
Glass Empires investigates the architects of constitutional rot. Free subscribers receive every article. Devoted readers who became patrons sponsored today’s work.
| W. A. Lawrence Jul 27, 2026 |
The Pentagon scheduled the National Guard’s Washington, D.C., crime-emergency deployment to end on January 20, 2029. Federal officials simultaneously committed taxpayers to a three-year apartment lease extending five months beyond that date, yet omitted that obligation from their public announcement. The deployment carries a projected price tag of roughly $2.5 billion.

Art credit: Winslow Homer, Searchlight on Harbor Entrance, Santiago de Cuba (1901). Homer directs a searchlight across the harbor to examine surveillance, military authority, and American power after the Spanish-American War. He confines visibility to a narrow beam, leaving most of the harbor dark and emphasizing occupation, uncertainty, and control.
Pentagon leaders extended the Washington, D.C., National Guard deployment through January 20, 2029. On June 22, contracting officers awarded Placemakr $292 million for as many as 2,000 apartments.
Federal officials waited 31 days to announce the agreement. Their July 23 release named the cost and apartment total but concealed a three-year term running five months past the deployment’s end date.
Steve Bannon urged Trump on a February podcast to invoke the Insurrection Act and call up the 82nd and 101st Airborne. Bannon wanted those soldiers stationed at polling places during the November 2026 midterms. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth declined to say whether he would refuse such an order.
The Insurrection Act lets a president deploy federal troops inside the United States without a governor’s consent. Trump has already deployed Guard units in Washington, D.C.
Former NSA litigation counsel George Croner expects Trump to invoke the Insurrection Act. Congress gave presidents broad discretion under the statute and did not set an expiration date.
GSA and District Guard officials arranged the agreement. Bureau officials called the purchase the largest interagency lodging acquisition in National Guard history. Bureau officials say the apartments cost nearly 50 percent less than projected hotel rates and 27 percent less than standard GSA rates.
The reported financial savings fail to explain the three-year commitment. Contracting officers typically could have chosen a one-year base period with separate option years. Acquisition officials selected the longer term without explaining their decision. The government still may cancel the order for convenience, while Placemakr may recover only costs already incurred.
On January 28, 2026, Congressional Budget Office analysts told Senator Jeff Merkley that city deployments cost $93 million monthly. Analysts priced the District at $55 million monthly for more than 2,690 personnel. However, current costs exceed that estimate.
Analysts project $2.5 billion by the lease expiration. Taxpayers will spend $330 million from January through June 2026 and $1.98 billion during the remaining 36 months. CBO analysts priced lodging into that monthly rate. Officers awarded Placemakr the apartment contract five months afterward.
CBO analysts priced each Guard member at $607 daily, the highest rate among deployment cities. Niskanen researchers priced a Metropolitan Police officer at $384 daily. Taxpayers paid more and received fewer measurable results.
Independent investigations cannot continue at the rate of one -two upgrades per week for this level of work. Can you upgrade with a paid membership?
President Trump signed Executive Order 14333 on August 11, 2025, declaring a crime emergency in Washington. Trump claimed the capital was unsafe for federal employees and visitors.
Presidents command the District Guard without a governor’s consent. Section 12406 requires governors to approve state Guard federalization, but Congress placed the District in a separate legal category. Administration lawyers cited that distinction, and Judge Patricia Millett accepted their argument in her December stay.
Niskanen Center analysts reviewed police data behind the Trump administration’s claims of high crime levels. They found a 24 percent decline in opportunistic property crime, but there was no change in violent crime, although officials used violent crime to justify the deployment.
The researchers also mapped troop assignments. Commanders placed Guard members in commercial districts, transit centers, and tourist areas but sent none southeast of the Anacostia River, where residents reported the highest violent-crime levels. Senators Andy Kim and Gary Peters identified that disparity in a February report.
Roughly 5,000 Guard members now patrol the capital after Trump mobilized 800 in August 2025.
Officials described the mission as a temporary response to a crime emergency. Yet, in September 2025, Guard members told CNN they still lacked a clear purpose for the deployment. A Tennessee guardsman patrolled Chinatown from 4 p.m. until 4 a.m. A Louisiana member told his wife he did not understand the assignment.
Another Guard member said morale was “falling fast.” In January, a District guardsman called the mission “bungled and immoral” in Washingtonian. Each member spoke anonymously because they feared retaliation.
A gunman shot two Guard members near the White House on November 26, 2025. West Virginia National Guard Specialist Sarah Beckstrom, twenty, died the following day. Sergeant Andrew Wolfe of the same unit survived serious injuries. Trump then sent 500 additional soldiers into Washington.
D.C. Attorney General Brian Schwalb sued the administration on September 4, 2025. Schwalb cited the Home Rule Act and the Posse Comitatus Act. Schwalb wrote that “armed soldiers should not be policing American citizens on American soil.” Judge Jia Cobb granted a preliminary injunction on November 20, 2025. Cobb ruled that Trump lacked authority to deploy the Guard for crime control.
