Medicare for All Backers Argue It’s a Better Solution Than Whatever Trump Is Cooking Up

Medicare for All Backers Argue It's a Better Solution Than Whatever Trump Is Cooking Up

Members of National Nurses United rally with lawmakers to show their support for the Medicare For All Act on Capitol Hill on April 29, 2025 in Washington, D.C.

 (Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

“Republicans have a million ideas regarding healthcare. Except one,” said Sen. Bernie Sanders. “They will never acknowledge that healthcare is a human right—to be guaranteed to ALL.”

Jessica Corbett

Nov 25, 2025 (CommonDreams.org)

As President Donald Trump postpones unveiling his supposed plan to tackle soaring US healthcare costs—reportedly after pushback from congressional Republicans—Medicare for All advocates have renewed calls for shifting to a single-payer system.

Republicans have a million ideas regarding healthcare. Except one,” Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who caucuses with Democrats, said on social media Monday afternoon. “They will never acknowledge that healthcare is a human right—to be guaranteed to ALL.”

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The union National Nurses United also called for Medicare for All on Monday, pointing to a recent West Health/Gallup poll that found 47% of US adults are worried they won’t be able to afford healthcare next year, the highest level since they began tracking in 2021.

“The urgency around this is real,” West Health president Timothy Lash told NBC News. “When you look at the economic strain that is on families right now, even if healthcare prices didn’t rise, the costs are rising elsewhere, which only exacerbates the problem.”

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Over objections from progressives, including Sanders, a small group of Senate Democrats earlier this month agreed to help GOP lawmakers end the longest federal government shutdown in US history in exchange for just the promise of a mid-December vote on extending Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies to help over 20 million Americans who face skyrocketing premiums.

Citing unnamed White House officials, MS NOW reported Sunday that Trump was set to introduce the Healthcare Price Cuts Act to combat what the sources called “surprise premium hikes” as soon as Monday.

“The plan would also eliminate ‘zero-premium’ subsidies currently offered under the ACA, intending to stop ‘ghost beneficiaries,’ a frequent Republican concern about alleged fraudulent policy recipients, by requiring a small minimum payment as a means to verify eligibility to receive benefits,” according to the outlet.

“The nascent plan also features a deposit program that would incentivize lower-premium options on the ACA exchange,” MS NOW continued. “For individuals who downgrade coverage, the difference in coverage costs would be distributed to a ‘Health Savings Account’ provided with taxpayer dollars.”

However, as Politico detailed Monday, also citing unnamed sources, “Trump’s healthcare plan is in limbo after pushback from Republicans who were caught off guard by the president’s forthcoming proposal—questioning, in particular, whether it would include additional abortion restrictions.”

As parts of Trump’s proposal continued to leak in the absence of its formal introduction, the American Prospect‘s Ryan Cooper and David Dayen wrote Tuesday that “all told, there’s a good chance that Democrats will accept this offer, or something like it, as the best they’re likely to get for the time being.”

“If they are ever in power again, they can fix the ACA permanently, and avoid the danger of subsidies expiring (as the Prospect advocated back in 2021). But it’s quite revealing as to the total bankruptcy of the Republican Party when it comes to healthcare policy,” the duo added. “The GOP will flinch from more than doubling health insurance premiums—at least if middle-class people and up are the most affected—but only if they can also make the insurance worse, and make poor people pay more.”

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Last week, in a pair of op-eds and a letter to Democratic lawmakers, Sanders argued that “at a time when the Republicans have been forced to finally talk about the healthcare crisis facing our country, it is essential that the Democratic Caucus unify behind a set of commonsense policies that will make healthcare more affordable and accessible.”

He called for not only extending the ACA tax credits, but also repealing Trump and congressional Republicans’ $1 trillion in cuts to the ACA and Medicaid; expanding Medicare to cover dental, vision, and hearing; cutting prescription drug costs by requiring pharmaceutical companies to charge no more for medications in the United States than they do in Europe or Canada; investing in expanding primary healthcare; and banning stock buybacks and dividends, and restricting CEO compensation.

Although Medicare for All lacks majority support in the Democratic Caucus, Sanders—the ranking member of the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions—also emphasized his belief that it remains the ideal long-term solution. He reintroduced the Medicare for All Act in April with Democratic Reps. Pramila Jayapal (Wash.) and Debbie Dingell (Mich.).

Other single-payer advocates have also seized on current concerns and debates about the ACA. In a column for Truthdig last Thursday, Conor Lynch wrote that “with Republicans spotlighting the greed, corruption, and inefficiency of US healthcare, progressive Democrats have an opening to take Medicare for All off the back burner and renew the push for a comprehensive overhaul.”

“The fact that Republicans are calling out insurance companies for their profiteering shows how much the national mood has changed since the passage of the ACA,” he continued. “With Republicans unable to offer anything but a return to an intolerable status quo ante, Democrats should make the case for moving beyond the broken status quo.”

The previous week, CJ Mikkelsen, a retired firefighter and paramedic now leading a small nonprofit in Michigan, made the case in the Midland Daily News that “we need a system like every other country in the developed world has.”

Mikkelsen shared some of his and his wife’s health struggles and stressed the society-wide benefits: “Medicare for All would mean that everyone is covered for everything at all times. No more losing coverage because you’ve lost your job, want to go back to school, or are starting your own business. The last thing I want you to know about Medicare for All, and pay attention here—IT’S CHEAPER THAN WHAT WE’RE DOING NOW.”

Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.

Jessica Corbett

Jessica Corbett is a senior editor and staff writer for Common Dreams.

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Sanders, Warren Help Form Senate Democratic ‘Fight Club’ Challenging Schumer’s Leadership

Senate Democrats Speak Out Against Expiring SNAP Benefits During Government Shutdown

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) holds a news conference with fellow senators on October 29, 2025 in Washington, DC.

 (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

“So glad there are some Senate Dems willing to fight back,” said one progressive strategist.

Jake Johnson

Nov 25, 2025 (CommonDreams.org)

Angered by the Democratic leadership’s fecklessness and lack of a bold vision for the future, a group of senators including Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts has formed an alliance to push back on Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and the party’s campaign arm ahead of next year’s critical midterm elections.

The existence of the group, known as the “Fight Club,” was first revealed Monday by the New York Times, which reported that the senators are pressing the Democratic Party to “embrace candidates willing to challenge entrenched corporate interests, fiercely oppose the Trump administration, and defy their own party’s orthodoxy.”

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Sens. Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, Tina Smith of Minnesota, and Chris Murphy of Connecticut are also members of the alliance, and other senators—including Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon—have taken part in group actions, according to the Times.

“The coalition of at least half a dozen senators… is unhappy with how Mr. Schumer and his fellow senator from New York, Kirsten Gillibrand, the head of Senate Democrats’ campaign arm, have chosen, recruited and, they argue, favored candidates aligned with the establishment,” the newspaper reported. “The party’s campaign arm, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, has not made any formal endorsements in contested primaries. However, the senators are convinced that it is quietly signaling support for and pushing donors toward specific Senate candidates: Rep. Angie Craig in Minnesota, Rep. Haley Stevens in Michigan, and Gov. Janet Mills in Maine.”

Members of the “Fight Club” have endorsed Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan’s bid for US Senate. In addition to Flanagan, Sanders has backed Abdul El-Sayed’s US Senate run in Michigan and Graham Platner’s campaign to unseat Republican Sen. Susan Collins in Maine.

Platner’s top opponent in the primary race, Mills, was “aggressively recruited” by Schumer.

News of the “Fight Club” alliance comes after a small group of centrist Democrats, with Schumer’s tacit blessing, capitulated to President Donald Trump and Republicans earlier this month by agreeing to end the government shutdown without an extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies, even as health insurance premiums skyrocket nationwide.

The cave sparked widespread fury, much of it directed at Schumer. Indivisible, a progressive advocacy group that typically aligns with Democrats, has said it will not support any Senate Democratic primary candidate who does not call on Schumer to step down as minority leader.

