{"id":27732,"date":"2023-08-03T13:01:25","date_gmt":"2023-08-03T20:01:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=27732"},"modified":"2023-08-03T13:01:27","modified_gmt":"2023-08-03T20:01:27","slug":"lots-of-housing-laws-not-much-housing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2023\/08\/03\/lots-of-housing-laws-not-much-housing\/","title":{"rendered":"Lots of housing laws. Not much housing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Hearing, data show how the state&#8217;s &#8216;streamlining&#8217; supply-side approach is failing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/author\/zelda-bronstein\/\"><\/a>By <a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/author\/zelda-bronstein\/\">ZELDA BRONSTEIN<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUGUST 1, 2023 (48hills.org)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the 1970s, apostles of growth have decried local control of land use as the evil that has to be stamped out if housing is ever to become abundant and broadly affordable. Today the gospel of market-oriented centralization has achieved hegemony\u2014embraced by the planning profession, many environmentalists, virtually the entire news media, numerous academics, and the denizens of neoliberal think tanks from coast (Berkeley\u2019s Terner Center) to coast (NYU\u2019s Furman Center).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most importantly, as documented by a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ternercenter.berkeley.edu\/research-and-policy\/state-pro-housing-law-typology\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">February report<\/a>&nbsp;from Terner and the Urban Institute, that doctrine has been read into state land use law across the country, with California leading the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So are the new laws working?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes and No.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In California, the state has effectively preempted local land-use prerogatives but failed to boost housing production or increase affordability. Despite mounting evidence of those failures, the state\u2019s legislators are doubling down on their preemptive, market-friendly course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"615\" src=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17-1024x615.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27736\" srcset=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17-1024x615.png 1024w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17-150x90.png 150w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17-768x461.png 768w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17-250x150.png 250w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17.png 1068w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Sen. Scott Wiener and Assemblymember Buffy Wicks talk about changes to CEQA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SB 9\u2019s paltry results<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>California\u2019s disappointing housing outcomes were heralded in mid-January by&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ternercenter.berkeley.edu\/research-and-policy\/sb-9-turns-one-applications\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Terner\u2019s report on the impact of SB 9<\/a>, Toni Atkins\u2019 controversial 2021 bill authorizing property owners to split a single-family-zoned lot and then build up to three homes on each of the two new parcels \u201cby right,\u201d that is, without a public hearing. The law conclusively eliminated zoning for single-family homes in the state. SB 9 took effect on January 1, 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A year later, Terner found that SB 9\u2019s impact had been \u201climited so far,\u201d with \u201csome of the state\u2019s largest cities report[ing] that they have received just a handful of applications for either lot splits or new units.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sponsored link<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Help us save local journalism!<\/a><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Every tax-deductible donation helps us grow to cover the issues that mean the most to our community. Become a 48 Hills Hero and support the only daily progressive news source in the Bay Area.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/about\/support-donate\/\">Learn more<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco had received four lot-split applications and approved two; and received 25 applications for SB 9 units and approved four.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Staff sugarcoat the bad news<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The news got worse on February 28, when the Senate Housing Committee and the Assembly Housing and Community Development Committee held a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/node\/21\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">joint oversight hearing<\/a>&nbsp;presided over by their respective chairs, Senator Scott Wiener and Assemblymember Buffy Wicks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/sites\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/files\/Background_Sen%20Asm%20Housing%20Hearing%20022823.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">background paper<\/a>&nbsp;prepared by the committees\u2019 staff, the goals of the hearing were \u201cto understand the recent actions taken by the state Legislature to increase housing production in the state, to ascertain their effectiveness, and to discuss further measures that will be necessary to address the housing crisis.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The staff paper recites the supply-side catechism. The crisis in California, \u201cwhere homeownership is out of reach to all but the most affluent, lower income households struggle to pay the rent, and homelessness is rampant,\u201d is due to a \u201clack of housing.\u201d At fault are the usual suspects\u2014\u201clocal permitting and zoning barriers [\u201cloosen the \u2018stranglehold\u2019 of single-family zoning,\u201d&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hanlonbt?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a favorite Yimby meme<\/a>], opposition to neighborhood change, segregation and exclusion, mounting construction costs, and a shortage of labor\u201d\u2014plus a culprit that\u2019s too rarely mentioned: \u201cThere have not been sufficient federal resources to build housing across the continuum in our state.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Would that the staffers had delved into that factor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The paper summarizes 74 housing bills that the state has enacted into law since 2017 and, curiously, one 2007 bill, Sen. Gilbert Cedillo\u2019s SB 2. It groups the statutes into the following categories: Housing Streamlining, i.e. removing local discretionary review and approval; Housing Element and RHNA [Regional Housing Needs Allocations] Reforms; Oversight and Accountability; Density Bonus Law; Entitlement Reforms and Public Land for Affordable Housing; Accessory Dwelling Units [ADUs] Missing Middle Housing; and Reducing Barriers to Housing Access.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though lengthy, the list is incomplete, as its authors acknowledge. A footnote to the Housing Streamlining Bills discussion states: \u201cThis list focuses on housing streamlining measures and is not an exhaustive list of CEQA [California Environmental Quality Act] exemptions available to specified housing developments (i.e., as the CEQA exemption for Homekey projects or infill developments).\u201d Most notably, the staffers left out SB 375, the groundbreaking 2008 statute that sought to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by knitting together housing and transportation policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They also omitted a crucial point: CEQA only applies to projects that require discretionary review and approval. Eliminate discretion, and you block action taken under CEQA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite these omissions, the legislative inventory is impressive. So, too, is the record of administrative activity entailed by the new laws. In the last seven years, California has:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014Increased the amount of land on which housing can be built within existing cities both by directly making it legal and by requiring local governments to increase development capacity via the RHNA process<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014Expedited and simplified the approval process at the pre-entitlement, entitlement, and post-entitlement phases, including creating multiple pathways for by right approvals for ADUs, deed-restricted affordable housing, and market-rate housing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014Substantially increase[d] the funding for development of affordable housing and simplified the process for applying for funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014Created and funded enforcement capacity of state housing laws at HCD [Department of Housing and Community Development]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014Established incentives to increase pay for construction workers, thereby creating a pathway to rebuild the construction workforce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What, then, has this legislative and administrative juggernaut accomplished on the ground?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The staffers\u2019 answer to that question is equivocal:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>These changes have started to bear fruit. For example, ADU construction has exponentially grown from a handful each year statewide to over 10,000. In the past two years, affordable housing development has approached 20,000 units per year, doubling previous totals. And the adoption of local Housing Elements around the state has required cities to rethink how much housing they permit, where it is allowed, and the process to get it entitled. Nevertheless, there is certainly much more to be done before housing production reaches the levels necessary to ameliorate our housing crisis.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Much more needs to be done indeed. As the paper states, the Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) currently estimates that \u201cCalifornia must plan for the development of more than 2.5 million homes over the next eight years,\u201d including a million homes for lower-income households. That works out to 312,500 units a year, of which 125,000 are affordable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/sites\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/files\/Background_Sen%20Asm%20Housing%20Hearing%20022823.pdf\">paper includes a bar chart<\/a>\u00a0that shows the number of permits issued for residential construction and construction type per year between 1980 and 2020, with permit issuance serving as a proxy for construction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"489\" src=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16-1024x489.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27735\" srcset=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16-1024x489.png 1024w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16-150x72.png 150w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16-768x367.png 768w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16-250x119.png 250w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png 1068w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The horizontal line across the top, at a little over 300,000, is misleading. It indicates the number of homes that, the state estimates, are needed to meet&nbsp;<em>current<\/em>&nbsp;statewide housing goals, not the goals for the entire 40-year period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What the chart does make clear is that residential construction never recovered from the 2008 crash. Set against the state\u2019s goal of 312,500 new homes a year, the permitting of 10,000 ADUs and nearly 20,000 affordable housing units is trivial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The staff paper doesn\u2019t consider that the gaping shortfalls might be due to basic flaws in the state\u2019s approach, nor does it recommend future actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hear no evil<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wiener and Wicks knew the numbers would be grim. Pointing to the meager production, especially the production of affordable housing, critics could question the effectiveness of the preemptive supply-side program at the very moment that legislators were starting to vet 2023 bills intended to expand it. The situation called for damage control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Accordingly, the hearing was staged as a rally that featured attacks on CEQA and shout-outs to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240SB423\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SB 423<\/a>, Wiener\u2019s amped-up version of his controversial 2017 bill, SB 35. The \u201cwitnesses\u201d who\u2019d been summoned to testify at the hearing all applauded the prior legislation and called for more of the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>About an hour and a half into the meeting, Wiener even took a swipe at Terner for having reported SB 9\u2019s dismal results. \u201cThe laws that we\u2019re talking about,\u201d pouted the senator,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>have been in effect somewhere between two months and maybe five years really\u2026.We spent 50 years driving the car into the ditch\u2026.The Terner Center analysis about SB 9\u2014great that that happened\u2014but super-premature to read a lot into that analysis for a law that\u2019s been in effect for 12 months.