{"id":32578,"date":"2024-03-31T13:24:25","date_gmt":"2024-03-31T20:24:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=32578"},"modified":"2024-03-31T13:24:26","modified_gmt":"2024-03-31T20:24:26","slug":"how-biden-boxed-himself-in-on-gaza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/03\/31\/how-biden-boxed-himself-in-on-gaza\/","title":{"rendered":"How Biden Boxed Himself In on Gaza"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20997\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%20feature.jpg?cb=28d7f74aca6dd4374f59bcfe96bdebc6&amp;w=200\" alt=\"APR24 Guyer feature.jpg\" title=\"APR24 Guyer feature.jpg\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>(Illustration by Jan Feindt)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The president draws on 50 years of unflagging support for Israel, and not even a humanitarian crisis can dislodge him from that viewpoint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BY&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/topics\/jonathan-guyer\/\">JONATHAN GUYER<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MARCH 28, 2024 prospect.org)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>This article appears in the<\/em><em>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/topics\/apr-2024-issue\/\">April 2024<\/a>&nbsp;issue of<\/em>&nbsp;The American Prospect&nbsp;<em>magazine.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.prospect.org\/api\/pv\/EzI2nGgeY2k4uFOU7wlq3S0OpkIkdFgQakcMVvrcaDmJeflyCPNXySUaAeajz9zJ\/++\/api\/pv\/EzI2nGgeY2k4uFOU7wlq3S0OpkIkdFgQakcMVvrcaDmJeflyCPNXySUaAeajz9zJ\/++\/api\/pv\/nXnNVQrFDli5jQznFFwkrIXlyZY1UmJW5pmSCPMjOtUgNGqvGm04ZPKauva6DPPD\/++\/subscribe\">Subscribe here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has a knack for making world leaders do the jobs of their subordinates. President Joe Biden had to call Netanyahu himself in October\u2014in the first weeks of Israel\u2019s brutal assault on the occupied territory of Gaza in retaliation for the Hamas attacks of October 7\u2014to urge that Israel allow more than 100 trucks of relief aid a day into Gaza. Normally, that\u2019s a task a low-level economic officer at the embassy might handle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Five months later, the situation has only gotten more humiliating, with Palestinians suffering from an Israeli-sponsored famine. In mid-February, White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan was expressing desperation that flour paid for by U.S. taxpayers reach Palestinians in Gaza. USAID Administrator Samantha Power was visiting stockpiles of humanitarian assistance in Jordan that were also held up. Then the Biden administration floated the idea of air-dropping aid into Gaza, a tactic of colossal expense and little value when Israel could just speed inspections and open up more entry points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The next day, Israeli troops launched what became known as the \u201cflour massacre,\u201d opening fire on Palestinians in Gaza waiting in a bread line, killing over 100 people and injuring hundreds more. The U.S. went ahead with the airdrop. Now the administration is planning to build a makeshift port near Gaza City to prevent Israeli forces from stopping U.S. aid with U.S.-made weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/topics\/jonathan-guyer\/\"><em><strong>More from Jonathan Guyer<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. looks powerless. Biden initially warned Israel not to perpetuate the mistakes the U.S. made after the September 11 attacks. \u201cWhile you feel that rage, don\u2019t be consumed by it,\u201d he said to Israelis in October, though now Israel very much has done that and has not faced consequences. If nothing changes, the destruction of Palestine will be a major piece of Biden\u2019s legacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since October 7, the Biden administration has not applied pressure on Netanyahu to stop a widespread humanitarian crisis, but rather has transferred more weapons (often&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national-security\/2024\/03\/06\/us-weapons-israel-gaza\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sidestepping Congress<\/a>&nbsp;to do so), used its veto power at the United Nations to shield Israel from resolutions in support of a cease-fire, and played the role of technocratic fixer, trying to distribute aid that Israel is obligated under international law to provide to Palestinian civilians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts are almost unanimous about what policy changes are needed to save lives today: securing an immediate cease-fire, conditioning weapons transfers on following the laws of war, and withholding diplomatic cover in forums like the U.N. Security Council. Biden\u2019s team has tinkered with its rhetoric incrementally to acknowledge the suffering of Palestinians and call for what they now call a cease-fire (previously, it was a \u201chumanitarian pause\u201d; both would only last six weeks). It has introduced some policy mechanisms that could in the future hold Israel accountable for what have been credibly described as war crimes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But for all of the outcry from voters, officials who have resigned in protest, and Democratic politicians, as well as anonymous, leaked criticisms from Biden\u2019s own team, there has been no re-evaluation of the policy course. Beyond being unable or unwilling to stop Israel\u2019s killing of tens of thousands of Palestinians or the leveling of Gaza, Biden has not even been able to enforce the United States\u2019 own laws on Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reason for Joe Biden\u2019s particular brand of Israel policy is Joe Biden. People who worked with him throughout his 45-year career as senator and then vice president say that on this issue, he is Zionist and pro-Israel, and he means it. He\u2019s been close with every Israeli prime minister since Golda Meir, as he reminds audiences, and his go-to one-liner is \u201cIf Israel didn\u2019t exist, we would have to invent it.