“We must turn the page on this era of cowardice,” Indivisible said following Senate Democrats’ capitulation. “We must nominate and elect Democratic candidates who have an actual backbone. And we must ensure that the kind of failed leadership we see from Sen. Schumer does not doom a future Democratic majority.”

Thus far, no sitting member of the Senate Democratic caucus has demanded Schumer’s resignation. But the emergence of the “Fight Club” is the latest evidence that the Democratic leader’s support is beginning to crumble.

“Absolutely love to see this,” progressive strategist Robert Cruickshank wrote on social media in response to the Times reporting. “So glad there are some Senate Dems willing to fight back.”

Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.

Jake Johnson

Jake Johnson is a senior editor and staff writer for Common Dreams.

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A Brief History: Universal Health Care Efforts in the US

(Transcribed from a talk given by Karen S. Palmer MPH, MS in San Francisco at the Spring, 1999 PNHP meeting) (pnhp.org)

Late 1800’s to Medicare

The campaign for some form of universal government-funded health care has stretched for nearly a century in the US On several occasions, advocates believed they were on the verge of success; yet each time they faced defeat. The evolution of these efforts and the reasons for their failure make for an intriguing lesson in American history, ideology, and character.

Other developed countries have had some form of social insurance (that later evolved into national insurance) for nearly as long as the US has been trying to get it. Some European countries started with compulsory sickness insurance, one of the first systems, for workers beginning in Germany in 1883; other countries including Austria, Hungary, Norway, Britain, Russia, and the Netherlands followed all the way through 1912. Other European countries, including Sweden in 1891, Denmark in 1892, France in 1910, and Switzerland in 1912, subsidized the mutual benefit societies that workers formed among themselves. So for a very long time, other countries have had some form of universal health care or at least the beginnings of it. The primary reason for the emergence of these programs in Europe was income stabilization and protection against the wage loss of sickness rather than payment for medical expenses, which came later. Programs were not universal to start with and were originally conceived as a means of maintaining incomes and buying political allegiance of the workers.

In a seeming paradox, the British and German systems were developed by the more conservative governments in power, specifically as a defense to counter expansion of the socialist and labor parties. They used insurance against the cost of sickness as a way of “turning benevolence to power”.

US circa 1883-1912, including Reformers and the Progressive Era:

What was the US doing during this period of the late 1800’s to 1912? The government took no actions to subsidize voluntary funds or make sick insurance compulsory; essentially the federal government left matters to the states and states left them to private and voluntary programs. The US did have some voluntary funds that provided for their members in the case of sickness or death, but there were no legislative or public programs during the late 19th or early 20th century.

In the Progressive Era, which occurred in the early 20th century, reformers were working to improve social conditions for the working class. However unlike European countries, there was not powerful working class support for broad social insurance in the US The labor and socialist parties’ support for health insurance or sickness funds and benefits programs was much more fragmented than in Europe. Therefore the first proposals for health insurance in the US did not come into political debate under anti-socialist sponsorship as they had in Europe.

Theodore Roosevelt 1901 — 1909

During the Progressive Era, President Theodore Roosevelt was in power and although he supported health insurance because he believed that no country could be strong whose people were sick and poor, most of the initiative for reform took place outside of government. Roosevelt’s successors were mostly conservative leaders, who postponed for about twenty years the kind of presidential leadership that might have involved the national government more extensively in the management of social welfare.

AALL Bill 1915

In 1906, the American Association of Labor Legislation (AALL) finally led the campaign for health insurance. They were a typical progressive group whose mandate was not to abolish capitalism but rather to reform it. In 1912, they created a committee on social welfare which held its first national conference in 1913. Despite its broad mandate, the committee decided to concentrate on health insurance, drafting a model bill in 1915. In a nutshell, the bill limited coverage to the working class and all others that earned less than $1200 a year, including dependents. The services of physicians, nurses, and hospitals were included, as was sick pay, maternity benefits, and a death benefit of fifty dollars to pay for funeral expenses. This death benefit becomes significant later on. Costs were to be shared between workers, employers, and the state.

AMA supported AALL Proposal

In 1914, reformers sought to involve physicians in formulating this bill and the American Medical Association (AMA) actually supported the AALL proposal. They found prominent physicians who were not only sympathetic, but who also wanted to support and actively help in securing legislation. In fact, some physicians who were leaders in the AMA wrote to the AALL secretary: “Your plans are so entirely in line with our own that we want to be of every possible assistance.” By 1916, the AMA board approved a committee to work with AALL, and at this point the AMA and AALL formed a united front on behalf of health insurance. Times have definitely changed along the way.
In 1917, the AMA House of Delegates favored compulsory health insurance as proposed by the AALL, but many state medical societies opposed it. There was disagreement on the method of paying physicians and it was not long before the AMA leadership denied it had ever favored the measure.

AFL opposed AALL Proposal

Meanwhile the president of the American Federation of Labor repeatedly denounced compulsory health insurance as an unnecessary paternalistic reform that would create a system of state supervision over people’s health. They apparently worried that a government-based insurance system would weaken unions by usurping their role in providing social benefits. Their central concern was maintaining union strength, which was understandable in a period before collective bargaining was legally sanctioned.

Private insurance industry opposed AALL Proposal

The commercial insurance industry also opposed the reformers’ efforts in the early 20th century. There was great fear among the working class of what they called a “pauper’s burial,” so the backbone of insurance business was policies for working class families that paid death benefits and covered funeral expenses. But because the reformer health insurance plans also covered funeral expenses, there was a big conflict. Reformers felt that by covering death benefits, they could finance much of the health insurance costs from the money wasted by commercial insurance policies who had to have an army of insurance agents to market and collect on these policies. But since this would have pulled the rug out from under the multi-million dollar commercial life insurance industry, they opposed the national health insurance proposal.

WWI and anti-German fever

In 1917, the US entered WWI and anti-German fever rose. The government-commissioned articles denouncing “German socialist insurance” and opponents of health insurance assailed it as a “Prussian menace” inconsistent with American values. Other efforts during this time in California, namely the California Social Insurance Commission, recommended health insurance, proposed enabling legislation i
n 1917, and then held a referendum. New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Illinois also had some efforts aimed at health insurance. But in the Red Scare, immediately after the war, when the government attempted to root out the last vestiges of radicalism, opponents of compulsory health insurance associated it with Bolshevism and buried it in an avalanche of anti-Communist rhetoric. This marked the end of the compulsory national health debate until the 1930’s.

Why did the Progressives fail?

Opposition from doctors, labor, insurance companies, and business contributed to the failure of Progressives to achieve compulsory national health insurance. In addition, the inclusion of the funeral benefit was a tactical error since it threatened the gigantic structure of the commercial life insurance industry. Political naivete on the part of the reformers in failing to deal with the interest group opposition, ideology, historical experience, and the overall political context all played a key role in shaping how these groups identified and expressed their interests.

The 1920’s

There was some activity in the 1920’s that changed the nature of the debate when it awoke again in the 1930’s. In the 1930’s, the focus shifted from stabilizing income to financing and expanding access to medical care. By now, medical costs for workers were regarded as a more serious problem than wage loss from sickness. For a number of reasons, health care costs also began to rise during the 1920’s, mostly because the middle class began to use hospital services and hospital costs started to increase. Medical, and especially hospital, care was now a bigger item in family budgets than wage losses.