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The public rebuke of the Legislature\u2019s go-to housing consultant was startling\u2014and all the more so given that nobody at the hearing had mentioned the think tank\u2019s January 18 study. Wiener must have been brooding over it for weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Terner seems to have gotten the message. On April 11, it published \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/ternercenter.berkeley.edu\/research-and-policy\/california-housing-laws\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a review of California\u2019s recent housing legislation<\/a>\u201d with the proviso that \u201c[t]his brief..is not meant to be an evaluation of the effectiveness of these state laws\u201d but \u201c[r]ather\u2026is an effort to characterize the breadth and goals of recent legislation, and to assess practitioner experiences\u201d\u2014Terner had interviewed unnamed planners and land use lawyers\u2014\u201cwith using these laws to further housing production.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Terner\u2019s Metcalf: to see real progress, squint<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The legislators attended most closely to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/sites\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/files\/2.28.23%20Metcalf%20-%20Housing%20Informational%20Hearing%20Slides.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the testimony<\/a>&nbsp;of Terner Managing Director and former HCD Director Ben Metcalf, which opened the hearing. Like the committee staffers, Metcalf marked the \u201cstaggering\u201d spate of recent housing legislation. California, he said, has enacted \u201cmore [housing] legislation than we see in other states in the nation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first slide of his Power Point presentation provided an overview:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Since 2016, nearly 100 laws pertaining to housing have been passed and signed into law, collectively making over 275 changes to code sections (or creating new sections). State housing departments and agencies have promulgated hundreds of new guidelines, NOFAs [Notice of Funding Availability], regulations, and increased headcounts by unprecedented levels.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Another slide focused on affordability, stating that California \u201chas invested substantially in new affordable housing, roughly doubling the construction of affordable housing to about 20K a year\u2014through No Place Like Home (bonds funds), Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities (cap and trade), Permanent Local Housing Allocation (doc recording fee, SB 2), Multifamily Housing Program, Serna CalHome (budget), and HomeKey [conversion of hotels to housing].\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Under \u201cPlanning and Enforcement,\u201d Metcalf noted the \u201c[m]uch larger regional housing goals (SB 828\/AB 1771),\u201d as well as \u201cstricter requirement on what counts as a valid site\u201d for RHNA; \u201cno-net-loss\u201d of zoning capacity (AB 1397\/SB 166)\u2019 and a \u201cFair Housing Overlay on allocations and sites (AB 1771\/686)\u2014all backed up by \u2018[n]ew enforcement authority (AB 72) [that] has been used to keep cities honest.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He also marked the state\u2019s new \u201cprescriptive zoning requirements,\u201d observing that \u201c[m]any new laws require localities to approve certain kinds of housing and override local zoning controls.\u201d For example, SB 1096, SB 13, and AB 1881 expedite the approval of ADUs. SB 9 , which made approval of single-family lot splits by right, has had a \u201cslow uptake\u201d due to \u201clocal barriers\u201d and \u201ccapacity issues,\u201d \u201cbut [it\u2019s] still early.\u201d The state\u2019s Density Bonus law, strengthened by AB 2345 and AB 1763, is \u201cworking well, but only in some places.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Streamlining entitlement to make housing reviews and approvals faster has had \u201cmixed results.\u201d Stating that \u201cit\u2019s hard to quantify\u201d the effects of \u201cstreamlining reforms,\u201d Metcalf only detailed the successes: \u201cHousing Accountability Act reforms (SB 167) have deterred cities from rejecting zoning-compliant projects.\u201d SB 35, AB 2167, and SB 330 \u201call show some promise, particularly for ministerial approvals for subsidized affordable housing and ADUs.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At first it seemed as if, unlike the staffers, Metcalf would not flinch from reporting the scant results of the energized housing regime. \u201cThe problem,\u201d he said, \u201cis that when you look at the numbers, you don\u2019t see what you expect to see after all that activity.\u201d From 2017 to 2020, housing permits issued \u201cactually declined.\u201d He headlined one slide with the question: \u201cBottom Line: Is it working?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The blunt answer: \u201cHousing unaffordability remains high, and production relatively stagnant.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But then Metcalf struck a propitiatory tone. \u201cSo we\u2019re coming up short, but I think it\u2019s important to say that it\u2019s early, and that it\u2019s important to spotlight places where we\u2019re seeing progress.\u201d He focused on the same places as the background paper: SB 35 and ADUs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 35 says that if a jurisdiction hasn\u2019t permitted the same number of homes as its RHNA, the city loses its discretion over residential development approvals, depending on whether its permit issuance has fallen short for lower-income housing, market-rate housing, or both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Metcalf\u2019s view, SB 35 \u201cseems to be working for affordable housing: Nearly three-quarters (13,215)\u201d of the units that have been proposed under the law \u201care for lower-income households.\u201d And it\u2019s \u201cbecome a very helpful vehicle for contending with historic Nimby challenges.\u201d The catch: SB 35 \u201chas not delivered in terms of unlocking market-rate housing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Praising ADU affordability, Metcalf opined that \u201c[t]he median statewide construction cost of an ADU is significantly less than similar forms of housing. Many units are naturally affordable to households at or below 80 percent of Area Median Income [the official cut-off for affordability] and often located in areas with few other affordable options.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His final slide asked: \u201cCan Existing Housing Laws Deliver?\u201d The answer was ambiguous:&nbsp; \u201cTime will tell. Numbers are lagging, we may need more time to assess. Impactful legislation like ADUs has taken many rounds of legislative fixes\u2026.Cost issues remain untouched: Labor, building materials, ever more stringent code requirements, growing impact fees.\u201d The last of these is \u201can area that we really haven\u2019t tackled in the last few years.\u201d Metcalf didn\u2019t note that impact fees is an area that the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/2019\/05\/facebook-money-and-california-housing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Legislature commissioned Terner to examine<\/a>. (Expect to see aggressive anti-impact fee legislation, such as the scheme floated at a recent&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spur.org\/events\/2023-06-01\/finding-way-pay-infrastructure-without-taxing-new-housing-now-zoom-webinar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SPUR forum<\/a>&nbsp;by Chris Elmendorf and Darien Shanske.) In any case, we need \u201cgreater enforcement. The state must keep its foot on the gas with HCD\u2019s Accountability Unit, the Attorney General\u2019s Strike Force, etc.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Metcalf looked hopefully at \u201cone great leap of faith,\u201d the next RHNA cycle. \u201cThe [current] Sixth Cycle greatly increased residential zoned land and forced localities to seriously consider constraints to development, such as high costs or uncertainty. Capacity and experience will be much greater in the Seventh Cycle for Localities, the State, and advocates.\u201d We still lack \u201cobjective city-wide measures of constraints.\u201d Such measure will provide \u201can opportunity for harnessing data and onboarding a common yardstick and may be a gamechanger.\u201d The Seventh Cycle will \u201cintroduce more of an evidence-based approach\u201d that will allow us to see \u201cwhether policies that cities have in place are moderately or substantially inhibiting development.\u201d Translation: more surveillance is on the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His final comment: \u201cif you squint, you might see an optimistic path forward on making real progress on California\u2019s historic housing shortage.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Legislators ask hard questions, get muddled replies<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Midway in the 3.5-hour hearing, the legislators quizzed some of the witnesses who had just testified.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Senator Dave Cortese asked whether the state has the capacity to implement HCD\u2019s Surplus Lands program. (48 hills readers may remember how Cortese, then a Santa Clara County supervisor, was&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/2015\/11\/the-strange-and-telling-story-behind-the-regional-planning-merger-deal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the point man in MTC\u2019s hostile takeover of ABAG<\/a>.) Senator Sharon Quirk-Silva asked for an audit of the program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But most of the questions were about affordability. Senator Anna Caballero said it was \u201cnot clear what\u2019s working and what\u2019s not and where. Blue-collar communities tend to build affordable housing, and wealthy communities don\u2019t.\u201d She asked Metcalf \u201cwhere the majority of housing is occurring generally in the state, and where the affordable housing is going.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Metcalf\u2019s reply was garbled. \u201cYour characterization is generally correct,\u201d he said. \u201cMost of the state\u2019s historically affordable housing was in higher poverty neighborhoods. Now it\u2019s getting built more evenly across higher and lower opportunity regions.\u201d Ditto for ADUs. But the senator had asked about \u201ccommunities\u201d\u2014presumably cities\u2014not neighborhoods or regions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Quirk-Silva wondered \u201cwho got those $40,000 grants for ADUs?\u201d Senator Aisha Wahab said she\u2019d heard \u201clots about production, but not much about preserving and protecting [affordable] housing.\u201d She pointed out that many \u201cADUs are not rented out to non-family members\u201d or are rented out at market rates. \u201cThere no real discussion about affordability,\u201d said Wahab. \u201cWhat are we doing to tackle the vacancies in multifamily housing?\u201d The housing crisis is \u201cnot just a development problem.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Metcalf dodged Wahab\u2019s query: \u201cWe are still seeing ADUs as an affordable by design solution, even where there are no deed restrictions.