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>A willingness to buck the foreign-policy establishment has given Biden confidence in the face of outside criticism, and an allergy to changing course.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>For Biden, Israel is not just a foreign-policy issue. As Haim Saban, the Israeli American businessman who\u2019s raising millions for the re-election campaign,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/liveblog_entry\/pro-israel-megadonor-haim-saban-hosts-fundraiser-for-biden-doesnt-attend-after-testing-positive-for-covid\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">put it<\/a>, Biden is pro-Israel in his gut. \u201cIt\u2019s in his&nbsp;<em>kishkes<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden has at times been forward-thinking on domestic policy and flexible in updating his old-school thinking when it comes to anti-monopoly policy or reproductive rights. As a retail politician, he\u2019s eager to listen to workers on the issues they care about.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On foreign policy, he has often strayed from the Washington establishment, withdrawing from Afghanistan and avoiding knee-jerk hawkishness on China. Not so on Israel and Palestine. And that willingness to buck the establishment has given him confidence in the face of outside criticism, and an allergy to changing course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden is stuck in a box of his own creation. He has watched while Netanyahu runs a war campaign so ruthless, lethal, and indiscriminate that the International Court of Justice is investigating it for charges of genocide. And still, Biden appears oblivious to how much the U.S. electorate has moved in its support of Palestinians. Several&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/12\/19\/us\/politics\/biden-israel-gaza-poll.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recent surveys<\/a>&nbsp;show that a majority of Americans,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/biden-dogged-by-democrats-anger-over-israel-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-02-29\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">especially Democrats<\/a>, disagree with his approach to Israel.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2024\/02\/29\/palestine-democrat-support-election-voters-israel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">American voters\u2019 support for Palestinians<\/a>&nbsp;has been steadily increasing for a decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Can Biden climb out of the box? The self-made trap preceded the war, says Yousef Munayyer, a researcher with the Arab Center Washington DC. \u201cU.S. policy toward this issue was fundamentally flawed on October 6,\u201d he told me. \u201cAnd that really put the U.S. in a horrible position in terms of responding to this crisis once it started.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The driving force behind Biden\u2019s Middle East policy, before the war, was that \u201cPalestine is just not that important anymore,\u201d Munayyer explained. \u201cThat turned out to be catastrophically flawed.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Remembrance of Things Past<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>As a child, Biden lived in a world without the State of Israel. As a politician, his approach to Israel was shaped in the era of the country\u2019s founding, by events that happened before many of his advisers were even born. He speaks about the Jewish state with the flourish of a vintage AIPAC speech. \u201cYou know, the miracle of Israel is Israel. It\u2019s Israel itself\u2014the hope it inspires, the light it represents to the world,\u201d Biden said on October 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI truly believe, were there no Israel, no Jew in the world would be ultimately safe. It\u2019s the only ultimate guarantee,\u201d Biden added, another phrase from his usual repertoire. On that day, many American Jews wondered why America isn\u2019t that place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He so regularly&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.c-span.org\/video\/?c4922076\/user-clip-biden-golda-meir\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recounts<\/a>&nbsp;his 1973 meeting with Golda Meir, and her admonition to him that \u201cWe Jews have a secret weapon in the battle with the Arabs \u2026 we have no place else to go,\u201d that it clearly still informs his thinking. Biden has been even to the right of the ultra-hawkish Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin, founder of the Likud party, which Netanyahu today leads. In 1982, Biden told Begin that he fervently backed Israel\u2019s war on Lebanon, even if it involved Israel killing women and children. \u201cI disassociated myself from these remarks,\u201d Begin&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2021\/04\/27\/biden-israeli-invasion-lebanon\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">told reporters<\/a>&nbsp;upon returning to Israel. \u201cI said to him: No, sir; attention must be paid. According to our values, it is forbidden to hurt women and children, even in war.