The CCMC

Next came the Committee on the Cost of Medical Care (CCMC). Concerns over the cost and distribution of medical care led to the formation of this self-created, privately funded group. The committee was funded by 8 philanthropic organizations including the Rockefeller, Millbank, and Rosenwald foundations. They first met in 1926 and ceased meeting in 1932. The CCMC was comprised of fifty economists, physicians, public health specialists, and major interest groups. Their research determined that there was a need for more medical care for everyone, and they published these findings in 26 research volumes and 15 smaller reports over a 5-year period. The CCMC recommended that more national resources go to medical care and saw voluntary, not compulsory, health insurance as a means to covering these costs. Most CCMC members opposed compulsory health insurance, but there was no consensus on this point within the committee. The AMA treated their report as a radical document advocating socialized medicine, and the acerbic and conservative editor of JAMA called it “an incitement to revolution.”

FDR’s first attempt — failure to include in the Social Security Bill of 1935: Next came Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR), whose tenure (1933-1945) can be characterized by WWII, the Great Depression, and the New Deal, including the Social Security Bill. We might have thought the Great Depression would create the perfect conditions for passing compulsory health insurance in the US, but with millions out of work, unemployment insurance took priority followed by old age benefits. FDR’s Committee on Economic Security, the CES, feared that inclusion of health insurance in its bill, which was opposed by the AMA, would threaten the passage of the entire Social Security legislation. It was therefore excluded.

FDR’s second attempt — Wagner Bill, National Health Act of 1939: But there was one more push for national health insurance during FDR’s administration: The Wagner National Health Act of 1939. Though it never received FDR’s full support, the proposal grew out of his Tactical Committee on Medical Care, established in 1937. The essential elements of the technical committee’s reports were incorporated into Senator Wagner’s bill, the National Health Act of 1939, which gave general support for a national health program to be funded by federal grants to states and administered by states and localities. However, the 1938 election brought a conservative resurgence and any further innovations in social policy were extremely difficult. Most of the social policy legislation precedes 1938. Just as the AALL campaign ran into the declining forces of progressivism and then WWI, the movement for national health insurance in the 1930’s ran into the declining fortunes of the New Deal and then WWII.

Henry Sigerist

About this time, Henry Sigerist was in the US He was a very influential medical historian at Johns Hopkins University who played a major role in medical politics during the 1930’s and 1940’s. He passionately believed in a national health program and compulsory health insurance. Several of Sigerist’s most devoted students went on to become key figures in the fields of public health, community and preventative medicine, and health care organization. Many of them, including Milton Romer and Milton Terris, were instrumental in forming the medical care section of the American Public Health Association, which then served as a national meeting ground for those committed to health care reform.

Wagner-Murray-Dingell Bills: 1943 and onward through the decade

The Wagner Bill evolved and shifted from a proposal for federal grants-in- aid to a proposal for national health insurance. First introduced in 1943, it became the very famous Wagner-Murray- Dingell Bill. The bill called for compulsory national health insurance and a payroll tax. In 1944, the Committee for the Nation’s Health, (which grew out of the earlier Social Security Charter Committee), was a group of representatives of organized labor, progressive farmers, and liberal physicians who were the foremost lobbying group for the Wagner-Murray-Dingell Bill. Prominent members of the committee included Senators Murray and Dingell, the head of the Physician’s Forum, and Henry Sigerist. Opposition to this bill was enormous and the antagonists launched a scathing red baiting attack on the committee saying that one of its key policy analysts, I.S. Falk, was a conduit between the International Labor Organization (ILO) in Switzerland and the United States government. The ILO was red-baited as “an awesome political machine bent on world domination.” They even went so far was to suggest that the United States Social Security board functioned as an ILO subsidiary. Although the Wagner-Murray-Dingell Bill generated extensive national debates, with the intensified opposition, the bill never passed by Congress despite its reintroduction every session for 14 years! Had it passed, the Act would have established compulsory national health insurance funded by payroll taxes.

Truman’s Support

After FDR died, Truman became president (1945-1953), and his tenure is characterized by the Cold War and Communism. The health care issue finally moved into the center arena of national politics and received the unreserved support of an American president. Though he served during some of the most virulent anti-Communist attacks and the early years of the Cold War, Truman fully supported national health insurance. But the opposition had acquired new strength. Compulsory health insurance became entangled in the Cold War and its opponents were able to make “socialized medicine” a symbolic is
sue in the growing crusade against Communist influence in America.

Truman’s plan for national health insurance in 1945 was different than FDR’s plan in 1938 because Truman was strongly committed to a single universal comprehensive health insurance plan. Whereas FDR’s 1938 program had a separate proposal for medical care of the needy, it was Truman who proposed a single egalitarian system that included all classes of society, not just the working class. He emphasized that this was not “socialized medicine.” He also dropped the funeral benefit that contributed to the defeat of national insurance in the Progressive Era. Congress had mixed reactions to Truman’s proposal. The chairman of the House Committee was an anti-union conservative and refused to hold hearings. Senior Republican Senator Taft declared, “I consider it socialism. It is to my mind the most socialistic measure this Congress has ever had before it.” Taft suggested that compulsory health insurance, like the Full Unemployment Act, came right out of the Soviet constitution and walked out of the hearings. The AMA, the American Hospital Association, the American Bar Association, and most of then nation’s press had no mixed feelings; they hated the plan. The AMA claimed it would make doctors slaves, even though Truman emphasized that doctors would be able to choose their method of payment.

In 1946, the Republicans took control of Congress and had no interest in enacting national health insurance. They charged that it was part of a large socialist scheme. Truman responded by focusing even more attention on a national health bill in the 1948 election. After Truman’s surprise victory in 1948, the AMA thought Armageddon had come. They assessed their members an extra $25 each to resist national health insurance, and in 1945 they spent $1.5 million on lobbying efforts which at the time was the most expensive lobbying effort in American history. They had one pamphlet that said, “Would socialized medicine lead to socialization of other phases of life? Lenin thought so. He declared socialized medicine is the keystone to the arch of the socialist state.” The AMA and its supporters were again very successful in linking socialism with national health insurance, and as anti-Communist sentiment rose in the late 1940’s and the Korean War began, national health insurance became vanishingly improbable. Truman’s plan died in a congressional committee. Compromises were proposed but none were successful. Instead of a single health insurance system for the entire population, America would have a system of private insurance for those who could afford it and public welfare services for the poor. Discouraged by yet another defeat, the advocates of health insurance now turned toward a more modest proposal they hoped the country would adopt: hospital insurance for the aged and the beginnings of Medicare.

After WWII, other private insurance systems expanded and provided enough protection for groups that held influence in American to prevent any great agitation for national health insurance in the 1950’s and early 1960’s. Union-negotiated health care benefits also served to cushion workers from the impact of health care costs and undermined the movement for a government program.

Why did these efforts for universal national health insurance fail again?

For may of the same reasons they failed before: interest group influence (code words for class), ideological differences, anti-communism, anti-socialism, fragmentation of public policy, the entrepreneurial character of American medicine, a tradition of American voluntarism, removing the middle class from the coalition of advocates for change through the alternative of Blue Cross private insurance plans, and the association of public programs with charity, dependence, personal failure and the almshouses of years gone by.

For the next several years, not much happened in terms of national health insurance initiatives. The nation focussed more on unions as a vehicle for health insurance, the Hill-Burton Act of 1946 related to hospital expansion, medical research and vaccines, the creation of national institutes of health, and advances in psychiatry.

Johnson and Medicare/caid

Finally, Rhode Island congressman Aime Forand introduced a new proposal in 1958 to cover hospital costs for the aged on social security. Predictably, the AMA undertook a massive campaign to portray a government insurance plan as a threat to the patient-doctor relationship. But by concentrating on the aged, the terms of the debate began to change for the first time. There was major grass roots support from seniors and the pressures assumed the proportions of a crusade. In the entire history of the national health insurance campaign, this was the first time that a ground swell of grass roots support forced an issue onto the national agenda. The AMA countered by introducing an “eldercare plan,” which was voluntary insurance with broader benefits and physician services. In response, the government expanded its proposed legislation to cover physician services, and what came of it were Medicare and Medicaid. The necessary political compromises and private concessions to the doctors (reimbursements of their customary, reasonable, and prevailing fees), to the hospitals (cost plus reimbursement), and to the Republicans created a 3-part plan, including the Democratic proposal for comprehensive health insurance (“Part A”), the revised Republican program of government subsidized voluntary physician insurance (“Part B”), and Medicaid. Finally, in 1965, Johnson signed it into law as part of his Great Society Legislation, capping 20 years of congressional debate.

