f{"id":31261,"date":"2024-01-24T19:21:03","date_gmt":"2024-01-25T03:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=31261"},"modified":"2024-01-24T19:21:04","modified_gmt":"2024-01-25T03:21:04","slug":"trumps-poor-showing-in-new-hampshire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/01\/24\/trumps-poor-showing-in-new-hampshire\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s poor showing in New Hampshire"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Read the results in the context of next November&#8217;s general election<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@robertreich\" target=\"_blank\">ROBERT REICH<\/a> JAN 24, 2024 (robertreich@substack.com)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/7af98984-5501-4bc7-b975-97f2ad1a6d7c?j=eyJ1IjoiZTBpcSJ9.bWAl25BLPe62fl7RlezMOITuH1P4z_cuwPSwD9m_3WI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ecp.yusercontent.com\/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstackcdn.com%2Fimage%2Ffetch%2Fw_2912%2Cc_limit%2Cf_auto%2Cq_auto%3Agood%2Cfl_progressive%3Asteep%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%252Fpublic%252Fimages%252F3f5c3092-98df-4029-aba9-edaec3993fe4_1480x833.jpeg&amp;t=1706152653&amp;ymreqid=d41d8cd9-8f00-b204-1c44-f20a13011e00&amp;sig=AnAQglG3LF9GWeFukdZQ7A--~D\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Friends,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As I noted earlier today, the mainstream media is falling over itself in seeming awe of Trump\u2019s \u201cpowerful\u201d campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The truth is just the opposite. Last week, he won fewer than 3 percent of registered voters in Iowa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Today he won just 53 percent of the vote in New Hampshire\u2019s Republican primary, to Nikki Haley\u2019s 45.9 percent. A 7 percent margin is nothing for him to brag about (although he\u2019ll brag).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For a former Republican president, his showing tonight in New Hampshire and last Monday in Iowa is pitiful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump and his surrogates will undoubtedly try to spin his relatively poor showing in New Hampshire by pointing out that many of the voters were independents rather than Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To be sure, according to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/477d3cc9-3db4-4574-99bc-f80eca5ba4be?j=eyJ1IjoiZTBpcSJ9.bWAl25BLPe62fl7RlezMOITuH1P4z_cuwPSwD9m_3WI\">preliminary exit polls<\/a>, around half of voters in today\u2019s New Hampshire Republican primary identified themselves as Republicans, while 45 percent said they were independents (and 6 percent identified themselves as Democrats).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But that\u2019s exactly the point. Even if Trump dominated Haley among Republicans, he did terribly among independents. Which portends problems for him in the general election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump will of course be the Republican nominee. But he\u2019s likely to be an extraordinarily weak candidate in the general election, given that almost&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/142c9a6d-f582-4b66-ad86-3ce96b0ff604?j=eyJ1IjoiZTBpcSJ9.bWAl25BLPe62fl7RlezMOITuH1P4z_cuwPSwD9m_3WI\">half&nbsp;<\/a>the entire U.S. electorate is independent, while only 25 percent are Republican (and 25 percent are Democrats).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump\u2019s base adores him. Most of the rest of America is justifiably afraid of what he might do with a second term.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Read the results in the context of next November&#8217;s general election ROBERT REICH JAN 24, 2024 (robertreich@substack.com) Friends, As I noted earlier today, the mainstream media is falling over itself in seeming awe of Trump\u2019s \u201cpowerful\u201d campaign. The truth is just the opposite. Last week, he won fewer than 3&#8230; <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/01\/24\/trumps-poor-showing-in-new-hampshire\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[24,840,335],"class_list":["post-31261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-new-hampshire","tag-robert-reich","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump&#039;s poor showing in New Hampshire -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/01\/24\/trumps-poor-showing-in-new-hampshire\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump&#039;s poor showing in New Hampshire -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Read the results in the context of next November&#8217;s general election ROBERT REICH JAN 24, 2024 (robertreich@substack.com) Friends, As I noted earlier today, the mainstream media is falling over itself in seeming awe of Trump\u2019s \u201cpowerful\u201d campaign. The truth is just the opposite. Last week, he won fewer than 3... 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The truth is just the opposite. Last week, he won fewer than 3... 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