\u201d ADUs offer \u201ca different rental price than single-family home new construction.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Senator Steve Padilla, like Wahab, a rookie state legislator, was the most persistent. He noted that the Statewide Housing Plan annually allots more than $18 billion dollars for the next eight years \u201cto underwrite 140,900 produced units every year\u201d to address the needs of lower income households. Padilla asked, \u201cAre we characterizing this as construction subsidies? Or direct rental subsidies? And what were the assumed qualifying income thresholds that we used to arrive at that number for underwriting?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Padilla\u2019s questions befuddled HCD Deputy Director for Housing Policy Development Megan Kirkeby. After a long silence, she said, \u201cThose numbers don\u2019t track exactly for me, but that doesn\u2019t mean they\u2019re wrong. We might need to follow up on the statewide housing planning goals,\u201d which are based on the Area Median Income for each region. \u201cThere are extremely and very low-income housing goals, low-income, moderate, and above-moderate income goals, and then they would adjust to the regional AMIs.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Padilla, a former police detective, replied:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>I understand how we characterize the different segments of the market and the demand of low-income households\u2026.What I\u2019m asking is, we have an estimated annual expenditure on the part of the state to bring at least the majority of that demand into affordability. So, is that based on construction subsidies? Is that based on direct rental subsidy? And if so, what were the assumed qualifying income thresholds that would be served by those subsidies? And I am reading from the 2022 Statewide Housing Plan, as it\u2019s cited in the background paper.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>After another silence, Kirekby said, \u201cI will look into that and figure out what source that is citing so we can answer the question directly. I don\u2019t want to misspeak.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Padilla:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Lastly, 21,000 annual production of ADUs is quite a robust number\u2026.The assumption [is that] because they are ADUs they are always going to be relatively affordable. However, oftentimes those things are really driven by market factors, geographic factors\u2026.Do we have any other data yet about what kinds of rents are being demanded for those ADUs or even costs?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Kirkeby referred Padilla to the dashboard on the HCD website that has the data from cities\u2019 annual progress reports on their RHNAs, including data that shows \u201cwhere those rents are set relative to the incomes for the individuals\u2026 It gives you a sense of where those ADUs are coming online. Are they serving moderate income households? Are they serving lower income households for that community?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wiener must have sensed that his colleagues\u2019 questions about affordability, coupled with Kirkeby\u2019s halting replies, threatened the credibility of the supply-side narrative, because it was right after Kirkeby\u2019s exchange with Padilla that he slapped Terner on the wrist and said it\u2019s way too early to judge the effectiveness of the new housing policy regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if that were true, it\u2019s well past the date to acknowledge that the supply-side narrative is full of hype. Take the claims about ADU affordability. It\u2019s obvious that, as Metcalf claims, it costs less to build an ADU than a single-family home, and that ADUs offer \u201cdifferent rents\u201d than single-family homes. But&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/2022\/01\/are-adus-affordable-housing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">it\u2019s not at all obvious<\/a>&nbsp;that, given ADUs\u2019 markedly smaller size and the inclination of many owners not to rent them to strangers, ADUs are an affordable alternative to single-family housing. Indeed,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hcd.ca.gov\/planning-and-community-development\/housing-open-data-tools\/housing-element-implementation-and-apr-dashboard\">a glance at the HCD dashboard<\/a>&nbsp;referenced by Kirkeby undermines the ADU affordability myth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The SB 35 con<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Far more devious\u2014and consequential\u2014than claims for ADU affordability is the promotion of SB 35 as an affordable housing success story. To show that \u201cSB 35 seems to be working for affordable housing,\u201d Metcalf&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/sites\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/files\/2.28.23%20Metcalf%20-%20Housing%20Informational%20Hearing%20Slides.pdf\">displayed a pie chart<\/a>&nbsp;taken from HCD\u2019s Housing Implementation and APR [Annual Progress Report] Dashboard. Terner broke out the percentage of numbers of units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s wrong with this picture:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"724\" src=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15-1024x724.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27734\" srcset=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15-1024x724.png 1024w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15-300x212.png 300w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15-150x106.png 150w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15-768x543.png 768w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15-212x150.png 212w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-15.png 1068w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>First<\/strong>, the SB 35 numbers on the HCD dashboard are admittedly unreliable. A note on HCD\u2019s SB 35 page cautions: \u201cMany projects reported as SB 35 projects are likely reported in error. HCD encourages jurisdictions to confirm SB 35 projects and revise their APR [Annual Progress Report] accordingly if corrections should be made.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Second<\/strong>, the chart shows the number of homes that have been proposed under SB 35. Proposed doesn\u2019t mean approved, much less built.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Third<\/strong>, SB 35 only looks like an affordable housing success story when the affordable units are compared with the market-rate units. But the numbers for both kinds of housing are piddling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fourth<\/strong>, even if the numbers weren\u2019t piddling, you can\u2019t legitimately compare the production of affordable housing with the production of market-rate housing. That\u2019s because market-rate housing depends for its financing on the market; and affordable housing mainly depends on funding from a government-created and government-administered source, the Low Income Housing Tax Credit program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Metcalf showed a slide alluding to the LIHTCs. It stated that affordable housing is \u201c[f]acilitated by state scoring systems,\u2026but also compounding oversubscription problems.\u201d Metcalf didn\u2019t unpack that comment. Its meaning is essential to grasping the difference between funding for market-rate and affordable housing, and why SB 35 has facilitated more affordable than market-rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his May 31 analysis of Quirk-Silva\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/billStatusClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240AB346\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AB 346<\/a>, Assembly staffer M. David Ruff explained that the LIHTC program<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>is an indirect federal subsidy developed in 1986 to incentivize the private development of affordable rental housing for low-income households. The federal LIHTC program replaced traditional housing tax incentives such as depreciation, with a tax credit that enables low-income housing developers to raise project equity through the allocation of tax benefits to investors. Each year the Federal Government allocates funding to the states for LIHTCs on the basis of a per-resident formula for the 9% credit. State or local housing authorities review the proposals submitted by developers and select projects based on a variety of prescribed criteria. In California, responsibility for administering the federal program is assigned to CTCAC [California Tax Credit Allocation Committee.]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem, as Eden Housing wrote in support of AB 346, is that \u201c[w]ith demand for affordable housing growing, California\u2019s tax credit financing programs are seriously oversubscribed.\u201d In other words, there\u2019s a long line of qualified projects seeking funding. (See Ann Silverberg\u2019s testimony below.) AB 346 would change the funding formula in ways that would give the state more flexibility in awarding tax credits to affordable housing projects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, SB 35 says that if cities don\u2019t permit their allocation of low-income RHNAs, they will lose their discretion over projects with at least 50 percent low-income housing units. Developers aren\u2019t going to pull permits for projects that can\u2019t get funded. The terms of SB 35 show that the state\u2019s real priority isn\u2019t affordable housing but consolidating power in Sacramento on behalf of the private real estate industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Breed\u2019s rep cozies up to Wiener and HCD, raps democratic planning<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Next up were the witnesses from three very different cities, Arcata, Pomona, and San Francisco. Presumably they were chosen to demonstrate the wide range of municipal support for the state\u2019s housing agenda. In a turn worthy of&nbsp;<em>1984<\/em>, all three speakers thanked the state for preempting local control of land use\u2014in other words, for mandating their disfranchisement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/sites\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/files\/Joint%20Informational%20Hearing%20-%20San%20Francisco%20Housing.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the testimony<\/a>&nbsp;of the official from San Francisco, Lisa Gluckstein, Mayor London Breed\u2019s housing and land use policy advisor, stood out. For starters, Gluckstein outdid her counterparts in paying tribute to the Legislature and HCD. She said that \u201crecent legislation to streamline housing has benefited San Francisco immensely, especially SB 35 and the Density Bonus law.\u201d She gave some details: Since 2018, SB 35 has authorized the approval of more than 3,000 housing units in the city, most of them affordable; and permitting is now four times faster\u2014down from 18-24 months to three to six. Gluckstein applauded Wiener\u2019s \u201cwork to extend SB 35\u201d via SB 423, as well as former Supervisor, now Assemblymember Matt Haney\u2019s AB 1114, \u201cwhich would help us with the fact that a lot our building permits are discretionary.\u201d Legislation aside, the February 1 certification of San Francisco\u2019s Housing Element \u201creflects the strong partnership with HCD and the hard work of many state and city employees.\u201d Her slide deck included a photo of Breed and HCD Director Gustavo Velasquez sharing smiles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, unlike the speakers from Arcata and Pomona, Gluckstein extensively denigrated her town. \u201cSan Francisco\u2019s housing crisis\u201d she said, \u201cis rooted in a long history of exclusion, population and jobs growth, and chronic underproduction of housing.\u201d A big factor is the city\u2019s \u201cnotoriously complex process for approving housing,\u201d some of which is \u201cbaked into the Charter, which means they have to go to the voters to be changed.\u201d Besides the problem of voter accountability, \u201cwe also have a very strong advocacy community that doesn\u2019t always support new housing,\u201d and \u201cother decisionmakers\u201d who can\u2019t be relied upon to \u201cdo the right thing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fortunately, in Gluckstein\u2019s telling, the \u201cmayor is taking decisive action to support new housing production very much in line with the state\u2019s mandates\u2026.