What does history teach us? What is the movement reacting to?

  1. Henry Sigerist reflected in his own diary in 1943 that he “wanted to use history to solve the problems of modern medicine.” I think this is, perhaps, a most important lesson. Damning her own naivete, Hillary Clinton acknowledged in 1994 that “I did not appreciate how sophisticated the opposition would be in conveying messages that were effectively political even though substantively wrong.” Maybe Hillary should have had this history lesson first.
  2. The institutional representatives of society do not always represent those that they claim to represent, just as the AMA does not represent all doctors. This lack of representation presents an opportunity for attracting more people to the cause. The AMA has always played an oppositional role and it would be prudent to build an alternative to the AMA for the 60% of physicians who are not members.
  3. Just because President Bill Clinton failed doesn’t mean it’s over. There have been periods of acquiescence in this debate before. Those who oppose it can not kill this movement. Openings will occur again. We all need to be on the lookout for those openings and also need to create openings where we see opportunities. For example, the focus on health care costs of the 1980’s presented a division in the ruling class and the debate moved into the center again. As hockey great Wayne Gretzky said, “Success is not a matter of skating to where the puck is, it is a matter of skating to where the puck will be.”
  4. Whether we like it or not, we are going to have to deal with the persistence of the narrow vision of middle class politics. Vincente Navarro says that the majority opinion of national health insurance has everything to do with repression and coercion by the capitalist corporate dominant class. He argues that the conflict and struggles that continuously take place around the issue of health care unfold within the parameters of class and that coercion and
    repression are forces that determine policy. I think when we talk about interest groups in this country, it is really a code for class.
  5. Red-baiting is a red herring and has been used throughout history to evoke fear and may continue to be used in these post Cold War times by those who wish to inflame this debate.
  6. Grass roots initiatives contributed in part to the passage of Medicare, and they can work again. Ted Marmor says that “pressure groups that can prevail in quiet politics are far weaker in contexts of mass attention — as the AMA regretfully learned during the Medicare battle.” Marmor offers these lessons from the past: “Compulsory health insurance, whatever the details, is an ideological controversial matter that involves enormous financial and professional stakes. Such legislation does not emerge quietly or with broad partisan support. Legislative success requires active presidential leadership, the commitment of an Administration’s political capital, and the exercise of all manner of persuasion and arm-twisting.”
  7. One Canadian lesson — the movement toward universal health care in Canada started in 1916 (depending on when you start counting), and took until 1962 for passage of both hospital and doctor care in a single province. It took another decade for the rest of the country to catch on. That is about 50 years all together. It wasn’t like we sat down over afternoon tea and crumpets and said please pass the health care bill so we can sign it and get on with the day. We fought, we threatened, the doctors went on strike, refused patients, people held rallies and signed petitions for and against it, burned effigies of government leaders, hissed, jeered, and booed at the doctors or the Premier depending on whose side they were on. In a nutshell, we weren’t the sterotypical nice polite Canadians. Although there was plenty of resistance, now you could more easily take away Christmas than health care, despite the rhetoric that you may hear to the contrary.
  8. Finally there is always hope for flexibility and change. In researching this talk, I went through a number of historical documents and one of my favorite quotes that speaks to hope and change come from a 1939 issue of Times Magazine with Henry Sigerist on the cover. The article said about Sigerist: “Students enjoy his lively classes, for Sigerist does not mind expounding his dynamic conception of medical history in hand-to-hand argument. A student once took issue with him and when Dr. Sigerist asked him to quote his authority, the student shouted, “You yourself said so!” “When?” asked Dr. Sigerist. “Three years ago,” answered the student. “Ah,” said Dr. Sigerist, “three years is a long time. I’ve changed my mind since then.” I guess for me this speaks to the changing tides of opinion and that everything is in flux and open to renegotiation.

Acknowledgements:

Special thanks to medical historians and PNHP colleagues Corinne Sutter-Brown and Ted Brown for background information, critical analysis, and editing.

References:

Much of this talk was paraphrased/annotated directly from the sources below, in particular the work of Paul Starr:

  1. Bauman, Harold, “Verging on National Health Insurance since 1910” in Changing to National Health Care: Ethical and Policy Issues (Vol. 4, Ethics in a Changing World) edited by Heufner, Robert P. and Margaret # P. Battin, University of Utah Press, 1992.
  2. “Boost President’s Plan”, Washington Post, p. A23, February 7, 1992.
    Brown, Ted. “Isaac Max Rubinow”, (a biographical sketch), American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 87, No. 11, pp. 1863-1864, 1997
  3. Danielson, David A., and Arthur Mazer. “The Massachusetts Referendum for a National Health Program”, Journal of Public Health Policy, Summer 1986.
  4. Derickson, Alan. “The House of Falk: The Paranoid Style in American House Politics”, American Journal of Public Health”, Vol. 87, No. 11, pp. 1836 – 1843, 1997.
  5. Falk, I.S. “Proposals for National Health Insurance in the USA: Origins and Evolution and Some Perspectives for the Future’, Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, Health and Society, pp. 161-191, Spring 1977.
  6. Gordon, Colin. “Why No National Health Insurance in the US? The Limits of Social Provision in War and Peace, 1941-1948”, Journal of Policy History, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 277-310, 1997.
  7. “History in a Tea Wagon”, Time Magazine, No. 5, pp. 51-53, January 30, 1939.
  8. Marmor, Ted. “The History of Health Care Reform”, Roll Call, pp. 21,40, July 19, 1993.
  9. Navarro, Vicente. “Medical History as a Justification Rather than Explanation: Critique of Starr’s The Social Transformation of American Medicine” International Journal of Health Services, Vol. 14, No. 4, pp. 511-528, 1984.
  10. Navarro, Vicente. “Why Some Countries Have National Health Insurance, Others Have National Health Service, and the United States has Neither”, International Journal of Health Services, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 383-404, 1989.
  11. Rothman, David J. “A Century of Failure: Health Care Reform in America”, Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law”, Vol. 18, No. 2, Summer 1993.
  12. Rubinow, Isaac Max. “Labor Insurance”, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 87, No. 11, pp. 1862 – 1863, 1997 (Originally published in Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 12, pp. 362-281, 1904).
  13. Starr, Paul. The Social Transformation of American Medicine: The rise of a sovereign profession and the making of a vast industry. Basic Books, 1982.
  14. Starr, Paul. “Transformation in Defeat: The Changing Objectives of National Health Insurance, 1915-1980”, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 72, No. 1, pp. 78-88, 1982.
  15. Terris, Milton. “Crisis and Change in America’s Health System”, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 63, No. 4, April 1973.
  16. “Toward a National Medical Care System: II. The Historical Background”, Editorial, Journal of Public Health Policy, Autumn 1986.
  17. Trafford, Abigail, and Christine Russel, “Opening Night for Clinton’s Plan”, Washington Post Health Magazine, pp. 12, 13, 15, September 21, 1993.

Planning “No Kings” Demonstrations for July 4, 2026

Our 250th anniversary requires pro-Trump redcoats as well as pro-democracy bluecoats to re-enact our anti-monarchial founding.