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s long been a favorite on the pro-Israel circuit. \u201cI don\u2019t think there\u2019s any senator who\u2019s ever done more fundraisers for AIPAC or gone around the country more for AIPAC,\u201d Biden&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.c-span.org\/video\/?25541-1\/us-israel-relations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">told<\/a>&nbsp;their policy conference in 1992. He even&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/politics\/2023\/12\/how-joe-biden-became-americas-top-israel-hawk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">lashed out<\/a>&nbsp;at the George H.W. Bush administration for pushing Israel too hard in its diplomatic efforts that laid the groundwork for a peace process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When the Israeli government embarrassed Biden\u2014and the U.S.\u2014by announcing the construction of new settlements in the West Bank during the vice president\u2019s Middle East trip in 2010, Biden nonetheless&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/i-am-zionist-how-joe-bidens-lifelong-bond-with-israel-shapes-war-policy-2023-10-21\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">defended<\/a>&nbsp;Netanyahu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has ideological blinders, says Khaled Elgindy of the Middle East Institute. Israel for him is a kind of moral touchstone that transcends history and geopolitics, he told me. \u201cMost presidents have had this Israel-centric view of the region, but even they were able to see when Israel went too far. Biden is not able to see that, and that\u2019s the part that\u2019s really astonishing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And he\u2019s missed opportunities to engage with Israel through his term so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=100&amp;h= 100w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=150&amp;h= 150w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=220&amp;h= 220w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=320&amp;h= 320w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=450&amp;h= 450w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=660&amp;h= 660w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55&amp;w=1024&amp;h= 1024w\" alt=\"APR24 Guyer 2.jpeg\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20995\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%202.jpeg?cb=287fa154d464f597a8efcd05820caa55\" width=\"1024\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MAJDI FATHI\/AP PHOTO<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At least half of the buildings in Gaza have been damaged or destroyed, according to researchers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden is hugely popular in Israel, especially after his public bear hug after October 7. Inside the country, there are portraits and murals and graffiti of Biden on street corners, all coming from a place of true goodwill toward the president. But he is unwilling to use what should be a tremendous amount of earned leverage to draw firm red lines in Israel\u2019s military operations and the transfer of humanitarian assistance to Palestinians\u2014or else cut off weapons to Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No one has been able to convince him otherwise. \u201cThis is Biden\u2019s personal project, this is his decision,\u201d Sarah Yager, Washington director of Human Rights Watch, told me. \u201cNobody can touch it except Biden. He is the one that is holding reins of this policy of arming Israel.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Israel is no longer a small, defenseless state. It is a nuclear-armed regional power whose politics has been shaped by the endless occupation of Palestinian lands, policies that Palestinian and Israeli human rights groups have documented as apartheid, and now the incredible lethality that characterizes the ongoing systemic violence in Gaza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Israeli center has been pulled to the right by Netanyahu\u2019s Likud party, with extremist settlers in Bibi\u2019s cabinet like Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir. Emboldened by this fundamentalist flank, West Bank settlers have accelerated attacks against Palestinians\u2014notably in a rampage in the village of Huwara that burned 30 Palestinian homes, with the Israeli military standing by.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, Netanyahu\u2019s extremist allies are using the pretext of Hamas\u2019s attacks to fundamentally reshape Gaza and Palestine. \u201cIsrael this time has a different set of objectives,\u201d Lara Friedman of the Foundation for Middle East Peace told me. \u201cThey want to take this moment to fundamentally change the paradigm and erase Gaza.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Throughout, Biden has held steady, refusing to look outside of this side of the box.