[W]e have to move quickly, because San Francisco\u2019s RHNA obligation is quite sizeable\u201d\u201482,000 units, including more than 46,500 units of affordable housing\u2014by 2031. That, said Gluckstein, is \u201ca 20 percent increase in the city\u2019s total housing stock,\u201d currently about 410,000 units, in eight years. It\u2019s also an enormous (okay, absurd) increase over the nearly 5,000 new units that, she reported, have been built in recent years. \u201cOur RHNA requires an average of 10,000 units per year, or roughly three times historical production.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To meet the state\u2019s fanciful goals, Breed has a two-pronged plan. First, said Gluckstein, the mayor proposes to increase zoning capacity in \u201cwell-resourced neighborhoods,\u201d especially \u201cthose that haven\u2019t seen much development in recent years.\u201d Breed want to upzone transit corridors on the city\u2019s westside to accommodate 36,000 homes. Gluckstein cautioned that \u201czoning capacity is meaningless if we can\u2019t actually get those units built.\u201d To that end, Breed also seeks to \u201creduc[e] government constraints by making housing approvals simpler and faster, limiting discretion and touch points in the process for decisionmakers to interfere, and reducing fees and exactions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gluckstein didn\u2019t name any names, but anyone with a passing familiarity with San Francisco politics would know that her reference to allegedly obstructionist officials was code for the progressive members of the Board of Supervisors who are in a pitched battle with Breed about housing and much more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With an eye to eliminating such dissent and to \u201cprioritizing Housing Element implementation,\u201d earlier in February Breed had introduced&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/sf.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2023-02\/Executive%20Directive%2023-01_Housing%20for%20All.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Housing for All Executive Order 23-01<\/a>. The directive \u201cestablished oversight structures;\u2026set clear and faster for certain legislative actions\u2014for example, put[ting] forward ordinances that remove certain approval requirements such as conditional use authorizations; re-evaluate[d] the city\u2019s inclusionary requirements, which are quite high compared with other jurisdictions across the state; and look[ed] at new financing mechanisms such as infrastructure financing districts.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that San Francisco\u2019s Sixth Cycle RHNAs includes 46,500 affordable homes, Breed\u2019s proposal to lower the city\u2019s inclusionary requirements might seem perverse. The unspoken rationale here is that, as we\u2019ve just seen, affordable housing is very hard to finance. Requiring less of it in a mixed-income project would presumably entice development. (On July 25, the Board of Supervisors&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/2023\/07\/supes-approve-housing-measure-that-wont-lead-to-much-new-housing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">voted 10-1<\/a>, with Dean Preston dissenting, to cut the city\u2019s affordable housing requirements and reduce the impact fees that developers are charged to fund, among other things, Muni service and parks.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gluckstein acknowledged the \u201caffordable housing funding challenges.\u201d Financing the mandated 46,5000 affordable units would require $19 billion in local funding, $30 billion from the state in tax credits and soft debt plus other sources. The city, she said, now funds about 40 percent of each affordable housing project locally. Noting that the \u201ccompetitive CDLAC process [California Debt Limit Allocation Committee] has limited access,\u201d Gluckstein said that the California Housing Accelerator \u201chas filled the gap,\u201d but there\u2019s still \u201ca lot of outstanding need.\u201d She mentioned \u201cnew tools, specifically \u201cnew bond measures that are in the works\u201d and Wiener\u2019s 2023 \u201creplacement housing bill,\u201d&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/billAnalysisClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240SB593\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SB 593<\/a>. That measure would authorize the successor of San Francisco\u2019s dissolved Redevelopment Agency, the City and County of San Francisco, to draw on the city\u2019s Redevelopment Property Tax Trust Fund to finance certain affordable housing projects\u2014an option unavailable to other cities and counties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Smearing CEQA, fronting for UC&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After the three city officials had made their presentations, Wiener invited Arcata Community Development Director David Loya to expand on his comment on the need to strengthen CEQA infill exemptions, adding:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>A consistent refrain that I hear from city planning staff, from city councilmembers and mayors is that \u201cHey\u2014we\u2019re trying, and CEQA is making our lives a lot harder. We\u2019re trying to comply with state housing law, we\u2019re trying to build sustainable housing near jobs and transit, and we\u2019re having CEQA appeals and lawsuits, and so forth.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Loya was happy to comply. He said that Wiener \u201chad characterized [the situation] correctly.\u201d A city could \u201cgo through its process\u201d and \u201ceven\u201d approve a housing project, and then someone could delay construction by filing a CEQA appeal. Unless the project was \u201cprotected by a CEQA exemption,\u201d it might be required to go through an environmental review, which&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>could get pumped up to an EIR, which is added time and money. And even if [the jurisdiction] prevail[s], it\u2019s been my experience that developers are looking at their holding costs as much as they\u2019re looking at they\u2019re looking at the cost of development. And so each of those procedures, every hearing, every legal challenge that they have to go through, is a holding cost. It creates less housing ultimately.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Loya recommended \u201cclean[ing] up\u201d the exceptions to the CEQA exemptions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>I\u2019d just like to see more of that\u2026It would support jurisdictions that are trying to do the right thing and to promote housing, in spite of the fact that in every community you\u2019re going to have at least one person\u2014and that\u2019s all it takes\u2014who\u2019s ready to raise a legal challenge.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Loya\u2019s remarks encapsulated the prevailing housing absolutism: New housing trumps everything, including environmental protection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Arcata official\u2019s testimony was Wiener\u2019s cue to go on an anti-CEQA rant. First, the senator derided the law as a tool of elitist opponents of housing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Yeah. Anyone who can pay a lawyer\u2014we\u2019ve seen this with affordable housing in Lafayette\u2014is it Lafayette? I can\u2019t remember the East Bay city [someone says, \u201cLivermore\u201d]\u2014Livermore. Their city council did the right thing and approved a great affordable housing project, and some mega-Nimbys who have money funded a CEQA lawsuit\u2014they don\u2019t represent a majority\u2026.It\u2019s super-undemocratic.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Wiener then claimed that CEQA\u2019s provisions against noise are being used to defame students.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>And of course we\u2019re seeing what\u2019s happening right now at UC Berkeley, where the California Court of Appeal issued a decision that college students are pollution\u2014they frame it in a rosier way\u2014because everyone knows apparently that college students make noise. Human beings make noise, we all make noise at all ages [Wicks, seated to his immediate left, gives him an appreciative smile], but it was fun to be a college student.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Wiener\u2019s anti-noise-regulation diatribe was joined by his colleagues. Senator Nancy Skinner volunteered that \u201c[f]amilies with a lot of kids can be loud, too.\u201d Wicks agreed: \u201cYes, a six-year-old and a two-year-old [the ages of her own children]\u2014they\u2019re very loud.\u201d Turning to Wicks, Wiener said, \u201cPeople who like music are loud, too. Lots of loud people.\u201d Wicks flashed him another appreciative grin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Milking his \u201ccollege students are pollution\u201d trope, which he now unconditionally attributed to the court, Wiener said the CEQA lawsuit over the university\u2019s plan to build housing at People\u2019s Park was dashing students\u2019 aspirations to get an education and join the middle class.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>College students, according to the court, are pollution, and so they have to be mitigated, as if they were like tailpipe exhaust or like fumes from a refinery. That\u2019s literally how the California Appeals Court classifies college students, who are just trying to get an education and be part of the middle class, and yet they\u2019re pollution [Wicks nods in agreement]. That\u2019s how far CEQA has fallen from what it was intended to do, which was to protect the environment. We\u2019re doing some work on that [another nod from Wicks], and CEQA has to be fixed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>What&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/law.justia.com\/cases\/california\/court-of-appeal\/2023\/a165451m.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the First District Court of Appeal actually said<\/a>&nbsp;was that, contrary to the university\u2019s claim, the evidence presented by the plaintiff \u201camply supported a fair argument that noise impacts from the increased student population associated with the [school\u2019s] plan and Housing Project no. 2\u201d\u2014a projected 9,008 increase in undergraduate beds, of which 1,110 would be in the project proposed for People\u2019s Park\u2014\u201cmight be substantial.\u201d The court cited \u201can expert report on student generated noise prepared by Derek Watry, an engineer with almost 30 years of experience with an acoustical consulting firm that had prepared hundreds of noise studies for EIRs.\u201d The university called his findings \u201cspeculative.\u201d The court disagreed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>The record\u2026establishes that UC Berkeley students have a long and well-documented history of disturbing Berkeley residents with loud noise. It is reasonable to assume that it will continue\u2026.What&nbsp;<em>is<\/em>&nbsp;speculative is the Regents\u2019 notion that thousands of additional students placed in the same environment will behave differently.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The court also held that<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>without citing pertinent authority, the Regents suggest environmental impacts from social noise are not subject to CEQA. That is incorrect. Noise impacts are expressly included among the environmental effects subject to CEQA\u2026.Nothing in the statutes or Guidelines carves out noise from human socialization as an exception to this, and the case law suggests the contrary is true\u2026.Until the Legislature says otherwise, noise is noise.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s true that CEQA can be used to oppose worthy projects, such as the Livermore development, but that doesn\u2019t make CEQA action per se objectionable\u2014and certainly not undemocratic. As Natural Resources Defense Council attorney David Pettit&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrdc.org\/bio\/david-pettit\/californias-landmark-environmental-law-action-it-works\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">wrote<\/a>&nbsp;in 2013, no bureaucracy administers CEQA. Instead, the law is \u201ctypically enforced only by citizens going to court.\u201d That said, government agencies, including cities, also can and do file CEQA challenges. If anything, it\u2019s the law\u2019s inherently democratic character that Wiener, Wicks, and Skinner find offensive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The lawsuit against UC Berkeley is far more complex than the Livermore case, involving among other things the university\u2019s failure to follow CEQA and to justify its decision not to specify alternative sites for the housing it wants to build on People\u2019s Park.