{"id":11337,"date":"2019-03-14T11:25:43","date_gmt":"2019-03-14T18:25:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=11337"},"modified":"2019-03-14T11:26:47","modified_gmt":"2019-03-14T18:26:47","slug":"why-bernie-sanders-thinks-he-can-win-california-this-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2019\/03\/14\/why-bernie-sanders-thinks-he-can-win-california-this-time\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Bernie Sanders thinks he can win California this time"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sfchronicle.com\/author\/joe-garofoli\/\" target=\"_blank\">Joe Garofoli<\/a> March 12, 2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.hdnux.com\/photos\/01\/01\/04\/71\/17059406\/7\/940x940.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., left, greets supporters at the Navy Pier in Chicago on March 3.Photo: Nam Y. Huh \/ Associated Press<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sen. Bernie Sanders isn\u2019t conceding California in the Democratic presidential primary race to home state Sen. Kamala Harris. Far from it. Top Sanders campaign officials say he\u2019s planning to have field offices and run commercials across the nation\u2019s most populous state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re going to have a robust campaign in California.\u201d said Ben Tulchin, Sanders\u2019 San Francisco-based pollster, adding that \u201cBernie is extremely well-positioned\u201d in California. \u201cIt will be a well-funded media and field campaign.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A lot has changed in Sanders\u2019 world since his 2016 presidential campaign, when he lost the California primary \u2014 and the Democratic nomination \u2014 to Hillary Clinton. The Vermont independent wasn\u2019t well known then outside his home territory, so his campaign was largely focused on introducing him to voters, particularly in Latino and African American communities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, Sanders is topping<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/president\/us\/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html\">\u00a0most polls among the \u201cannounced candidates\u201d \u2014<\/a>as in, not including former Vice President Joe Biden or former Texas Rep. Beto O\u2019Rourke. Roughly half his support comes from Latinos and African Americans,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/morningconsult.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/Political-Intelligence-3.5.19.pdf\">some surveys suggest<\/a>. Sanders\u2019 favorability rating among Latino voters is 59 percent,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/images\/polling\/ca\/ca02062019_cyvj58.pdf\/\">according to a recent poll\u00a0<\/a>\u2014 higher than the rest of the announced field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That has Sanders\u2019 campaign predicting he will do well in the early states with large numbers of Latinos, including California and Nevada. If Sanders can corral Millennial and independent voters as he did in 2016, \u201cwe think that\u2019s a winning coalition in California and beyond,\u201d Tulchin said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Combine that with the $10 million that Sanders raised in the week after he announced his 2020 campaign, and his top operatives feel they\u2019re in a much better position than last time to compete in big states like California.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ah, but it is so early in the campaign. Everybody\u2019s optimistic now. It\u2019s just like spring training predictions in baseball. Everybody\u2019s thinking World Series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s one sign that the Sanders campaign is far ahead of where it was the last time he ran for president. Then, pollster Tulchin wasn\u2019t hired until October 2015, just four months before the Iowa caucuses. Now, we\u2019re nearly a year away from the first voting, and Tulchin is already on the payroll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Joe Garofoli is The San Francisco Chronicle\u2019s senior political writer. Email:&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"mailto:jgarofoli@sfchronicle.com\"><em>jgarofoli@sfchronicle.com<\/em><\/a><em>&nbsp;Twitter:&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joegarofoli\"><em>@joegarofoli<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfchronicle.com\/author\/joe-garofoli\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.hdnux.com\/photos\/36\/07\/16\/7893898\/5\/square_medium.jpg\" alt=\"Photo of Joe Garofoli\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfchronicle.com\/author\/joe-garofoli\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Joe Garofoli<\/a><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Follow Joe on:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/SFChronicle\/\">https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/SFChronicle\/<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joegarofoli\">joegarofoli<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J<em>oe Garofoli is the San Francisco Chronicle\u2019s senior political writer, covering national and state politics. He has worked at The Chronicle since 2000 and in Bay Area journalism since 1992, when he left the Milwaukee Journal. He is the host of \u201cIt\u2019s All Political,\u201d The Chronicle\u2019s political podcast. Catch it here:&nbsp;<\/em><a><em>bit.ly\/2LSAUjA<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>He has won numerous awards and covered everything from fashion to the Jeffrey Dahmer serial killings to two Olympic Games to his own vasectomy \u2014 which he discussed on NPR\u2019s \u201cTalk of the Nation\u201d after being told he couldn\u2019t say the word \u201cballs\u201d on the air. He regularly appears on Bay Area radio and TV talking politics and is available to entertain at bar mitzvahs and First Communions. He is a graduate of Northwestern University and a proud native of Pittsburgh. Go Steelers!<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Joe Garofoli March 12, 2019 Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., left, greets supporters at the Navy Pier in Chicago on March 3.Photo: Nam Y. Huh \/ Associated Press Sen. Bernie Sanders isn\u2019t conceding California in the Democratic presidential primary race to home state Sen. Kamala Harris. Far from it. Top Sanders&#8230; <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2019\/03\/14\/why-bernie-sanders-thinks-he-can-win-california-this-time\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11337"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11337"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11337\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11339,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11337\/revisions\/11339"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11337"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11337"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11337"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}