Three D.C. Circuit judges stayed that injunction on December 17. Judge Patricia Millett cited the District’s separate legal status. Six justices ruled on December 23, 2025, that Trump likely lacked authority to federalize Illinois Guard units. Seventh Circuit judges had written on October 16 that “political opposition is not rebellion.”
Congress wrote Section 12406 to route state federalization orders through governors. Officials send District orders directly to the D.C. Guard commanding general. The justices addressed Illinois alone. Guard units, therefore, will remain in the District.
The contract’s duration matters because governments often extend temporary military measures beyond their original justification. American officials called the August 2025 deployment temporary. Myanmar’s generals also promised only one year of emergency rule.
On February 1, 2021, acting president Myint Swe transferred all three government branches to armed forces commander Min Aung Hlaing. Hlaing promised elected civilian rule, extended emergency rule four times, and still commands Myanmar five years later.
The Tatmadaw justified the takeover with fraud claims about the November 2020 election. Election commission staff found insufficient evidence of decisive irregularities, and outside monitors agreed. Junta-appointed commissioners annulled the results in July 2021.
Myanmar held elections between December 2025 and January 2026. Officials banned the National League for Democracy and dozens of rival parties, then cancelled voting across rebel territory. The military’s proxy party won most contested seats. UN Special Rapporteur Tom Andrews urged foreign governments to reject the results.
Four key differences limit the comparison. Myanmar’s generals drafted the 2008 Constitution and wrote Articles 417 and 418. International IDEA scholars later found the emergency declaration unlawful under that charter. Myanmar’s generals command one unified army, while American governors command separate Guard units.
At the May 30, 2021, For God & Country Patriot Roundup in Dallas, a Marine asked Michael Flynn why Americans could not repeat Myanmar’s coup. Flynn replied that such an outcome “should happen” in America, and the audience applauded. Flynn denied that meaning on Telegram the next night, but PolitiFact reviewers confirmed the exchange on video.
Out-of-state Guard members serve under Title 32. Congress funds those deployments, while governors retain command. Judge Cobb explained the command arrangement in her November 2025 opinion. South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster wrote that he “can and will” recall his soldiers immediately during a hurricane.
Governors can recall troops for reasons beyond storms. Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear withdrew his sole Guard member after officials reassigned the soldier without permission.
All thirteen District Council members sent recall letters to Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer and U.S. Virgin Islands Governor Albert Bryan. Minnesota Governor Tim Walz recalled his troops later that month.
Two governors have recalled their troops, while every remaining governor retains the same power and can act.
Two Questions That Could End the Deployment
- Residents of states with troops in Washington can ask their governor: “Will you recall our state’s National Guard members from the District of Columbia deployment?”
- Readers can ask their representative and both senators: “Will you support legislation setting an end date for the District deployment?”
Keep every message brief, factual, and signed with a real name.
Every investigation exists because a small number of remarkable readers refused to assume someone else would step up. Annual membership is the best value at just 22¢ per day and helps me cover ongoing production expenses. Vanguard members help expand the work for 51¢ per day.
Sources
Official Records and Primary Documents
- Executive Office of the President. “Declaring a Crime Emergency in the District of Columbia.” Executive Order 14333, August 11, 2025. Federal Register, August 14, 2025.
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/08/14/2025-15550/declaring-a-crime-emergency-in-the-district-of-columbia - National Guard Bureau. “National Guard Awards Contract to Support Mobilized DC Troops.” July 23, 2026.
https://www.nationalguard.mil/News/Article-View/Article/4553683/national-guard-awards-contract-to-support-mobilized-dc-troops/ - Congressional Budget Office. “Estimating the Costs of Troop Deployments to U.S. Cities.” Letter to Senator Jeff Merkley, January 28, 2026.
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61943 - Office of the Attorney General for the District of Columbia. “Attorney General Schwalb Sues to End Illegal National Guard Deployment in DC.” September 4, 2025.
https://oag.dc.gov/release/attorney-general-schwalb-sues-end-illegal-national - United States District Court for the District of Columbia. District of Columbia v. Donald J. Trump, No. 25-cv-3005. Memorandum Opinion, November 20, 2025.
https://oag.dc.gov/sites/default/files/2025-11/National_Guard_Ruling.pdf - Supreme Court of the United States. Trump v. Illinois, No. 25A443. Order on Application for Stay, December 23, 2025.