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Adviser \u201cGroupthink\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe Middle East is quieter than it has been for decades,\u201d Jake Sullivan, the White House\u2019s foreign-policy gatekeeper, proclaimed a week before Hamas\u2019s attacks in October. He was confident enough to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/world-politics\/2023\/10\/27\/23933817\/israel-palestine-biden-policy-jake-sullivan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">commit<\/a>&nbsp;that to writing in a cover story for<em>&nbsp;Foreign Affairs<\/em>&nbsp;magazine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden was the first Democratic president in a generation to not show&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/world-politics\/2023\/7\/11\/23790305\/biden-middle-east-policy-israel-palestine-tom-nides\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a serious effort toward a Palestinian state<\/a>. The idea was to keep the Middle East, a perennial career-killer, off the president\u2019s desk. That led to a diplomatic void and the further disenfranchisement of Palestinians, which likely contributed to the current war. There were a handful of minor economic summits between Israel, the U.S., and Arab states, while settler violence surged in the West Bank. Even before the October attacks, Israeli human rights watchdog&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com\/files.yesh-din.org\/Updates+to+the+International+Community\/Diploupdate_020124.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Yesh Din<\/a>&nbsp;called 2023 \u201cthe most violent year in settler violence against Palestinians in the West Bank in both the number of incidents and their severity,\u201d which highlights just how late the Biden administration has been in its sanctioning of Israeli settlers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t want to finger one person, but it\u2019s groupthink,\u201d said Jeremy Ben-Ami, the founding president of J Street, which has sought to be a liberal, but still pro-Israel, counterweight to AIPAC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Running point from the White House is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/power\/biden-adviser-brett-mcgurk-invaluable-perspective-primer-ai\/\">Brett McGurk<\/a>, the National Security Council\u2019s coordinator for the Middle East and North Africa, who worked on Iraq in the Bush, Obama, and Trump administrations. McGurk said early on that Biden was pursuing a \u201cback to basics\u201d approach to the Middle East, but it\u2019s unclear where the U.S. would be going back to. (McGurk worked for the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq during the U.S. occupation in 2003, so hopefully not back there!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In contrast, experts say that deputy national security adviser&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/in-the-loop\/wp\/2013\/08\/14\/finer-to-foggy-bottom-danvers-to-paris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Jon Finer<\/a>&nbsp;gets it. Finer, who started his career as a Middle East journalist for&nbsp;<em>The Washington Post<\/em>&nbsp;and worked in the Obama White House, is one of the administration\u2019s progressive voices on foreign policy. In advance of the Michigan primary in February, he was&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/09\/us\/politics\/biden-aide-israel-regret.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">dispatched<\/a>&nbsp;to meet with frustrated Arab American voters in Dearborn. Other advisers include&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/amoshochstein\/status\/1765776061315297626\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Amos Hochstein<\/a>, a U.S.-Israeli dual citizen who has served in the Israeli military; despite holding an energy investment portfolio, Hochstein has been a key voice on national security. There are also two respected Middle East specialists, Philip Gordon and Ilan Goldenberg, who work in Vice President Kamala Harris\u2019s office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>Biden doesn\u2019t seem to get the Arab world, where the cause of Palestine remains popular and galvanizing.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The White House aide who most clearly articulates the president\u2019s perspective is, not surprisingly, spokesperson John Kirby. His defenses of seemingly indefensible Israeli actions from the podium have now become viral memes. A typical line: When Israel had already killed 7,000 Palestinians in Gaza on October 27, Kirby said, \u201cWe\u2019re not drawing red lines for Israel.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington insiders say the White House is directing Israel-Palestine policy, not the State Department.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, the top officials at State, including those who have met with Israel\u2019s war cabinet, largely share Biden\u2019s pro-Israel ideology, chief among them Secretary of State Antony Blinken. As Biden\u2019s longtime aide, he pushed Biden\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/jewishinsider.com\/2020\/10\/tony-blinkens-biden-spiel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pro-Israel viewpoints<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.state.gov\/secretary-antony-j-blinken-at-the-2023-american-israel-public-affairs-committee-policy-summit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">continues to<\/a>, to this day. The special envoy for humanitarian issues,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2005\/08\/18\/politics\/us-diplomat-is-named-in-secrets-case.