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by\u00a0KELLY WALDRON<\/a><\/strong> JUNE 12, 2024 (MissionLocal.org)<\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"A](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newspack-missionlocal.s3.amazonaws.com\/mission\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/featured-1.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1\")
Leer en espa\u00f1ol<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n If voters were to head to the polls to elect a new mayor today, Mark Farrell would likely come out on top in first-place votes, a poll<\/a> commissioned by his campaign shows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The poll, conducted by Impact Research \u2014 whose past clients include President Joseph Biden, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama \u2014 shows little headway for Mayor London Breed since The San Francisco Chronicle <\/em>published its poll<\/a> in February. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Since that time, Board of Supervisors President Aaron Peskin has joined the race<\/a>, but the top three contenders remain the same: Farrell would be the first-choice candidate for 23 percent of respondents; followed by Breed, with 21 percent; and Daniel Lurie, a Levi Strauss heir and nonprofit CEO, with 20 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 23%<\/p>\n\n\n\n Farrell<\/p>\n\n\n\n 21%<\/p>\n\n\n\n Breed<\/p>\n\n\n\n Lurie<\/p>\n\n\n\n 20%<\/p>\n\n\n\n Peskin<\/p>\n\n\n\n 17%<\/p>\n\n\n\n Safa\u00ed<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4%<\/p>\n\n\n\n Other<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5%<\/p>\n\n\n\n Undecided<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11%<\/p>\n\n\n\n 500 likely voters were surveyed by phone and online in English, Spanish, Mandarin and Cantonese between June 1 and June 6. Source: Impact Research, via Mark Farrell\u2019s campaign. Chart by Kelly Waldron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Peskin is ranked second-to-last, and would receive 17 percent of the first-choice votes, according to the poll, followed by Supervisor Ahsha Safa\u00ed, with a dwindling four percent. Eleven percent of respondents said their first choice remains undecided, and five percent said they would choose another candidate. More than 50 people have entered the race.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n The margin of error for this poll is 4.5 percent which, in effect, means any of the top contenders could be in first place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cThese results show a 3-way tie for first place, with Farrell\u2019s support having plateaued while Lurie continues to gain ground. Ultimately, Lurie\u2019s field leading favorability reflects that he\u2019s best positioned to prevail in a rank choice voting contest,\u201d said David Binder, the pollster for Lurie\u2019s campaign. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Jim Stearns, a political consultant for Peskin\u2019s campaign, said he does not comment on other people\u2019s polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The results are suboptimal for Breed who, during her campaign, has put a positive spin on the state of the city: She has recently touted declining crime rates<\/a>, what she calls the city\u2019s \u201cenlightenment period<\/a>,\u201d and events such as a recent impromptu Skrillex<\/a> rave. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In the survey, 67 percent of respondents gave Breed a negative favorability rating, and 56 percent said that \u201cthings in San Francisco are going poorly, and we need a drastic change to get back on track.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n Those results are not markedly different from those obtained by the Chronicle<\/em> in February. In that survey of 812 likely voters, 71 percent of respondents disapproved of Breed\u2019s performance as mayor<\/p>\n\n\n\n While other candidates have commissioned their own polls, Farrell\u2019s campaign is the first to publicize any results, presumably because it means spreading a good word. <\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cOur campaign has been in first place since launch, we are taking nothing for granted, and have no intention of easing off the gas,\u201d said Farrell, in a statement. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Farrell echoed a similar sentiment at his recent campaign headquarters launch<\/a> in West Portal. During the event, his team applauded their campaign\u2019s progress, but warned against becoming complacent. \u201cWe cannot rest on our laurels,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Farrell\u2019s campaign also released select responses to other questions, including an open-ended question where respondents were asked to describe each candidate. Eleven percent described Farrell as \u201cexperienced,\u201d while 6 percent described him as \u201cmoderate.\u201d Farrell\u2019s campaign would not disclose whether these were the most common words received. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Lurie received the highest favorability rating, 39 percent, followed by Farrell at 36 percent and Peskin at 26 percent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Impact Research conducted the survey over the phone and web, in English, Spanish, Mandarin and Cantonese from June 1 to 6. Responses from 500 likely voters were collected. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Requests for comment were made on Wednesday morning to the Breed, Lurie, Peskin and Safa\u00ed campaigns, and this story will be updated when they reply. <\/p>\n\n\n\n kelly@missionlocal.com<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Kelly is Irish and French <\/p>\n\n\n\n Sand grew up in Dublin and Luxembourg. She studied Geography at McGill University and worked at a remote sensing company in Montreal, making maps and analyzing methane data, before turning to journalism. She recently graduated from the Data Journalism program at Columbia Journalism School.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Source: https:\/\/missionlocal.org\/2024\/06\/farrells-new-poll-shows-little-movement-for-breed\/?utm_medium=email&utm_source=Mission+Local&utm_campaign=6e7e1789e6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2024_06_12_04_35&utm_term=0_-6e7e1789e6-[LIST_EMAIL_ID]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Farrell is the first choice among respondents, followed by London Breed and Daniel Lurie by\u00a0KELLY WALDRON JUNE 12, 2024 (MissionLocal.org) Leer en espa\u00f1ol If voters were to head to the polls to elect a new mayor today, Mark Farrell would likely come out on top in first-place votes, a poll commissioned by… Continue reading Farrell remains first choice among likely voters, poll shows<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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<\/p>\n\n\n\nMORE ELECTION COVERAGE<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nSee how they run: With Mariachi music, Safa\u00ed\u2019s Mission HQ opens<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
![\"District](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newspack-missionlocal.s3.amazonaws.com\/mission\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/District-7-Banner.png?resize=800%2C600&ssl=1\")
<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nDistrict 7 candidates: What will you do to support children and families?<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\nSo many Speedo jokes at Aaron Peskin\u2019s birthday roast<\/a><\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
KELLY WALDRON<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n