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wiener berates cities for skirting their RHNA obligations; UC\u2019s violation of CEQA doesn\u2019t appear to bother him. This likely explains why: As neither he nor Wicks mentioned, on February 16, the assemblymember had introduced&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/billStatusClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240AB130\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AB 1307<\/a>, which would \u201cfix\u201d CEQA by specifying that under certain circumstances, \u201cinstitutions of public education&nbsp;in an EIR for a residential or mixed-use housing project, are not required to consider alternatives to the location of the proposed project if certain requirements are met.\u201d The proposed requirements would exempt UC\u2019s plan to build student housing at People\u2019s Park from CEQA review.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When introduced, AB 1307 also declared that \u201cnoise generated by the unamplified voices of residents is not a significant effect on the environment for residential projects.\u201d According to the staff analyses, Wicks says that if the measure becomes law, \u201cno longer could CEQA consider \u2018people as pollution\u2019\u201d\u2014as if that taunt came from the law rather than from Wiener and herself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On March 16, she strengthened the measure, replacing \u201cunamplified voices of residents\u201d with \u201coccupants.\u201d On June 26, she strengthened it again. From the Legislative Counsel\u2019s Digest: \u201cThis bill would specify that the effects of noise generated by project occupants and their guests on human beings is not a significant effect on the environment for residential projects for purposes of CEQA.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a nice irony, AB 1307 designates itself as&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>an urgency statute necessary for the immediate preservation of the public peace, health, or safety within the meaning of Article IV of the California Constitution and shall go into immediate effect.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The facts constituting the necessity:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Currently in California there is a substantial housing crisis. To ensure housing projects are not subject to further uncertainty, delay, or risk of lawsuit, it is necessary for this act to take effect immediately.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>AB 1307 may be a timely legislative intervention: The California Supreme Court is poised to review the appeal court\u2019s decision. The bill sailed through the Assembly\u2014not a single No vote\u2014and is now advancing through the Senate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Skinner\u2019s \u201cgood RHNAs\u201d charade<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The legislators\u2019 CEQA hatefest was punctuated by a rambling, cryptic commentary from Sen. Nancy Skinner about funding the housing envisioned by the RHNAs:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>I\u2019m appreciative of the fact that both the cities\u2019 responses but also of the HCD\u2019s taking the RHNA enforcement process very seriously and you know holding our cities accountable. It\u2019s very important that we do this. However, having good RHNAs is still not necessarily going to result in achieving the actual construction of the housing\u2026.We are of course facing problems of you know higher interest rates. We\u2019re seeing a kind of drop in market housing\u2014you know we\u2019ve got projects that are permitted but haven\u2019t broke ground and indications by developers that they might not. Anyway, I feel like we have to work together with our state agencies to kind of understand that landscape and see whether in the near term is there space for either more investments in the very affordable or low-income housing, and is there more ability to get that broken ground right now than some of these market-rate projects? Again, the financing on this side is not an expertise I have. One of our panelists talked about the loss of redevelopment. We do have in two areas the regional housing finance authorities, both in the Bay Area now and in LA. It seems to me that more of those would obviously help. I don\u2019t know if any our city panelists spoke at all about whether they had efforts to put things on the ballot that might help them fund housing and that then failed due to the threshold,\u2026the voter threshold that\u2019s required to get those passed.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Failing to get a response from any of the city reps, Skinner repeated her question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, Gluckstein said that in 2019 San Francisco voters had approved a $600 million affordable housing bond \u201cthat passed at the current threshold.\u201d She added that her city was \u201clooking at BAHFA [Bay Area Housing Finance Authority] as an opportunity to get funding across the region. We understand in San Francisco that to succeed, we need all the jurisdictions to also be part of the solution. We\u2019re very supportive of looking at the regional level for measures that would be helpful in building more affordable housing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Translation: After having authored some of California\u2019s most aggressive preemptive housing legislation purportedly designed to make cities \u201caccountable\u201d\u2014for starters, see&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/bbklaw.com\/resources\/sb-330-limits-local-laws-over-housing-developments\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SB 330<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/sd09.senate.ca.gov\/news\/20170914-removing-housing-obstacles-skinner%E2%80%99s-sb-166-sb-167-strengthen-accountability\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SB 167, and SB 168<\/a>\u2014Skinner suddenly appears to have discovered the influence of market forces. In fact, cities don\u2019t build housing; developers do; and developers are not going to build housing unless doing so guarantees their profit margins. California\u2019s new housing policy regime holds cities accountable for something\u2014housing production\u2014that they don\u2019t control and thus shouldn\u2019t be held responsible for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having stripped local jurisdictions of their land use authority, the lawmakers now confront the challenge of funding the preposterous, or as Skinner has it, \u201cgood\u201d RHNAs. Despite her disclaimer about lacking expertise in housing finance, on February 13 the senator had introduced a bill,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240SB440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SB 440<\/a>, that she and her colleagues see as one solution to the funding impasse: regional housing finance authorities. SB 440 would authorize the creation of such agencies throughout California, except in the Bay Area and Los Angeles, where they already exist. According to the Legislative Counsel\u2019s Digest, SB 440<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>would authorize two or more local governments, as defined, to restablish a reigonal housing finance authority to raise, administer, and allocate funding for affordable housing in the jurisdiction of the authority, as defined, and provide technical assistance at a regional level of affordable housing development, including new construction and the preservation of existing housing to serve a range of incomes and housing types.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 440 would also \u201cauthorize an authority to, among other things, raise and allocate new revenue and allocate funds to the various cities, counties, and other public agencies and affordable housing projects within its jurisdiction to finance affordable housing project and preserve and enhance existing affordable housing, as specified, in accordance with applicable constitutional requirements.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like BAHFA and LACAHSA [L.A. County Affordable Housing Solutions Agency], these new regional housing finance authorities would be authorized \u201cto impose various special taxes, including parcel taxes, certain business taxes, a special tax on real property, and a documentary transfer tax within its jurisdiction and to issue general obligation bonds secured by the levey of ad valorem property taxes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 440 extends the preemptive thrust of the state\u2019s new housing regime. Legislative staffer Hank Brady\u2019s analysis of the bill notes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>While this bill is modeled on BAHFA and LACAHSA, [SB 440] would grant newly formed Authorities additional powers not bestowed on those existing entities. These authorities, in addition to the ability to manage existing buildings, could hold and acquire existing buildings for purposes of attaching affordability requirements. For any property acquired, these Authorities, unlike BAHFA and LACHASA, will have the power to set the land use and development parameters for such property, including setting the request for proposal criteria and selection process for a developer partner.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>In a subtler blow at municipal prerogatives, SB 440 provides that:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>[a]n authority shall be governed by a board of directors consisting of a minimum of three directors. All directors shall be elected officials representing the cities, special districts, or counties that are members of the authority. The authority shall consist of members appointed by each of the cities, special districts, or counties that are a member of the authority&nbsp;<em>in proportion to the population served by the member city, special district, or county<\/em>. [emphasis added]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>In other words, the new authorities will be governed along the same lines as BAHFA, whose Executive Board is the Metropolitan Transportation Commission, a body weighted toward the Bay Area\u2019s big cities. Small jurisdictions: beware of teaming up with much bigger ones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As journalist Michael Barnes observed to me, \u201cthe Legislature is just gutting local governments and turning them into cash cows for&nbsp;regressive taxes for their pro-growth agendas.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 440 also belies Skinner\u2019s professed solicitude for \u201cvery affordable or low-income\u201d housing. As Bob Silvestri recently&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/marinpost.org\/blog\/2023\/6\/8\/moving-the-goal-posts-to-conceal-housing-policy-failures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pointed out<\/a>&nbsp;in The Marin Post, California\u2019s definition of affordable housing is notable for its plasticity. Thus, citing&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/codes_displaySection.xhtml?lawCode=HSC%C2%A7ionNum=5009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Section 50093 of the California Health and Safety Code<\/a>, SB 400 authorizes \u201can authority board\u201d to<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>make a finding that market rate rents or housing costs are unaffordable to households at 120 percent of the area median income [AMI] in a particular geographic area of the district. An authority that makes this finding may utilize a higher income limitation for housing developed and preserved within that particular geographic area of the district, provided that the income limitation does not exceed 150 percent of the area median income.