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">David Satterfield<\/a>, has longtime links to the Israel lobby and managed to avoid any Department of Justice prosecution for handing off confidential information to AIPAC in 2005. Ambassador to Israel Jack Lew served as an informal emissary to the American Jewish community when he was Obama\u2019s chief of staff, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DemMaj4Israel\/status\/1719470790507188718\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Democratic Majority for Israel<\/a>&nbsp;applauded his new appointment. Counselor&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/expanding-circle-peace-opinion-1629790\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Derek Chollet<\/a>&nbsp;also worked as a senior national-security official in the Obama administration, where he shepherded advanced weapons transfers to Israel that were unprecedented. Barbara Leaf, the assistant secretary for Near Eastern affairs, hails from the pro-Israel Washington Institute for Near East Policy. When she co-authored a 2020 essay about U.S. policy toward Israel,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/warontherocks.com\/2020\/09\/the-f-35-triangle-america-israel-the-united-arab-emirates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">she didn\u2019t mention Palestinians<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere is no debate, and criticism of Israel is so hard to express within the administration,\u201d Josh Paul, who resigned in protest from a State Department security assistance job in October, told me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Very few Arab or Muslim Americans serve at high levels of Biden foreign policy.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/jewishinsider.com\/2023\/01\/hady-amr-state-department-biden-administration-foreign-policy-israel-palestinians\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Hady Amr<\/a>, the special representative for Palestinian affairs, has been noticeably absent from press briefings, high-level meetings, and public appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. military, for its part, may be the most skeptical if not downright critical of this whole approach, as epitomized by airman Aaron Bushnell\u2019s self-immolation in front of the Israeli embassy in Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But many of Biden\u2019s appointees to the Pentagon, naturally, share the president\u2019s view. Of note is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/power\/biden-advisers-ride-on-pegasus-nso-spyware\/\">Daniel Shapiro<\/a>, the top civilian for Middle East policy at the Department of Defense, who served as Obama\u2019s ambassador to Israel and then stayed on in the country, working as an adviser to Israeli companies like the notorious spyware-maker NSO Group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, Biden\u2019s most important adviser is Biden. He believes in his own foreign-policy judgment and won\u2019t be easily swayed by others. Meanwhile, Biden\u2019s advisers say that they are working tirelessly to tinker with policies, but there is no major reassessment in the works.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEvery time their policy has shown to not be working, instead of changing course or adjusting, they double down on it,\u201d Elgindy told me. \u201cAt this point they are so heavily invested in what is a catastrophically failed approach, and to change course in anything but rhetoric would mean conceding that they were wrong from the beginning.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>A Shifting Electorate<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden\u2019s formative years in Washington were a time when being reflexively pro-Israel was good politics. From his perspective, you never pay a price for being too supportive of Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe group of people around him in his close political circle went by the rulebook of the 1990s,\u201d Ben-Ami told me. \u201cAnd God forbid you do something that gets you on the wrong side of the Jewish community.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That may have been true when Biden was a junior senator, but today he speaks for a much narrower constituency. While many older voters share his views, he has grown out of touch with younger voters, minority voters, and Arab voters. Those groups happen to increasingly occupy positions in Democratic campaigns and as political appointees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tariq Habash, a Palestinian American appointee, was the first member of the Biden administration to resign over Gaza. Habash told me Biden has been willing to \u201cembrace innovative policies on domestic issues,\u201d like in forgiving student loans, which Habash was leading in the Department of Education. Habash says Biden has been on the \u201cforefront of listening to working Americans.\u201d But on Palestine, Biden won\u2019t move from his \u201cunrelenting support and unrestricted military funding.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThey have not been listening for the past four and a half months\u201d to Arab Americans, Habash told me. \u201cIf you\u2019re not willing to take tiny steps to exert any kind of pressure, why would you expect Arabs to come out and vote for you?