Harold Meyersonby Harold Meyerson November 24, 2025 (Prospect.org)

A demonstrator holds a copy of the Declaration of Independence
A demonstrator holds a copy of the Declaration of Independence during a rally on the National Mall in Washington, September 19, 2025. Credit: Bryan Dozier/NurPhoto via AP

Last February 6th—17 days after Donald Trump had begun his second term—the Prospect posted a piece I’d written noting that the 250th anniversary of the Battles of Lexington and Concord would soon be upon us, and suggesting that the anti-Trump protests that were sure to come should rightly be presented as a tribute to our anti-monarchial patriotic forebears and a continuation and renewal of the ideals they fought for. This was one of several articles that helped hone the No Kings focus of the anti-Trump demonstrations. Of course, it was Trump’s conduct in office—his embrace of the l’état c’est moi ethos of Louis XIV that was antithetical to any democratic system of government, his indifference to the Constitution’s limits on presidential powers, his open displays of greed and racism, his conversion of the executive branch into a personal court, a gilded Versailles knockoff; this list could go on and on—that really prompted the No Kings thematics of the protests.

More from Harold Meyerson

But popular awareness of the anniversary of Lexington and Concord pales alongside that of our national founding via our Declaration of Independence, when there will likely be tens of thousands of celebrations, and perhaps a kindred number of No Kings protests. Indeed, for those with even the slimmest knowledge of American history, it will be all but impossible to disaggregate the two. After all, the Declaration is nothing if not a chronicle of monarchial violations of civilized norms. It held King George III responsible for “a long train of abuses and usurpations.” It said the king “has refused his Assent to Laws” (that is, refused to recognize the laws passed by colonial legislatures). He was responsible, it continued, “For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments.” These abrupt and unanswerable transfers of power from legally established colonial legislatures to the Crown were at the center of the Founders’ case for revolution.

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In 1776’s bill of particulars, we can recognize Trump’s own violations, which are if anything much worse. He not only has refused to recognize laws passed by the states; he has ordered the government to withhold funds and the Justice Department to sue those states that have passed laws regulating AI, even as the vast majority of the public and the Congress are on record supporting states’ regulatory rights. His impoundment of congressionally appropriated funds—withholding FEMA funds from disaster-stricken blue states, for instance, while deploying them in red states—certainly alters the forms of government that Article I of our Constitution mandates. His brutal deportation policies and deployment of troops to our cities runs afoul of our Posse Comitatus restrictions, and his shaking down media institutions until they report news in a way that doesn’t upset him makes a mockery of the First Amendment.

Moreover, the accusations that Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin, and their Declaration co-authors leveled against King George were that he was in violation of Britain’s unwritten Constitution. Trump’s violations, by contrast, run afoul of our written Constitution: The articles and amendments he has trashed can be specified, chapter and verse.

Which means that any celebration of our Declaration of Independence can condemn Trump by both the letter of textual originalism and the spirit of “unalienable” human rights laid out in the Declaration.

Come July 4th, the opportunity to both celebrate our foundational values and condemn Donald Trump requires us to go beyond the No Kings demonstrations we’ve held up to now. Doubtless, some celebrations will feature mini-parades of patriots dressed as bluecoats, as colonial soldiers. My suggestion is that we also dramatize just what our patriot founders were up against. An appropriate combination of a celebratory July 4th commemoration and a No Kings demonstration should also include demonstrators dressed as British redcoats flying banners featuring pictures of Trump (or Trump and King George) that hail monarchy and subservience to tyrants and condemn the rule of the people and the institution of law that rulers must obey. Mini-dramas pitting (verbally only) these redcoat defenders of monarchs and Trump against bluecoat defenders of democracy and the rule of law, with the latter brandishing American flags, should be the order of the day.

As Lincoln said of Gettysburg and the Civil War generally, Trump has required us to test “whether that nation [ours] or any nation so conceived [in liberty] and dedicated [to the proposition that all men are created equal] can long endure.” That is what Trump has brought us to, and we should take the occasion of July 4th, 2026, to make unmistakably clear which side honors, perpetuates, and renews the “Spirit of ’76” and which side trashes it in the name of a tin-pot despot.

First, I want to thank you for reading the Prospect. At the end of the day, you’re helping build a more just and fair world by taking the time to read independent and fearless journalism. We hope that when you read our work it isn’t just idle entertainment or cynical ragebait, but something that informs and inspires you. If you agree with that, and I hope you do, we’re asking that you take the next step and consider supporting our work. We don’t have corporate sponsors or billionaire backers – we have you, our readers. A significant portion of the money it takes to send reporters into the field to write the hard-hitting stories you expect from the Prospect comes from readers just like you. Can you chip in today? Your support funds deeply reported investigations into power, how it works, and what it means for you.

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Mitchell Grummon
Publisher

Recommended Reading

What Next After No Kings Day II?

October 22, 2025

Trump Smash Democracy

October 22, 2024

The Amazing Future

June 25, 2024

Harold Meyerson

hmeyerson@prospect.org

Harold Meyerson is editor at large of The American Prospect. His email is hmeyerson@prospect.org. Follow @HaroldMeyerson More by Harold Meyerson

Your weekly to-dos

  1. Pledge not to shop at Home Depot, Target, or Amazon from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday! This weekend, perhaps the busiest shopping period of the year, we’re asking you not to support three corporations complicit in Trump’s authoritarian power-grab. Let’s show cowardly corporate leaders that there’s more to lose from complicity than from noncompliance.
  2. Spread the word about We Ain’t Buying It online with our handy social media toolkit. Use our pre-made graphics and customizable sample posts to quickly let your friends and followers know where not to shop this week. Let’s get the word out far and wide so we can maximize our impact.
  3. If you have Democratic senator(s), urge them to call on Chuck Schumer to step down as minority leader. Even on the heels of a historically successful election and the largest protest in US history, Chuck Schumer’s caucus caved in the shutdown fight. Senate Dems need bold new leadership to fight the Trump regime, and that starts by making Schumer step aside.
  4. Sign up to call voters and get out votes for Aftyn Behn — a former Indivisible running to flip a red House seat! Our next chance to stomp the regime at the ballot box is in Tennessee, where Aftyn Behn can flip a deep-red Trump district in a special election. You can call voters from anywhere. All you need is a phone and computer, and we offer live training before the shift.

P.S. Withholding support from corporations enabling the Trump regime is a powerful way to fight authoritarianism. Supporting the organizations who DO fight back hard — and who organize others to fight — is just as important. If you can, we encourage you to support your local mutual aid networks, or chip in to power your friendly pro-democracy organizers at Indivisible.

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A corporate pressure campaign to show Home Depot, Target, and Amazon there’s a price to pay for enabling Trump
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December 1-4
December 1: “All in for Aftyn” FINAL Phonebank

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 Special Election Day in TN-07

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The Return of Politics in Bangladesh

Nusrat Sabina Chowdhury (bio) (muse.jhu.edu)

In July 2024, Bangladesh witnessed a historic uprising that led to the ouster of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina after 15 years of increasingly authoritarian rule. What began as student protests against discriminatory government job quotas transformed into a nationwide movement demanding regime change. The protests, marked by unprecedented violence and state repression, resulted in nearly a thousand deaths. The student coalition “Students Against Discrimination” emerged as a powerful political force, successfully mobilizing the masses and ultimately forcing Hasina to flee. The uprising highlighted the enduring role of student activism in Bangladesh’s politics and reignited hope for democratic reform under an interim government led by Muhammad Yunus.

In October 2024, near the official residence of the chief advisor to Bangladesh’s interim government, a simple sign stood out on a colorful, graffiti-splattered Dhaka wall. Written in English, the sign listed the country’s three largest political parties—the Bangladesh Awami League, Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), and Jamaat-e-Islami (Jamaat)—with a bright-red “X” next to each one, signaling clear disapproval of conventional politics. Below them was the word “New,” followed by a green check mark. This was the vision of the thousands of mostly young protesters who three months earlier had led an unprecedented political movement against Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina of the Awami League (1996–2001, 2009–24), the longest-reigning ruler in modern South Asia. They wanted a new Bangladesh, a Bangladesh 2.0.

