{"id":36710,"date":"2024-10-05T13:51:29","date_gmt":"2024-10-05T20:51:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/?p=36710"},"modified":"2024-10-05T13:51:30","modified_gmt":"2024-10-05T20:51:30","slug":"do-the-math-trump-is-toast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occupysf.net\/index.php\/2024\/10\/05\/do-the-math-trump-is-toast\/","title":{"rendered":"Do the Math: Trump Is Toast"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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If everyone does their part in the next few weeks, Trump is going down in flames. So say I.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
MICHAEL MOORE<\/a> OCT 4, 2024 <\/td><\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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Right now, if you know how to really<\/em> read the polls, or if you have access to the various private and internal polling being conducted by and shared only amongst<\/em> the elites, Wall Street, and Members of Congress, then you already know that this election was over weeks ago. Trump simply refused to believe that \u201cSleepy Joe\u201d was no longer his opponent and that there was instead \u201csome woman\u201d claiming she was \u201cBlack\u201d who was now going to pummel him on Election Day. He soon became unhinged, ranted for hours about Hannibal Lecter, Haitians cannibalizing your pets, and a nonstop drone of oral diarrhea spewing misogyny, racism and essentially claiming that if he loses \u201cit will be the Jews\u2019 fault.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The vast majority of the country, the normal people, have seen enough and want the clown car to disappear into the MAGA vortex somewhere between reality and Orlando. The swift and explosive momentum for Kamala Harris is unlike anything that\u2019s been seen in decades. Which is why maybe at this point in my rant I just need to say out loud that which is being said to me in private by people I respect \u2014 and not just in whispers, but in excited tones of exuberance<\/em>: That a new era is being born<\/strong>, one where caucasian is just one of the options but no longer the bossy pants of the world. Where it\u2019s OK if you\u2019re missing the lower right quadrant of the second X chromosome thus making it a \u201cy\u201d which means you\u2019re never going to have your own fallopian tubes so just deal with it and keep your hands off the gender who has them. Simple. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

An aggregate of top polls as of today shows that Harris will defeat Trump in the Electoral College count by 270 to 268.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But I think we need more. We need to ensure that Trump loses in a landslide, <\/strong>with numbers so massive, the likes of which haven\u2019t been seen since the entire country tuned in to watch Geraldo open up Al Capone\u2019s vault. Because that\u2019s the only way to guarantee his permanent removal from the public eye. We should settle for nothing less. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

As it stands now, here are the basic conclusions I\u2019ve come to by simply being around my fellow Americans who are shopping at Costco, having fun making TikToks and eating once a week at Chili\u2019s:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Harris will win 6 states west of the Rockies<\/strong>: Colorado, New Mexico, California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Harris will also win 6 of the 8 Great Lakes States<\/strong>: Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania and New York.* <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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And Harris will win the District of Columbia<\/strong> and the 10 New England and Atlantic states<\/strong> from the Canadian border to Virginia \u2014 including Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Sorry, we just ran out of clip art for \u201cKnow My States!\u201d You know what they look like.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the 2 states that don\u2019t do winner-take-all electors, Maine and Nebraska, Trump will win one elector from Maine and Harris will win one elector from Nebraska<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So right now the crystal ball brings the Harris and Trump totals to\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Harris: 270<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Trump: 268<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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Since losing the debate to Harris, Trump\u2019s momentum has come to a screeching halt. Even with Vance \u201cwinning\u201d the debate on Tuesday night with his \u201ccharm,\u201d \u201ccivility,\u201d \u201cpoliteness\u201d and \u201cthe\u201c \u201cSatanic\u201d \u201claser rays\u201d \u201cshooting\u201d \u201cout\u201d \u201cfrom\u201d \u201chis\u201d \u201ceyes\u201d \u201cinto\u201d \u201cour\u201d \u201cbrains,\u201d it did not help change anyone\u2019s mind. Harris continues on her rocket ship, never slowing down and only increasing her popularity each day. Trump\u2019s voting base is now severely depressed and more and more they have that sinking feeling as they realize there is no way now for Trump or the Astros to win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BUT\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You and I know that there are always<\/em> ways for him to win. We just don\u2019t