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This also contributes to the experience of many Arab Americans who feel that Biden lacks humanity and empathy for them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=100&amp;h= 100w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=150&amp;h= 150w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=220&amp;h= 220w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=320&amp;h= 320w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=450&amp;h= 450w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=660&amp;h= 660w, https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565&amp;w=1024&amp;h= 1024w\" alt=\"APR24 Guyer 3.jpeg\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/downloads\/20994\/download\/APR24%20Guyer%203.jpeg?cb=cf3ec2a13977b7d1108be8d09289b565\" width=\"1024\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CARLOS OSORIO\/AP PHOTO<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arab American protesters in Dearborn, Michigan. The Uncommitted campaign received 13 percent of the primary vote in the state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hundreds of members of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/world-politics\/2023\/11\/9\/23953714\/biden-campaign-alumni-want-gaza-ceasefire-state-department-dissent-memo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Biden\u2019s own campaign staff have spoken out<\/a>, and members of the White House have begun&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2024\/jan\/29\/government-employees-hunger-strike-gaza-crisis-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">organizing protests<\/a>. \u201cIslamophobia is not being taken seriously,\u201d a current White House official with the group Staffers for Ceasefire told me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In response to the electoral realities of the Democratic Party in 2024, Biden\u2019s team has slightly changed its message and amped up its humanitarian efforts. But those tonal shifts haven\u2019t come with significant policy changes. And that was not enough to win over the 100,000 voters in Michigan who rebuked Biden with an uncommitted vote in the primary. While that accounted for a little over 13 percent of the primary vote, in Minnesota the next week,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/03\/05\/us\/elections\/results-minnesota-democratic-presidential-primary.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">nearly 19 percent of the vote<\/a>&nbsp;cast an uncommitted ballot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This side of the box may be the one that Biden may be forced to confront head on. He might lose the election over this issue. But for now, Biden\u2019s team is helping him&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/joe-biden\/biden-aides-shield-president-pro-palestinian-protests-rcna141251\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">avoid pro-Palestine protests<\/a>&nbsp;on the campaign trail rather than address the root of the dissent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Misunderstanding the Middle East<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Arab cartoonists are already&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/kidsmokk\/p\/C38JHUMIOlh\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">skewering President Biden\u2019s callousness<\/a>&nbsp;for licking an ice-cream cone while prognosticating about a temporary cease-fire (a prediction that didn\u2019t come true). Does the Biden administration grasp how detested its policies are in the Arab Middle East?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden doesn\u2019t seem to get the Arab world, where the cause of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/world-politics\/2023\/10\/14\/23914904\/arab-world-israel-palestine-conflict-middle-east\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Palestine remains popular and galvanizing<\/a>. And he has lost a lot of Arabs who were on his side. As Emile Hokayem of the British think tank IISS&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/emile_hokayem\/status\/1763509613582852242\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">said<\/a>, \u201cthe disaster in Gaza has completely disabused a large segment of liberals and professionals in the Arab world about Western claims of upholding and caring about values in the conduct of foreign policy.\u201d That will detract from the United States\u2019 ability to assert its interests, in the Middle East and beyond.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>United Nations votes show America isolated from the world, with just a few countries on its side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, Biden\u2019s concept of the U.S. as an indispensable superpower requires huge costs and major risks\u2014especially to U.S. personnel, as evidenced by the killing of three U.S. troops in Jordan in January. Thousands of service members continue to participate in endless wars in Iraq, Syria, and a network of bases in the Middle East and Africa, and run the risk of getting drawn into this war. For all of Biden\u2019s enthusiasm to end the war in Afghanistan, no such commitment has been shown for these forever wars. So the U.S. is caught fighting old, irrelevant conflicts under the guise of countering ISIS or Iran or continuing the war on terrorism, and coming under fire at a time when militant groups see the U.S. as complicit in Israel\u2019s slaughter of Palestinians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In that climate, Biden\u2019s advisers thought they could clinch a long-shot deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia, and just set aside Palestinians. The concept is an extension of the \u201cAbraham Accords,\u201d an initiative of President Trump. Even now, Biden\u2019s team has kept in place Jared Kushner\u2019s formula of casting away Palestinian aspirations in service of pushing to normalize relations between Israel and Arab countries. In doing so, Biden kept in place most of Trump\u2019s Mideast policies. (Only in February, four and a half months into the war, did the Biden administration overturn the Pompeo Doctrine of not viewing Israeli settlements as against international law.