters have a chance to do some remaking of their own. What the last decade-plus of black-led movement politics has shown is a disdain among millennial and Gen Z Black people for this version of top-down political organizing \u2014 the media\u2019s attempts to brand figures like DeRay McKesson and Shaun King as new age leaders be damned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If young Black voters can play a deciding role in a Mamdani win come November, it may be a sign that the old playbook is no longer the only game in town. Politicians may have to do something they haven\u2019t considered for decades: treat Black voters like they are people with real, material interests \u2014 informed by their experience of race and racism in the U.S., but material interests nonetheless.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Mamdani\u2019s affordability program offers direct benefits to young black New Yorkers eking out a living.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>This is where Mamdani has been consistent from day one, focusing on issues of affordability: more direct government intervention in housing, transportation, childcare, and groceries. These are the \u201ckitchen table\u201d issues Democrats say they would like to focus on, though we have seen little of it. Instead, the party focuses on cultural appeals and fearmongering about public safety.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mamdani\u2019s affordability program, however, offers direct benefits to young Black New Yorkers eking out a living in a city of rising rents and depressed wages. If implemented, this agenda could make it easier for young Black New Yorkers to stay in the neighborhoods Black people have historically called home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rewriting the rules is never easy. The attack on Mamdani over his Columbia application appears not to have legs, but it will not be the last attempt. A concerted effort on the part of young Black voters to resist the tired old politics, as well as Mamdani\u2019s push to address their real concerns, may be enough to not only overcome the old guard, but spell its ultimate demise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mamdani struggled against Andrew Cuomo in majority-Black precincts \u2014 but his lackluster performance may not tell the whole story.Share Mychal Denzel Smith July 18 2025 (TheIntercept.com) Mychal Denzel Smith is the author of&nbsp;Stakes Is High: Life After the American Dream, winner of the Kirkus Prize for Nonfiction. ZOHRAN MAMDANI\u2019S CAMPAIGN&nbsp;struggled&#8230; <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2025\/07\/21\/zohran-mamdani-and-the-black-vote\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42746"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42746"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42747,"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42746\/revisions\/42747"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}