{"id":31261,"date":"2024-01-24T19:21:03","date_gmt":"2024-01-25T03:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=31261"},"modified":"2024-01-24T19:21:04","modified_gmt":"2024-01-25T03:21:04","slug":"trumps-poor-showing-in-new-hampshire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/01\/24\/trumps-poor-showing-in-new-hampshire\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump’s poor showing in New Hampshire"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Read the results in the context of next November’s general election<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
ROBERT REICH<\/a> JAN 24, 2024 (robertreich@substack.com)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"\/<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Friends,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As I noted earlier today, the mainstream media is falling over itself in seeming awe of Trump\u2019s \u201cpowerful\u201d campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The truth is just the opposite. Last week, he won fewer than 3 percent of registered voters in Iowa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today he won just 53 percent of the vote in New Hampshire\u2019s Republican primary, to Nikki Haley\u2019s 45.9 percent. A 7 percent margin is nothing for him to brag about (although he\u2019ll brag).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a former Republican president, his showing tonight in New Hampshire and last Monday in Iowa is pitiful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump and his surrogates will undoubtedly try to spin his relatively poor showing in New Hampshire by pointing out that many of the voters were independents rather than Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To be sure, according to preliminary exit polls<\/a>, around half of voters in today\u2019s New Hampshire Republican primary identified themselves as Republicans, while 45 percent said they were independents (and 6 percent identified themselves as Democrats).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But that\u2019s exactly the point. Even if Trump dominated Haley among Republicans, he did terribly among independents. Which portends problems for him in the general election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump will of course be the Republican nominee. But he\u2019s likely to be an extraordinarily weak candidate in the general election, given that almost half <\/a>the entire U.S. electorate is independent, while only 25 percent are Republican (and 25 percent are Democrats).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s base adores him. Most of the rest of America is justifiably afraid of what he might do with a second term.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Read the results in the context of next November’s general election ROBERT REICH JAN 24, 2024 (robertreich@substack.com) Friends, As I noted earlier today, the mainstream media is falling over itself in seeming awe of Trump\u2019s \u201cpowerful\u201d campaign. The truth is just the opposite. Last week, he won fewer than 3… Continue reading → <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[24,840,335],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31261"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31261"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31261\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31262,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31261\/revisions\/31262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31261"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31261"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31261"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}