This was not the only message vying for attention in the capital city. Nor was it the only wall bearing revolutionary sentiments. Seemingly every visible surface in cities and towns across the country had come to life with splashes of graffiti painted during and after the summer protests—demonstrations that at first had simply demanded reforms to government-job allocations but soon called for the prime minister to step down. “Would anyone like water?” (pani lagbe, pani?), read one of the slogans. These are the now-famous words of student-activist Mir Mahfuzur Rahman Mugdho, who was immortalized on video handing out bottles of water to weary, unarmed protesters victimized by tear-gas shells, rubber bullets, and gunshots fired by the police, paramilitary, and Awami League goons. Mugdho would be gunned down by the police on 18 July 2024. He was one of roughly a thousand people killed in Bangladesh in July and August before Sheikh Hasina’s ouster on August 5.1

Together, the sign rejecting the old order and the slogan memorializing [End Page 65] the martyred Mugdho captured the zeitgeist of this extraordinary turn of events—both the long-simmering dissatisfaction with politics-as-usual, exemplified most blatantly by the ruling Awami League in recent years, and the sacrifices of ordinary citizens at the hands of a violent state. Although the student movement, known as Students Against Discrimination, would eventually vow to radically reimagine government itself, it initially aimed simply to get the increasingly autocratic Hasina regime to listen and concede to its demands—or, as Lisa Mitchell puts it, to “hail the state.”2 According to Mitchell, holding mass demonstrations is the most common, and cost effective, way for people to “do” democracy in South Asia. Collective assemblies routinely broadcast political messages, hold officials accountable, compel dialogue, and recalibrate power. Publicly called out in this way, the state is obliged to give the people an audience.

In July 2024, Bangladeshi students’ agitation over the bread-and-butter issue of public-sector job quotas snowballed into a demand for regime change, as the state itself had lost their trust, however briefly, as an arbiter of justice and defender of the rule of law. These young protesters, disillusioned with politics and government, reclaimed and amplified their voice by bending the communicative norms of established politics. In so doing, the chhatra-janata (student-people) emerged, not for the first time in the country’s history, as a revolutionary political force.

“Politics Has Come Back”

Two months after Sheikh Hasina’s dramatic exit to India, where she remained in exile at the time of this writing, a core member of Students Against Discrimination summarized the group’s collective stance, saying “We are engaging with the political elite but do not seek roundtable discussions. We believe in addressing issues on the streets. Sheikh Hasina has evaded accountability on the streets, and it is there that decisions will be made.”3 Another activist, who had taken part in recent post-Hasina agitations to remove the Awami League–appointed president (a figurehead in Bangladesh’s parliamentary system), sent me a text message around the same time sharing similar sentiments: “It’s good [the situation] is tense again. Politics has come back. We’re back on the streets” (the italicized words were in English). Both comments offer clues into the form and content of the movement that deposed an increasingly authoritarian ruler—something few seasoned observers of Bangladeshi politics, let alone ordinary citizens, could have predicted.

The crisis began with the government-job quota system, which is almost as old as Bangladesh itself. The system was introduced in 1972 by Sheikh Mujibur Rahman (“Mujib”), the country’s founding leader and Sheikh Hasina’s father. Although the policy specifics have changed with each new regime, it was under Sheikh Hasina that veterans of Bangladesh’s [End Page 66] war of independence from Pakistan (1971) and their families were guaranteed a wide range of benefits including educational scholarships. In 2018, the share of public-sector jobs reserved for families of freedom fighters rose to 30 percent, angering public-university students, who were the main contenders for those jobs. As a result of public outcry, on 3 October 2018, the government issued a circular scrapping all quotas, including those for women, ethnic minorities, and differently abled groups.

Some of the outrage over the large veteran allocation can be explained by controversies surrounding the national list of freedom fighters. The list has been revised at least seven times since 1972, and the criteria for recognition as a freedom fighter—for example, age and the definition of “freedom fighter” itself—have changed eleven times. By mid-2024, Hasina’s government had identified at least eight-thousand people who had falsely claimed to be freedom fighters and planned to reclaim their allowances, with interest.4

But the students also asserted that the regime was cynically increasing the freedom-fighter allocation to benefit its own Awami League supporters and sympathizers. On 5 June 2024, in response to a petition filed by a group of veterans’ descendants, the High Court reinstated the quota system, including the 30 percent allocation for freedom fighters’ families. The Court described the government’s decision to scrap the quotas in 2018 as unconstitutional, illegal, and ineffective. The public response was angry and immediate. In early July, students at public universities in Dhaka and elsewhere began staging protests. In a sign of what was to come, private-university students as well as middle- and high-school students joined in. The coalition that emerged called itself Students Against Discrimination and prioritized members’ student status rather than political affiliations. On July 21, the Supreme Court slashed the freedom fighters’ quota to 5 percent and left 93 percent of government jobs to be allocated on merit with the remainder going to minority groups.5

This was not the first time a search for legal recourse metamorphosed into massive demonstrations in Bangladesh. In 2012 and 2013, an International Crimes Tribunal presided over war-crimes trials of suspected perpetrators and collaborators in the genocide that took place during the liberation war. In early 2013, the Tribunal announced a sentence of life imprisonment rather than capital punishment for a notorious Jamaat leader, Abdul Quader Molla, stirring suspicions of backdoor negotiations. The public erupted in protest, including a spectacular, weeks-long occupation (known as the Shahbag movement) of a busy street corner in Dhaka.6 Molla’s sentence was soon changed and he was hanged.

This time around, a combination of heavy-handedness, wide-ranging grievances, and the government’s refusal to recognize citizens’ outrage catalyzed the momentous shift. The agitations against the High Court’s decision began on 1 July 2024 with sit-ins. By the time the Supreme [End Page 67] Court reversed the High Court decision on July 21, protesters’ frustration and anger had already boiled over. At a July 14 press briefing, roughly two weeks into the protests, Sheikh Hasina mocked the protesters as razakars or, rather, the descendants of razakars. This Urdu word for “volunteer” is part of the Bengali vernacular and has particularly incendiary connotations. At one time, it was a label for Bengali civilians who had sided with and were trained by the Pakistani army during the 1971 liberation war. The word made a resurgence during the most recent tenure of the Awami League government (2009–24) as a political weapon used to “other” and silence the party’s political opponents.

The most cynical use of the word by the Awami League regime followed the 2013 Shahbag protests, when thousands of university students and activists demanded capital punishment for the alleged collaborators of 1971, and by extension, a moratorium on religion-based politics (seeing the Jamaat-e-Islami’s problematic role during the war of 1971 as reason to ban all Islamic parties). The Awami League managed to exploit the movement’s energy for its own political ends by hastening the judicial process and using it as an excuse to label Jamaat-e-Islami as a radical Islamist party with some alleged razakars among its senior members who were implicated in crimes against humanity. This was a canny political maneuver that threatened not only Jamaat’s political legitimacy but also that of the BNP, Jamaat’s strategic ally and the Awami League’s main opponent.7

Hasina’s use of the term in 2024 to dismiss the protesters added insult to injury, setting off a domino effect. Rather than trying to quell the public outrage, Hasina responded with characteristic mockery and anger, asking if one could logically deduce from the students’ demand that it was the razakars’ family and kin, rather than those of the freedom fighters, who should have been offered a leg up in the job market. This was more than just a flippant comment; it was an assault on the dignity of the students, whom Hasina and a number of her cabinet members now labeled traitors. It also brought into relief the divisive approach to politics that the Awami League had perfected.8 Part of this strategy entailed complete ownership of the country’s origin story, in which the Awami League had led Bangladesh to independence and established a secular democracy after years of military rule. Anybody critical of the government was labeled an Islamic radical or terrorist—in short, razakar.