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The administration is clinging to the triple bank shot of a policy that: (a) Saudi Arabia would at long last normalize diplomatic relations with Israel, in exchange for (b) an Israeli pledge toward the establishment of a Palestinian state and (c) U.S. inducements for Saudi Arabia that might include nuclear technology and even an American security guarantee for the kingdom, which polling shows Americans don\u2019t support. This would require so many contingencies\u2014the buy-in of Israel\u2019s extreme right-wing government, congressional approval, and fast-moving politics in an election year\u2014that it\u2019s difficult to take it seriously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The idea is reminiscent of another Biden fantasy solution, the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2006\/05\/01\/opinion\/01biden.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">three-way partition of Iraq along ethnic lines<\/a>&nbsp;that he dreamed up with the late foreign-policy strategist Leslie Gelb. It was a ridiculous and incendiary idea that didn\u2019t take into account how U.S. foreign policy affects actual people. By the way, as an undergraduate, Sullivan worked as Gelb\u2019s intern at the Council on Foreign Relations, and now at the White House, he continues to channel that Great Game mentality of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/magazine\/archive\/2019\/01\/yes-america-can-still-lead-the-world\/576427\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. exceptionalism in the world<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>In a Box With Biden<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless President Biden is willing to kick down the sides of the box\u2014checking his own assumptions about Israel, facing down the realities of the electorate, turning to new advisers with a broader perspective, and seeing the Middle East as it is\u2014he will remain constrained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many policies to ensure human rights and accountability are already enshrined in law. They are lying in wait, unused. \u201cIf we\u2019re going to keep arming Israel then there\u2019s not that much to talk about,\u201d Yager told me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On most topics in any presidential administration, credit or blame can be broadly distributed. But in this case, the pro-Israel directives are coming from the president himself, with his instincts from another era. \u201cBiden has a multi-decade career where he has proudly stood with Israel at every turn,\u201d Zaha Hassan of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace told me. \u201cThe idea that now, in his later years, he is going to want to distract from that legacy is unlikely.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most powerful foreign-policy officials in the Biden administration are negotiating with Israel about getting more flour into Gaza, tweaking rhetoric in press conferences, urging their boss to adjust small policies on the margin, like holding Israeli settlers to account, while failing to make the bigger adjustments needed to deal with the gravity of the crisis at hand. The story is not really one of foreign policy, but of the ideology and psychology of President Biden.<a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/topics\/jonathan-guyer\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/topics\/jonathan-guyer\/\">JONATHAN GUYER<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Jonathan Guyer is a foreign-policy reporter and editor based in New York. He worked as managing editor of the Prospect from 2019 to 2021.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Illustration by Jan Feindt) The president draws on 50 years of unflagging support for Israel, and not even a humanitarian crisis can dislodge him from that viewpoint. BY&nbsp;JONATHAN GUYER&nbsp; MARCH 28, 2024 prospect.org) This article appears in the&nbsp;April 2024&nbsp;issue of&nbsp;The American Prospect&nbsp;magazine.&nbsp;Subscribe here. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has a&#8230; <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/03\/31\/how-biden-boxed-himself-in-on-gaza\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32578"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32578"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32578\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32579,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32578\/revisions\/32579"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32578"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}