know what they are because we don\u2019t have \u201c666\u201d inscribed on our foreheads in invisible ink. We do know that Trump has a stellar streak of pulling off the impossible \u2014 and those who have written him off have more than once lived to see the day where they must eat humble pie. It is never wise to do a victory dance on the two-yard line when Trump is your opponent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, each of us must still do our work to get out the vote and, most importantly, make sure Harris has a Democratic House and Senate elected next month to pass her\/our legislation next year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I know many of you are still afraid that somehow Trump is going to win. So, knowing how skittish many of you are about November 5th, let me break it down for you and show you how difficult winning is going to be for him. And even if he picks off a swing state or two, there will be more than one way to stop him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here are the 3 scenarios:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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  1. If Trump wins Michigan, Harris can overcome that by winning either Georgia <\/strong>or<\/strong><\/em> North Carolina<\/strong>. That\u2019s all she\u2019ll need. Or, if Harris can\u2019t pull that off, she can still lose Michigan and <\/strong>be the new president by winning Arizona AND Nevada<\/strong>. One little hiccup: When Biden and Harris won Michigan in 2020, they did so with a whopping 66% of the Arab and Muslim vote. 130,000 Arab\/Muslim Michiganders voted for Biden and Harris \u2014 more than double what Trump got. But polls here in Michigan since last October have shown that the vast majority of Biden\u2019s Arab voters decided not to vote for his ticket come this November due to his funding and arming of Netanyahu\u2019s slaughter of the people in Gaza. By summer, I thought President Biden would have stopped this. Sadly, that did not happen. And to this day, Biden has refused to demand that those to whom we give our bombs and our billions in Israel must follow our laws and refrain from committing war crimes. What Biden did do that may save the vote in Michigan was to stop running for president, and instead, turn the reins over to his Vice President who had been pushing for a ceasefire and a compliance to our American values of human rights and not killing civilians. Her personal critique of Prime Minister Netanyahu was exactly what the majority of the Americans wanted. An end to the war on Gaza. She supported protecting the lives of Israelis, but she was not going to stand for the use of mass starvation as a weapon of war. I think she felt pretty strongly about this \u2014 so much so that when Netanyahu came to address a joint session of Congress, with a speech full of vitriol and an out-of-control condemnation of the youth of America who had organized mass protests across the country to stop the madness, she refused to attend his speech and thus not sit with him on the platform. He was appalled, and the next day he made a beeline to Mar-a-Lago to commiserate with the American Bibi. There are those who understand the symbolism of what happened that week and, like me, hold out a profound hope that U.S. policy regarding Israel\/Palestine will soon be better. One sign of that is from two new polls in Michigan which show that Harris\u2019s chances may now have improved over Biden\u2019s with the Arab-American community. But not all the way. She is still 18 points behind the vote they both received in Michigan in 2020. But hey, no biggie. Do we really need Michigan to win in November? Since WWII, the last Democrat who won the White House while<\/strong> losing<\/em> the state of Michigan was\u2026 NO ONE! (Well, except for the one and only president in all of history who was actually from <\/em>Michigan \u2014 Gerald Ford.) As Michelle Goldberg from the New York Times wrote, \u201cIf You Lose Michigan, You Lose the White House.\u201dSo what can Biden do to help his Vice President? Does he really feel good telling the Arabs and Muslims of Detroit and Flint to go f*** themselves? Hey Mr. President, don\u2019t worry about us! Heck, we\u2019re used to it. Our 10,000 kids who got brain damage from drinking the poisoned water of Flint when a Democrat was in the White House \u2014 I\u2019m sure these young people won\u2019t hold it against anyone when they\u2019re finally old enough to vote in the next election.**<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. If Trump wins Pennsylvania, then Harris MUST win either Georgia <\/strong>or<\/strong><\/em> North Carolina \u2014<\/strong> PLUS either Nevada <\/strong>or<\/strong><\/em> Arizona.<\/strong> <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. If Trump wins Michigan AND Pennsylvania, Harris can still beat him by winning Georgia, North Carolina AND either Nevada <\/strong>or<\/strong><\/em> Arizona<\/strong>. <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    And even if the worst case happens with Trump winning Michigan, Pennsylvania and<\/em> Wisconsin, Harris will still go to the White House if she wins Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona AND Nevada.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Share<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    My own gut reaction is that there will be an uprising of women at the polls, handing Trump a historic defeat in which Harris could win it in a landslide:<\/p>\n\n\n\n