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The current AMI in Sacramento County is $102,400 for a household of four. In San Diego County it\u2019s $116,800. In other words, SB 440 authorizes regional housing finance agencies to promote market-rate housing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just as Wicks omitted to say that she had just introduced AB 1307, Skinner never disclosed that she had just introduced SB 440. The senator\u2019s reference to \u201cvoter thresholds\u201d for \u201cthings on the ballot that might help [cities] fund housing and that then failed due to the threshold\u201d was similarly devious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThings on the ballot\u201d means revenue measures. Thanks to Prop. 13, the voter threshold for passing such measures in California is 67 percent. BAHFA, in concert with Enterprise Community Partners, is leading&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/bayareahousingforall.org\/sf_chronicle_july2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a campaign<\/a>&nbsp;for a 2024 statewide ballot measure that would amend the California Constitution by lowering the threshold to 55 percent. (In 2017,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/48hills.org\/2019\/08\/facebook-money-pushes-chiu-housing-bill\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ECP got $500K from the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative<\/a>, i.e. Facebook money, to draft and then lobby for David Chiu\u2019s AB 1487, the 2019 legislation that authorized the BAHFA\u2019s creation.) BAHFA and ECP are also pursuing a regional bond measure to go on the 2024 ballot that would raise $10 or $20B for \u201caffordable\u201d housing in the Bay Area. If the lower voter threshold measure passes, it would apply to the bond measure as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When Skinner asked for examples of housing revenue measures that failed because they didn\u2019t meet the voter threshold for approval, she was looking for evidence to support BAHFA-ECP\u2019s twofold campaign. Gluckstein piped up, presumably to spare the senator the embarrassment of getting no response at all. But the example she gave, San Francisco\u2019s passage of a huge housing bond (by 71%), was exactly the opposite of what Skinner sought. Gluckstein then got with the program, lauding BAHFA and \u201cmeasures that would be helpful in building more affordable housing.\u201d But like Skinner, she said nothing about the big measures that are in the offing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 440 has passed the Senate and is moving through the Assembly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The developers 1: Ann Silverberg on the dire lack of affordable housing money<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The final set of witnesses comprised three developers, Mark MacDonald, Ann Silverberg, and Steve Eggert. Only MacDonald appeared on the hearing agenda. He appeared to have invited the other two, whom he called \u201cmy panelists.\u201d Unsurprisingly, each member of the trio lauded the state\u2019s housing agenda, albeit from varied perspectives and in distinctive voices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of the three, Silverberg, was the only affordable housing developer proper. She described herself as \u201cthe CEO for Related\u2019s Northern California and Northwest Affordable Division,\u201d a role in which she\u2019s currently overseeing the development of more than 5,000 units of affordable housing. She said that in its 30-year history, Related California has been \u201cone of the larger developers of affordable and mixed income housing in the state,\u201d where it has built more than 18,000 units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Silverberg is more than a developer; she\u2019s also a political activist who advocates the preemptive, supply side position in a wide range of private and public contexts. Her&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.relatedcalifornia.com\/our-company\/leadership\/ann-silverberg#:~:text=Silverberg%20is%20Chair%20of%20the,Credit%20Allocation%20Committee%20Working%20Group.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">profile on the Related website<\/a>&nbsp;states that she chairs the Board of Directors of the California Housing Consortium, described on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/calhsng.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">that organization\u2019s website<\/a>&nbsp;as a coalition that advocates \u201cthe production and preservation of housing affordable to low- and moderate-income Californians\u201d; co-chairs California State Treasurer Fiona Ma\u2019s California Debt Limit Allocation Committee\/Tax Credit Allocation Committee Working Group; serves on SPUR\u2019s Housing Policy Committee; sits on the board of the San Francisco Housing Action Coalition; belongs to the ULI San Francisco Local Product Council; and is past president of the Board of Directors of the Non-Profit Housing Association of Northern California.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After expressing her \u201cdeep, heart-felt gratitude\u201d to the lawmakers, \u201cmost particularly the housing committees,\u201d and to the Newsom administration for their \u201cclear commitment to combating this severe housing shortage that we\u2019re in,\u201d Silverberg marked \u201cwhat\u2019s working:\u201d the \u201crecent suite of land use reform and land use laws, starting with SB 35 but now also including SB 330 [Skinner\u2019s Housing Crisis Act of 2019], AB 1763 [David Chiu\u2019s 2019 bill drastically expanding the state\u2019s Density Bonus law for 100% affordable housing projects], AB 2923 [Chiu\u2019s &nbsp;2018 bill giving BART land use authority], and soon-to-be-implemented AB 2011 [Wicks\u2019 2022 bill authorizing by right approval of 100 percent affordable housing in commercial zones and mixed-income housing projects along commercial corridors].\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Citing her \u201c30 years in the industry,\u201d Silverberg enthused that these statutes \u201chave literally revolutionized how we\u2019re proceeding with entitlement of affordable housing. Instead of spending years and years of time and millions of dollars to defend and process and often fight for affordable housing, affordable developers now can choose from a menu of laws in streamlining entitlements and CEQA clearance in ways that we didn\u2019t dream of even decade ago.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>She singled out SB 35 for extra praise. Under Wiener\u2019s 2017 bill, \u201cRelated has entitled 818 units in seven projects since SB 35, with another 1,176 units in process\u2014just months away.\u201d (I emailed Silverberg asking for a list of those projects; she didn\u2019t reply.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>She went on to urge the passage of SB 423: \u201cI know there\u2019s more to be done with CEQA and streamlining, to expand applicability and make permanent the sunsetting legislation of SB 35,\u201d which is due to expire in January 2026; SB 423 extends that date to January 2036. \u201cSo SB 423, if I have my number correct\u2014it\u2019s really, really important to see those changes,\u201d which would bring \u201ctime savings, providing certainty to the process, and housing dollars.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Silverberg didn\u2019t mention that the California Housing Consortium is one of the four co-sponsors of SB 423. (The other three are California Yimby, the Nor Cal Carpenters Union, and the Southwest Mountain States Regional Council of Carpenters.) CHC has also endorsed Wicks\u2019 AB 1307.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then she turned to what\u2019s not working: \u201cOur greatest challenge today is funding.\u201d Affordable housing is \u201cgetting bottlenecked at the financing stage.\u201d The state\u2019s \u201cLIHTC program and tax-exempt bond program\u201d are the \u201cmain engine\u201d for 100 percent affordable housing,\u201d funding about 20,000 units a year. \u201cNot nearly enough, but at least it\u2019s something. We\u2019re worried about falling short of that.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the very least, the state should \u201cat least support the production levels we\u2019ve had over the last couple of years.\u201d The \u201ccritically needed soft debt to complete the capital stack for affordable housing\u2026is running dry\u2026.The recent HCD Super NOFA [Notice of Funding Availabilities] round for state-level financing was oversubscribed by five to one\u2026.The MHP [Multifamily Housing] program was oversubscribed by ten to one\u20143.5 billion in requests for 650 million in resources. Those are projects that are ready to go.\u2026.The CDLAC process was \u201cseriously oversubscribed in the last round.\u201d Silverberg implored the state to follow up its \u201cgroundbreaking and legacy-producing\u201d streamlining legislation and to \u201cstabilize affordable housing production longterm with a reliable, ongoing, dedicated source\u201d of money for affordable housing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The developers 2: Mark MacDonald and 300 De Haro<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first of the two market-rate developers to speak was Mark MacDonald, CEO and founder of the San Francisco-based firm DM Development. DM, said MacDonald, \u201cfocuses on market-rate, ground-up, multi-family developments, both for-sale condominium properties, as well as programmed communities.\u201d He added, \u201cI\u2019m proud to say that in almost all our market-rate developments, we also build on-site below-market units to create mixed-income communities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MacDonald said he\u2019d been asked to give&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/sites\/shou.senate.ca.gov\/files\/DM%20Development%20-%202.28.23%20Hearing.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">an overview of the development process<\/a>. He proceeded to list the steps in that process and how long it typically takes to accomplish each in San Francisco: site selection (one year), site acquisition (one year), design and entitlements (two years), permits and financing (one year), construction (two years), and leasing (one year)\u2014six to eight years in all. He said that DM considers 100 deals for every one it actually does. Detailing the complex work involved in each action, MacDonald emphasized that the entitlement process \u201cis very lengthy, time-consuming, and extremely risky.\u201d In San Francisco, he said, it usually takes 18-24 months, \u201cor in many cases much longer, depending on neighborhood opposition.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And today there\u2019s a bigger challenge: financing. \u201cWe as market-developers,\u201d MacDonald said, \u201cwork at the behest of our investors, who need our development projects to meet certain return thresholds,\u201d and who have \u201ca lot of options where they can place their capital to achieve the best-risk-adjusted returns\u2026.If the capital markets turn against you, as they have in the current environment, as a result of rising interest rates, it could take considerably longer to lock in financing to get a project off the ground.\u201d He said that in his view, \u201cthe primary issue\u201d now<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>is that many housing developments don\u2019t pencil, given the high costs to build, and that rents in San Francisco have not recovered their pre-Covid levels. The returns to develop projects ground-up now are simply not there for may investors to deploy capital\u2026.So to jump-start housing, we really need to focus on creative ways to make housing less costly to build in California.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>By \u201ccreative ways,\u201d MacDonald presumably meant more policies like the state\u2019s recent housing laws. He thanked the California Legislature for having done \u201can excellent job over the last number of years passing legislation to help make more attractive land available for housing development and to streamline the development process through bills such as SB 35 and AB 2011.\u201d MacDonald said DM had availed itself of many of these bills, such as SB 35, but didn\u2019t give any details. Indeed, a striking aspect of the entire hearing was that nobody explained how any specific project had been facilitated by the new state\u2019s recent housing policy regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"582\" src=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14-1024x582.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27733\" srcset=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14-1024x582.png 1024w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14-150x85.png 150w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14-768x436.png 768w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14-250x142.png 250w, https:\/\/occupysf.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-14.png 1068w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>BAR Architects rendering of 300 DeHaro, from SF Planning Department<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As it happens, one of DM\u2019s current developments, the project at 300 De Haro, was facilitated by SB 35 and the state\u2019s Density Bonus laws. Its history was&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfchronicle.com\/sf\/article\/How-one-S-F-housing-project-is-using-state-laws-16375684.