The student protesters understood this well, summarizing the ruling elite’s strategy with the slogan “If you lick boots, you’re a friend; if not, a terrorist” (paa chatle shongi, na chatle jongi). The students’ counterstrategy was not only to push back but to reclaim and redefine the government’s insults; thus came about the most consequential slogan of the July uprising—”Who are you? Who am I? Razakar, Razakar!” (Tumi ke? Ami ke? Razakar, Razakar!). The political elite feigned shock at the apparent admission, when in fact the protesters had repurposed [End Page 68] and shifted the meaning of razakar from the “enemy within” to the “one who speaks in righteous indignation.” They soon made their meaning clear, adding: “Who said it? Who said it? Autocrat! Autocrat!” (Ke bolechhe? Ke bolechhe? Shairachaar! Shairachaar!) and “We went to ask for rights; instead, we became razakars.” (Chaite gelam adhikar, hoye gelam razakar.)

With these slogans, the students publicly denounced Sheikh Hasina as an autocrat who insulted citizens and denied their rights. This may have been the first time in more than fifteen years that the prime minister had been called out in such a way. But normal democratic politics and dialogue were no longer adequate for engaging with a power that, for all intents and purposes, had become authoritarian. Hasina’s arrogant response to a standard demand, that of equal distribution of state resources, made in a conventional way, propelled the movement toward radical political change.

This would not be the prime minister’s only blunder. A number of missteps at the highest level of the government helped to escalate the situation into a full-blown crisis. For instance, as the state unleashed violence on July 16, crowds vandalized state-broadcasting facilities and two brand-new metro-rail stations. The Dhaka metro rail had been an ambitious infrastructure project of the Hasina government that was credited to the personal vision of Hasina herself. What was striking about the metro-station attacks was not the crowd’s penchant for destructive violence, which is de rigueur in South Asian street politics, but the targeting of the metro rail. Inaugurated only in 2022, it was still a novelty and stood as a spectacular monument to development, a symbol of the kind of “infrastructural populism” mobilized by the Awami League.

On her visit to one of the targeted stations only ten days before she was forced to flee, Sheikh Hasina wept publicly, and declared once more that the people demanding her ouster were not students, but mobs and miscreants. This performance of shock and grief by a leader, who until then had neither mourned nor admitted to the killing of more than a hundred unarmed students by the police and Awami League cadres, was widely perceived as insincere. Hasina’s affective outburst generated rage and, predictably, viral memes and catchy puns, including a cartoon showing her sobbing and wiping her nose that was captioned “Enough with the drama, Darling!” (natok kom koro piyo!). The cartoon cropped up all over the capital city as the misspelled Bengali tagline added to its [End Page 69] comic effect and indexed a new reality in which the prime minister’s words and actions were open to ridicule. Soon, she would be referred to only as “fascist” or “killer” (khuni) Hasina.

The many mistakes of Sheikh Hasina’s government might have expedited her rapid fall from grace, but it was the police killing of Abu Sayed, an English student at a northern university, that changed the direction of the quota-reform movement. On July 16, the police shot Abu Syed with rubber bullets as he stood with his arms stretched out, carrying only a wooden stick (lathi). Numerous videos and photographs of the face-off showed Abu Sayed confronting the shooters, poised as if prepared to accept martyrdom. He eventually doubled over in pain and succumbed to his injuries on his way to safety. The youngest of nine siblings in a struggling rural family, Abu Sayed was considered one of the first martyrs of a cause that had brought Bangladeshi youth together beyond the familiar coordinates of affiliation, class, or ideology. In his final Facebook message posted the day before his murder, Abu Syed addressed his contemporaries: “You, too, will eventually succumb to death, according to the laws of nature. But as long as you live, live with a backbone.”9

Between the infamous July 14 press conference and the prime minister’s July 25 visit to one of the vandalized metro stations, the government deployed armed troops who killed more than a hundred people. To restrict political organizing, authorities shut down the internet; detained the student coordinators and tried coaxing confessions out of them; hunted down and arrested thousands of students and opposition activists; and eventually declared a nationwide curfew. Members of the Awami League’s student wing, the Bangladesh Chhatra League, played a supporting role in these efforts. Armed with guns, hammers, and knives, and often wearing motorcycle helmets for protection and to shield their identities, these thugs who were notorious for promoting a culture of fear and brutality on university campuses descended upon the protesters. As if to confirm what millions in Bangladesh and across the globe were seeing in their social-media feeds, the general-secretary of the Awami League, Obaidul Quader, publicly threatened the protesters with retaliation from its party youth activists.

On July 20, the student coalition issued a list of nine demands, including a public apology from Sheikh Hasina and justice for the murders. They also called for the resignation of Obaidul Quader as well as the home minister, high-ranking police officers, and the vice-chancellors and proctors of a number of public universities. But neither an apology nor accountability was on offer. Instead, the horrors on the streets continued to play out, impelling sympathetic teachers, parents, and ordinary citizens to join the demonstrations at great risk. At a certain point, police even resorted to shooting at protesters from helicopters, with stray bullets killing people inside their homes. For the students and their allies, there was no turning back. [End Page 70]

What had started as a movement against job discrimination now had only one goal—Sheikh Hasina’s resignation. Students Against Discrimination had planned a march to Dhaka on August 6. On August 4, so many casualties were reported that organizers moved the march up a day. On August 5, hundreds of thousands of ordinary citizens, party activists, and students defied curfew and attempted to cross the barricades to enter the capital even as the police continued to heed an order to shoot on sight. Soon, the military retreated. With protesters outnumbering the police, the crowds marched toward Ganabhaban, the prime minister’s official residence. Sheikh Hasina was given 45 minutes by the army chief to flee to safety as the crowds, only a few miles away, headed in her direction.

A Culture of Authoritarianism

The powerful images of the July uprising are a testament to the tenacity of young Bangladeshis over those weeks as well as the jubilation of the protesters who stormed the National Parliament House and Ganabhaban after Hasina fled. What particularly stood out in the carnivalesque celebration of political freedom was rampant iconoclasm. Within hours of the regime’s fall, crowds had vandalized numerous statues of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, looted his historic house in Dhaka, which was also a museum, and set it ablaze, and defaced the portraits and placards of Sheikh Hasina on public buildings. These collective attempts at erasure make more sense when placed against the backdrop of a political cultism that shaped the Awami League’s gradual turn toward authoritarianism.

In a carefully crafted narrative that married a cynical understanding of secular patriotism and bombastic claims to democracy and development, the image of Mujib as the “eternal sovereign” was at the center of what Arild Ruud describes as a civil religion under the Awami League.10 Representations of the founding father could be found everywhere. From giant statues and portraits to his likeness on postage stamps and currency, Mujib iconography was not simply sacrosanct, it was protected by law.11 In 2011, the Awami League–led government amended the 1972 Constitution to acknowledge Sheikh Mujibur Rahman as the “Father of the Nation.” Section 5 of the Fifteenth Amendment Act added that his portrait should be preserved and displayed at all government and semi-governmental offices, autonomous bodies, statutory public authorities, educational institutions of all stripes, and Bangladeshi embassies and missions abroad. The controversial 2018 Digital Security Act also included provisions for punishing anyone caught spreading or instigating negative propaganda via digital devices about the liberation war or Mujib. The penalty could run as high as a fourteen-year prison sentence or a fine of up to roughly US$120,000. [End Page 71]

The regime’s obsession with representation was deeply embedded in a Realpolitik. The Awami League and the BNP had alternated power since the end of President Hussain Muhammad Ershad’s military dictatorship (1982–90) in 1991, with both parties routinely compromising democratic ideals to consolidate control. Yet the Awami League’s quest for political hegemony following its 2009 electoral victory surpassed its own previous efforts. The decade and a half leading up to the July uprising was scarred by the crushing of free speech, free media, and political dissent; the politicization of the police, the bureaucracy, and the judiciary; and state-sponsored violence meted out against political opponents through extrajudicial killings, forced disappearances, and torture—hence Sheikh Hasina’s rule being described variously as “one-woman rule,” “electoral autocracy,” or a “hybrid regime.”12

Elections had already lost credibility long before the summer of 2024. The 2011 Fifteenth Amendment Act also repealed a constitutional provision for nonparty caretaker governments. This reform passed without input from the main opposition party and paved the way for a number of elections of dubious integrity. The caretaker system had been introduced in 1991 after the fall of military rule. It aimed to ensure free and fair elections under a neutral government headed by the most senior Chief Justice of the Supreme Court and composed of civil society members. The 2014, 2018, and 2024 national elections, which tightened Sheikh Hasina’s grip on power, were notorious for either abysmally low participation and rigged ballots or Awami League–delegated “independent” candidates simulating competition in lieu of authentic political opposition. The hijacking of people’s basic right and ability to choose political representatives only deepened popular resentment.