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25a443_new_b07d.pdf - Office of South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster. “Gov. Henry McMaster Authorizes Deployment of National Guard to Washington, D.C.” August 16, 2025.
https://governor.sc.gov/news/2025-08/gov-henry-mcmaster-authorizes-deployment-national-guard-washington-dc - Noel, Thibaut. “Unconstitutionality of the 2021 Military Coup in Myanmar.” International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, March 2022.
https://www.idea.int/sites/default/files/publications/unconstitutionality-of-the-2021-military-coup-in-myanmar.pdf - Hilton. “Hilton Introduces Apartment Collection by Hilton: Furnished Apartment Accommodations, Hosted by Hilton.” January 15, 2026.
https://stories.hilton.com/releases/hilton-introduces-apartment-collection-by-hilton
Contract, Deployment, and Cost Reporting
- Associated Press. “National Guard Deployment to DC Will Last Through Trump’s Term.” July 2026.
https://apnews.com/article/national-guard-deployment-extended-trump-dc-39b886397af1a335694630d27930eb7b - Nieberg, Patty. “National Guard Will Spend $290 Million on Apartments for Washington Troops.” Task & Purpose, July 24, 2026.
https://taskandpurpose.com/news/national-guard-dc-housing-contract/ - Fernández, Raymond. “National Guard Signs $292M Housing Contract for Troops in Washington, D.C.” NOTUS, July 24, 2026.
https://www.notus.org/defense/national-guard-housing-contract-troops - Battistin, Erich, Richard Hahn, Samantha Pérez-Dávila, and Borui Sun. “Washington, D.C.’s Crime Decline and Its Lessons for American Policing.” Niskanen Center, May 28, 2026.
https://www.niskanencenter.org/washington-dc-crime-decline-and-its-lessons-for-american-policing/ - Associated Press. “Federal Appeals Court Allows National Guard Deployment in Washington to Continue for Now.” The Boston Globe, December 17, 2025.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/12/17/nation/appeals-court-dc-national-guard/ - Rosen, Caitlyn. “Seventh Circuit Reaffirms Order Blocking National Guard Deployment in Illinois.” Courthouse News Service, October 16, 2025.
https://courthousenews.com/seventh-circuit-reaffirms-order-blocking-national-guard-deployment-in-illinois/ - Croner, George. “Presidential Discretion and the Insurrection Act.” Lawfare, June 16, 2026.
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/presidential-discretion-and-the-insurrection-act - Orpett, Natalie K., Molly Roberts, and Loren Voss. “The Military and Elections, Part I: The Legal Wall.” Lawfare, July 8, 2026.
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-military-and-elections–part-i–the-legal-wall - Media Matters for America. “Steve Bannon Escalates Rhetoric on Federal Intervention in Elections, Claiming the Insurrection Act Could Be Used for Military Presence at Polling Stations.” February 5, 2026.
https://www.mediamatters.org/steve-bannon/steve-bannon-escalates-rhetoric-federal-intervention-elections-claiming-insurrection - CNN. “With No End in Sight, National Guardsmen Deployed to DC Grow Weary.” September 4, 2025.
https://www.wral.com/story/with-no-end-in-sight-national-guardsmen-deployed-to-dc-grow-weary/22144632/ - McNamara, Sylvie. “An Anonymous DC National Guardsman Tells All.” Washingtonian, January 21, 2026.
https://washingtonian.com/2026/01/21/an-anonymous-dc-national-guardsman-tells-all/ - Barr, Luke, Ivan Pereira, Caleigh Bartash, and Jon Haworth. “1 of 2 National Guard Members Wounded in ‘Targeted Shooting’ Has Died, Trump Says.” ABC News, November 28, 2025.
https://abcnews.com/US/2-national-guard-members-remain-critical-condition-after/story?id=127924182 - Norman-Diamond, Greg. “Pirro Touts DC Crime Is Being Prosecuted ‘Like Never Before’ in Announcing Year-End Stats.” Fox News, January 6, 2026.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/pirro-touts-dc-crime-prosecuted-like-never-before-announcing-year-end-stats - Brown, Stacy M. “Trump Extends National Guard Mission in D.C. Through End of Presidency, Fueling New Questions Over States’ Role.” The Washington Informer, July 2026.
https://www.washingtoninformer.com/trump-extends-national-guard-mission-in-d-c-through-end-of-presidency-fueling-new-questions-over-states-role/ - Lonsdorf, Kat. “Minnesota Is Pulling Troops Early From D.C., as Pressure Grows on Michigan.” NPR, July 11, 2026.
https://www.kosu.org/news/2026-07-11/minnesota-is-pulling-troops-early-from-d-c-as-pressure-grows-on-michigan - Turco, Rebecca. “DC Council Calls on Governors of Michigan, Virgin Islands to Withdraw Guard Troops.” WJLA, July 10, 2026.
https://wjla.com/news/local/dc-council-calls-on-governors-of-michigan-virgin-islands-to-withdraw-guard-troops
Flynn and Myanmar
- Settles, Gabrielle. “In Context: What Michael Flynn Said About Myanmar.” PolitiFact, June 3, 2021.
https://www.politifact.com/article/2021/jun/03/context-what-michael-flynn-said-about-myanmar/ - Hayton, Bill. “Myanmar ‘Election’ Shows the Military Regime Is Here to Stay. How Should the World Respond?” Chatham House, January 27, 2026.
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/01/myanmar-election-shows-military-regime-here-stay-how-should-world-respond
You read Glass Empires by Wendy A. Lawrence as a free subscriber. Patrons fund the context hot takes skip and reach my inbox and Notes DMs. Annual is the best value at a quarter a day. Become a Patron