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recounted<\/a>&nbsp;in August 2021 by San Francisco Chronicle reporter J.K Dineen. Under the headline \u201cHow one S.F. housing project is using state law to circumvent neighborhood protest,\u201d Dineen told how early in 2020, DM had approached the site\u2019s neighbors with a plan to build a seven-story tower at 300 De Haro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Residents said they would support a slightly shorter six-story project \u2014 abuilding consistent with zoning \u2014 and asked for more retail and tweaks to the exterior design\u2026.&nbsp;But instead of bending to the neighbors\u2019 wishes and dropping the height of the project, DM Development went in the opposite direction, increasing the proposed 80-foot building to 120 feet [eleven-stories], and raising the original 290 units to 450 units.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Dineen commented: \u201c[W]hile conflict between neighborhood groups and developers is the bread and butter of San Francisco\u2019s land use politics,\u201d the fight at 300 De Haro is \u201cdifferent.\u201d Thanks to SB 35 and the State Density bonus program, \u201cDM Development doesn\u2019t need the support of residents\u201d\u2014including residents who sit on the city\u2019s Planning Commission or its Board of Supervisors. 300 De Haro is \u201cby right.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I asked Dan Sider, chief of staff at the San Francisco Department of Planning, exactly how SB 35 and the State Density bonus program authorized MacDonald to expand 300 De Haro from 290 to 450 units and from six to eleven stories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>SB 35 mandates that when a city\u2014in this case, San Francisco\u2014has not permitted its RHNA share of low-income units, a project with 50% affordable units is subject to ministerial approval. 300 De Haro will have 450 units, of which 181, fewer than 50%, are affordable. What is the base number of units on which the affordable units were calculated? How did the applicant avail himself of the Density Bonus Law in arriving at these numbers?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Sider replied:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>It\u2019s a good question. State Law over laid upon local law makes for a complex analysis. An SB 35 project must construct at least 50% of units as affordable units (to 80% AMI or below).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An SDB [State Density Bonus] project is eligible for up to a 35% floor area bonus when no fewer than 20 % of the units are restricted as affordable units (to 80% AMI or below).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When we combine those two programs, as was the case for 300 De Haro, the 50% SB35 figure (the greater of the two) is applied to the \u201cbase\u201d density of the SDB project.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of the 450 units in this project, 337 are base units, so 169 of them must be restricted to 80% AMI or below.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Note that, in another ploy that belies the state\u2019s professed dedication to affordable housing, the state Density Bonus applies the inclusionary requirement stipulating the amount of affordable housing to the original number of units, not to that number plus the bonus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I replied: \u201cYou\u2019ve explained the effects of SB 35 on 300 De Haro, and how the project qualified for Density Bonus. But DM Development came in with 181, not 169, affordable units. So did they go beyond what the law required?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sider\u2019s reply further illustrates the state\u2019s cynicism about affordable housing:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>The short answer is that at the time the project was approved, the affordability tiers required under out local inclusionary affordable housing program essentially required that additional affordable units be provided in order to satisfy both local and state law. Since then, the state has changed its position such that our local affordability tiers can be \u201ccollapsed.\u201d This has the effect of lowering the total number of affordable units required in cases like this. As for overall unit count in a bonus project like this, we look at floor area rather than unit count. A developer can slice the floor area into however many units they choose.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>At 300 De Haro, DM sliced and sliced. Each of the project\u2019s \u201cgroup\u201d units will be between 280 and 300 square feet, with access to lounges and communal kitchens on each floor. MacDonald described them as \u201c\u2018an attractive option for those who can\u2019t afford a $3,000 studio.\u201d Jeff Alexander, president of the homeowners association at Showplace Lofts at 370 De Haro had a different take: \u201c\u2019It\u2019s a glorified Airbnb hotel.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Citing San Francisco Planning Director Rich Hillis, Dineen wrote that 300 De Haro was the first majority market-rate project in the city to take advantage of SB 35. Hillis told him that \u201cDM Development\u2019s approach to 300 De Haro is a harbinger of what\u2019s to come\u2014that developers will increasingly use state law to circumvent local codes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If SB 423 becomes law, Hillis will look prescient. It might seem that SB 35 should have generated more market-rate than affordable housing. After all, California developers are building many more market-rate than affordable homes. The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hcd.ca.gov\/planning-and-community-development\/housing-open-data-tools\/housing-element-implementation-and-apr-dashboard\">HCD dashboard<\/a>&nbsp;shows that the great majority of permits issued in the current, Sixth RHNA cycle have been for above-moderate homes., p. 11<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So why are these outcomes reversed under SB 35?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his analysis of&nbsp; SB 423, as amended on June 19, Assembly staffer Steve Wertheim suggested two reasons. First,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>SB 35 only applies for market-development in jurisdictions that are not meeting their RHNA for above-moderate income households. Because more than half of the state\u2019s jurisdictions met this target in the 5<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;RHNA cycle, SB does not apply for market-rate housing in these locations. The list of cities to which SB 35 currently does not apply for market-rate housing includes all of the state\u2019s major coastal cities, including Los Angeles, San Diego, and San Francisco.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s read between the lines. Currently SB 35 does apply for market-rate housing in the 251 jurisdictions that have not met their above-moderate RHNAs\u2014more than half of the state\u2019s 482 cities. But many of the 251 are in areas where market-rate housing has a limited market compared with the coast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wertheim commented that the RHNA targets in the 5<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;RHNA cycle were \u201cvery low\u2026, particularly in wealthier coastal cities\u201d; and that given the \u201csubstantially higher\u201d targets in the 6<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;cycle, \u201cit is anticipated that eventually SB 35\u2019s market-rate provisions will apply to most of the state.\u201d In other words, those provisions will be apply to the now-exempt, larger and wealthier coastal cities where most of the market-rate housing has been built to date\u2014in many cases more than enough to satisfy the city\u2019s market-rate RHNA. Not incidentally, SB 423 would extend the terms of SB 35 into the coastal zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The developers 3: Steve Eggert and labor standards in California\u2019s new housing laws<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if that happens, it might not generate many market-rate homes. Wertheim said that\u2019s because SB 35\u2019s labor standards \u201cessentially require a union-only workforce for each of the crafts involved in building housing.\u201d Developers have argued that there are not enough workers in the state to meet the bill\u2019s \u201cskilled and trained\u201d standards; and thus that \u201cit is not financially feasible to take the risk of investing the up-front costs to design and entitle a housing project given the substantial risk that there would be no eligible workers to build it.\u201d Wertheim offered no example of a potential SB 35 project that never got off the ground because the developer could not find workers eligible to build it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The legislative staff background paper for the hearing also identifies a shortage of construction workers as a major problem. To answer the question \u201cwhy has insufficient housing been built in California?\u201d the staff says that \u201cthe preponderance of costs\u201d in housing \u201ccome from the construction of the project itself, including the materials and labor.\u201d As to the latter:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>A useful rule of thumb is that here is a 1:1 between residential construction workers and the number of housing units that can be built. As recently as 2006, when over 200,000 units were built in California, there were approximately 200,000 residential construction workers in the state. With the bursting of the housing bubble and the onset of the Great Recession, that number had decreased to 100,000 by 2018. Despite the massive economic growth that occurred in the subsequent decade, the construction labor force never rebounded \u2013 and neither did production. This is for a number of reasons, including that the work is typically poorly paid and thus make it difficult to attract new workers to the profession, high housing prices make it difficult to lure out-of-state construction workers, and changes to national immigration policy have decreased the number of undocumented workers that historically have made up a high percentage of the residential construction workforce.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 423 addresses the developers\u2019 claims by removing the union-only \u201c\u2019skilled and trained\u2019 workforce requirement from market-rate SB 35 projects\u2026less than 85 feet in height. For projects over 85 feet in height, the bill\u2026add[s] \u2018off-ramps\u2019 that enable [a] project to proceed should a general contractor not receive three bids from subcontractors that guarantee that they can provide a skilled and trained workforce.\u201d Under those circumstances, \u201cthe prime contractor need not require that a skilled and trained workforce be used by the subcontractors for that scope of work.\u201d On June 19, Wiener amended the bill, changing the 85-foot threshold for skilled and trained labor requirements so that they apply only to \u201cfloors used for human occupancy that are located more than 85 feet above the grade plane.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 423 has widened the split in the building trades unions that opened up in 2022 during the bitter fight over Wicks\u2019&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202120220AB2011\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AB 2011<\/a>. Co-sponsored by the California Council of Carpenters (the other co-sponsor was the California Housing Consortium), AB 2011 was opposed by the State Building and Construction Trades Council of California. SB 2011 was also endorsed by several other building trades unions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like AB 2011, SB 423 has also been&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/norcalcarpenters.org\/build-housing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">endorsed<\/a>&nbsp;by the Nor Cal Carpenters Union, and other building trades unions, including the District Council of Plasterers and Cement Masons of Northern California and the Laborers and Operating Engineers Union, and is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfbuildingtradescouncil.org\/news\/top-stories\/1945-wiener-wicks-norcal-carpenters-union-band-together-to-sell-out-building-trades-brethren-with-revised-sb-423\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">opposed<\/a>&nbsp;by the State Building and Construction Trades Council. The split is significant, because the building trades unions have been one of the few political forces in the state with enough clout to block state legislation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a March 2023&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sacbee.com\/article272519631.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">article<\/a>&nbsp;in the Sacramento Bee explained, &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>*California law defines a \u201cskilled and trained workforce\u201d as one where all workers on a project must either be journey-level workers or apprentices enrolled in state-approved apprenticeship programs. At least 30% of journey-level workers in most trades must have graduated from state-approved apprenticeships. Some crafts, such as plumbers and electricians, must have at least 60% of journey-level workers graduate from state-approved apprenticeships. Many view \u201cskilled and trained\u201d requirements as mandating the use of union labor, since unions run the vast majority of apprenticeship programs.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bee cited California Labor Federation President Lorena Gonzalez, a former Assemblymember: \u201cPrevailing wage is simply \u2014 it\u2019s good. However, prevailing wage is a job-by-job issue,\u201d she continued. \u201cWe want people to go into a career for construction \u2014 not just a job.\u201d The State Building and Construction Trades Council, for its part, argues \u201cthat [SB 423] should not amend the labor provisions of SB 35, because the skilled and trained workforce provisions of existing law are better for workers. Paying workers fairly does not ensure that workers will be treated fairly, and this approach embraces only short-term benefits for workers with no pathway to the middle class.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like the developers, the carpenters unions argue that given the shortage of unionized construction workers, requiring a skilled and trained workforce delays housing construction. They further contend that unions, not the state, should bear the responsibility of unionizing workers. Jay Bradshaw, executive secretary and treasurer of the Northern California Carpenters Union told the Bee: \u201cIt\u2019s the job of the union to organize, not the government to organize for us. Our mandate is to help workers, and our best protection for our current workforce is to grow.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the hearing, the first speaker who mentioned labor standards was the final witness, developer Steve Eggert. Eggert is the president of AntonDevCo., the Sacramento-based firm that he founded about 30 years ago. He said AntonDevCo has built 12,000 units, about half of them affordable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like Silverberg and MacDonald, Eggert expressed gratitude to the state for the recent housing legislation\u2014specifically,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.msrlegal.com\/news\/a-whole-new-ballgame-what-the-housing-crisis-act-of-2019-sb-330-means-for-housing-developers-local-governments-and-go-slow-opposition-to-new-residential-development-projects-in-california\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SB 330<\/a>\u2014\u201cwhoever wrote that law knows what we deal with with cities\u201d\u2014and for \u201ctrying to close all the loopholes\u201d with the ADU law and the Density Bonus Law. \u201cHCD has been enormously helpful.\u201d And he cheered the \u201coverall \u2026focus on production\u2014because that\u2019s the way to make anything more affordable whether it\u2019s housing or widgets or anything\u2014more supply.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, increasing supply does not make everything more affordable. Houses are not like widgets. In a hot market, allowing more units to be built on a lot raises the amount of profit that can be squeezed of that space and thus the value of the property. Even supply side eminence&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/law.ucdavis.edu\/sites\/g\/files\/dgvnsk10866\/files\/media\/documents\/Auctioning-the-Upzone-White-Paper-Dec.-4.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Chris Elmendorf concedes that point<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Having declared his support for the new housing laws, Eggert went to voice his reservations. \u201cSB 35 and SB 330 are really just nibbling around the edges. I mean, if we\u2019re gonna be just level with each other, if we really want to see housing built.\u201d He unfavorably contrasted the Bay Area with Phoenix and Denver, where \u201cthey\u2019re getting serious, serious production,\u201d because \u201cthey don\u2019t have CEQA or prevailing wage requirements. The laborers are protected, the environment is protected\u2014and it\u2019s working great\u2014okay?\u201d (In June, drought-ridden Arizona&nbsp;prohibited new housing development in the Phoenix area.) Eggert recommended exempting all infill housing from CEQA, \u201cperiod.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Eggert\u2019s biggest gripe was about the requirement to pay prevailing wages\u2014typically union level wages. \u201cSB 35,\u201d he said, is so close to being such a great law. I just want to concur with Ann, how much it helps with the affordable housing, but for market-rate housing, it does not help, because we must pay prevailing wages\u201d and maintain a \u201cskilled and trained workplace,\u201d meaning that workers must have proof that they graduated from an apprentice program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He contrasted the wages for \u201crough framer\u201d carpenters in Colorado, which he said are $40 an hour, or $85,000 to $95,000, a year to their counterpart in the South Bay at $86 an hour and $110,000 to $120,000 a year. \u201cPrevailing wage carpentry\u201d is \u201ca no-go.\u201d \u201cIf you rewrite SB 35 to eliminate the prevailing wage requirement, that brings market-rate housing into play.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the record, according to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dir.ca.gov\/OPRL\/2023-1\/PWD\/Determinations\/Northern\/NC-023-31-1.pd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">California Department of Industrial Relations<\/a>, as of February 22, 2023, the prevailing wage for \u201cCarpenters\u201d\u2014nothing about \u201crough framers\u201d\u2014in Santa Cruz County was $83.71 an hour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like Terner\u2019s report about SB 9\u2019s meager results, Eggert\u2019s tirade against prevailing wages was at odds with the official narrative, in this case the state\u2019s support for construction workers, a story line in whose credibility Wicks has a large stake. In a move that paralleled Wiener\u2019s reprimand of Terner, the assemblymember pushed back. \u201cRespectfully,\u201d she said,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>I wanted to just disagree with the last panelist\u2026.If you look at a bill like AB 2011, yes there are prevailing wage components in it,\u2026but this was also a bill that was supported by the affordable housing developers, as well as the carpenters union and others. We sought to strike a balance, to ensure that we can provide such wages,\u2026it\u2019s important to have the wage set protection, the health care component, the apprenticeship requirement, the&nbsp; so we can build the workforce that we need to. And we believe that providing the CEQA streamlining and the ministerial approval, that streamlining process will then allow developers to&nbsp; ensure that they are paying their workers what we believe they should be\u2026.As someone who\u2019s a big supporter of prevailing wage and the labor movement, but also someone who\u2019s a big housing production person, our goal is to ensure that we do both of those things.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite her avowed support for \u201cthe apprenticeship request,\u201d Wicks didn\u2019t note that AB 2011 has no requirement for housing developers to use a skilled and trained workforce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SB 423 has advanced through the Senate and is now being heard in the Assembly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Coercion as collaboration<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The February 28 hearing was a highly orchestrated piece of political theater in which deviations from the state\u2019s housing narrative were suppressed. But despite Wiener\u2019s and Wick\u2019s assiduous efforts at crowd control, the testimony of one witness exposed a major fault line in the official scenario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>HCD Deputy Director Megan Kirkeby displayed a slide stating that RHNA is \u201ca contract with the state of housing commitments for eight years, and the Housing Accountability Unit will hold jurisdictions to those commitments.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In law, parties cannot enter into a contract under duress. Kirkeby\u2019s usage of \u201ccontract\u201d implies that cities freely negotiated the terms of their RHNAs with the state. That implication is false. The state sets the RHNAs for each region in California, after which each regional agency divvies up its areas allocation among its cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent housing legislation has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/facultyblog.law.ucdavis.edu\/post\/making-it-work-administrative-reform-of-californiae28099s-housing-framework.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">greatly increased HCD\u2019s authority in the RHNA process<\/a>, while leaving much to the agency\u2019s discretion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Timothy Grayson\u2019s AB 879 (2017)&nbsp;required that a city\u2019s preparation of its Housing Element has to meet \u201cstandards\u201d adopted by HCD and eliminated the requirement that HCD formulate those standards pursuant to the state\u2019s Administrative Procedure Act. AB 72 (2017), authored by David Chiu and Miguel Santiago, authorized HCD to refer to the state attorney general cities whose housing element the agency has deemed out of compliance with state housing law. Wiener\u2019s SB 828 (2018) shifted the RHNA mandate from planning for housing to producing it and&nbsp;prohibited a city from arguing that underproduction in a previous RHNA cycle or a stable population justified a lower allocation. Alan Lowenthal\u2019s AB 2158 (2004) eliminated the provision in California law that subjected HCD\u2019s RHNA determinations to judicial review.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On July 27, the Second District Court of Appeals repeatedly referenced AB 2158 (by date, not name) as it&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.courts.ca.gov\/opinions\/nonpub\/B317856.PDF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">affirmed<\/a>&nbsp;the Superior Court of Los Angeles County\u2019s denial of the Orange County Council of Government\u2019s challenge to the RHNAs that HCD had assigned to the Southern California Association of Governments:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*To the extent that the RHNA statutes authorize the Department of Housing to act in multiple capacities, a single administrative agency may legally combine investigative, prosecutorial, and adjudicative functions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s nothing collaborative about the RHNAs. Local governments must do what HCD tells them to do or invite&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/oag.ca.gov\/news\/press-releases\/attorney-general-bonta-issues-legal-guidance-local-governments-attempting-skirt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">prosecution by the state attorney general<\/a>.&nbsp;Kirkeby\u2019s attempt to pass off cities\u2019 relationship with HCD as contractual was the clumsiest cover-up at the hearing. That it emanated from a high-ranking HCD official may explain why Wiener, Wicks, and their fellow legislators let it pass in silence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More likely, it\u2019s that they share her cynicism.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hearing, data show how the state&#8217;s &#8216;streamlining&#8217; supply-side approach is failing. By ZELDA BRONSTEIN AUGUST 1, 2023 (48hills.org) Since the 1970s, apostles of growth have decried local control of land use as the evil that has to be stamped out if housing is ever to become abundant and broadly affordable&#8230;. <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2023\/08\/03\/lots-of-housing-laws-not-much-housing\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[531,659],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27732"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27732"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27732\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27737,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27732\/revisions\/27737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}