Whither Development?

As Bangladesh was gearing up for another lopsided election at the end of 2023, a national newspaper called infrastructure the only “glimmer of hope in a perilous year.”13 The infrastructural achievements of the past decade happened in parallel with the consolidation of a Bangladeshi version of populist authoritarianism, a set of concurrent trends that Harry Blair calls the development-democracy paradox.14 With the construction of the Padma Bridge, the country’s longest river bridge, and the metro rail, the Awami League government was relying on expensive megaprojects to shore up political support. The prestige and political rewards of showy infrastructure projects are impossible to ignore in many postcolonial countries, and Bangladesh has been no exception. And yet, as I argued in early 2024, a country that successfully challenged years of military rule could ill afford to sacrifice its hard-earned democracy for the sake of flashy development. The attack on the metro stations at the peak of the 2024 uprising might have fulfilled the prophecy that no development [End Page 72] initiative, regardless of its populist appeal, could compensate for, or survive, the suspension of democratic ideals.15

In a March 2024 interview with the regime-friendly policy publication Whiteboard, Sheikh Hasina laid out her development vision: “A true representative of the people has the insights to develop a country, which an elite decision-maker is incapable of doing. Development is a political agenda. You cannot delink development from politics.” The last sentence describes the modus operandi of her government for more than fifteen years, though Hasina meant it in a very different way. She distanced her regime’s policies from those of the out-of-touch military rulers of the 1970s and 1980s, and asserted that “politics shouldn’t be about personal gains and power misuse.”16

Still, the corruption around Hasina’s megaprojects and many others has long been an open secret. It was widely believed that people close to Sheikh Hasina, through politics or kinship, were pocketing hefty kickbacks from signature projects. But journalists, news outlets, and even TikTokers were penalized for questioning the cost, quality, or timeline of the projects. The prime minister’s “dream project,” the Padma Bridge, came under early scrutiny when the World Bank withdrew funds due to credible allegations of fiscal malfeasance. The metro-rail project, too, cost more than comparable transit systems in Indonesia (one-and-a-half times more) and India (almost twice as much) and took considerably longer to complete.17

Furthermore, billions have been siphoned out of the country, especially to Canada and the United Arab Emirates, by loan defaulters and money launderers friendly with the regime. By mid-2022, the economy was in serious crisis. New loans from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) added to the existing burden of foreign debt, which surpassed $100 billion in late 2023.18 To reduce the number of nonperforming loans, something the IMF had urged, the country’s central bank forged the books and loosened its write-off policy. By doing so, Bangladesh Bank not only wiped out a large number of those loans, but it let the defaulters off the hook. By April 2024, the country’s foreign-exchange reserves had dwindled below the IMF-recommended $19.3 billion. The result was double-digit inflation. The price of daily essentials skyrocketed, exacerbating food insecurity and shortening life expectancy among the country’s most vulnerable.

Foreign-media investigations added credence to what most Bangladeshis knew either instinctively or through the vibrant rumor mill. “All the Prime Minister’s Men,” a 2021 Al Jazeera exposé, included undercover footage of high-level corruption that could be traced back to the very top of the country’s political hierarchy.19 Two brothers featured in the documentary belonged to the so-called Ahmed Clan, a onetime Dhaka street gang that provided security to Hasina when she was an opposition leader. The pair fled the country after killing a political rival in [End Page 73] the 1980s. Decades later, the brothers were rewarded for their steadfast loyalty: In 2018, the eldest, General Aziz Ahmed, became head of the military, and his younger brother received a presidential pardon. They eventually gained access to lucrative government contracts and were involved in the sale of senior government posts, including on the national police force, in exchange for cash and security. In secret recordings obtained by Al Jazeera, one Ahmed brother claimed that his work was sanctioned by the prime minister herself.

Blithely ignoring this and many other reports, leaks, and exposés, Hasina maintained that her government strongly opposed corruption. In July 2024, she publicly addressed a scandal brewing in her own household when news broke that one of her household servants had amassed a multimillion-dollar fortune through bribery and lobbying: “The man worked in my house, he was a peon, now he owns Tk 4 billion. He can’t move without a helicopter … How has he earned so much money? I took action immediately after knowing this.”20 For most Bangladeshis, these performances of transparency and accountability were just that—performances. They meant little in a country where greed and corruption were both blatant and rampant, while most people were struggling simply to afford basic necessities. It is in this context that students’ anger erupted over the suspected political calculus behind the quota system.

From Chhatra to Chhatra-Janata

South Asia witnessed vibrant student activism during the anticolonial struggles of the early to mid-twentieth century and later during Maoist insurgencies in Bengal in the 1960s and 1970s. Still, the student as a formidable figure in national politics has not always thrived amid mainstream political machinations—except in Bangladesh. Here, the chhatra, or student, has remained a powerful source of political hope. The 1969 people’s movement against the military dictatorship of Pakistan’s second president, Ayub Khan, had famously unified student activists from both West Pakistan and East Pakistan (now Bangladesh). The 1990 democracy movement against the Ershad dictatorship and the 2007 protests against a military-backed caretaker government both began as student-led movements and ultimately toppled regimes. Likewise, the 2018 quota-reform movement and road-safety protests the same year were also steered by young people—often teenagers—whose primary identity was that of a student.

Through sheer grit and impressive organizing, the student coalition that led the July 2024 uprising once again highlighted the political heft of the student as a sovereign political agent. This was acknowledged by the recruitment of some of the student organizers to serve as advisors to the interim government, a first in Bangladeshi politics. But the chhatra identity has also been mobilized cynically by those in power, including [End Page 74] in the summer of 2024. Authorities often questioned the protesters’ student identity and thereby dismissed their political agency when they took part in violent street protests or fought back against law enforcement. At times the student protesters would explicitly distinguish themselves from the chhatra of the Bangladesh Chhatra League (the student arm of the Awami League) or the tokai, a moniker for street urchins made famous by a long-running magazine cartoon from the 1980s. In everyday parlance, the tokai is a symbol of urban poverty, illiteracy, and vagrancy. Clearly, a presumed innocence still undergirded, and protected, the category of chhatra.

In fact, it was the chhatra-janata (translated somewhat awkwardly as “student-people” or “student-citizen”) who emerged as the key agent of political change. Joined together, these words signify both political hope and boundless potential, at once embodying the paradoxes and possibilities of the people, the mobs, and the masses. The chhatra-janata appears frequently in contemporary commentaries on collective politics in Bangladesh as a sort of avatar for the popular will.21 The July 2024 uprising was no exception: From the giant headlines in Bengali dailies the day after Sheikh Hasina’s resignation to Wikipedia entries on the July uprising or the Ministry of Health’s website listing the number of deaths and injuries, the 2024 insurrection has been described as an event that fused these two political beings. This was not something that was realized only in hindsight. Chhatra-janata had been invoked amid the uprising. Asif Mahmud, one of the main coordinators of Students Against Discrimination and now an advisor to the interim government, wrote on his Facebook page the day before the government collapsed: “This student-citizen uprising will continue until the fall of Sheikh Hasina. Tomorrow is the ‘March to Dhaka.’ Travel to Dhaka now to witness history. Join the ultimate fight.”22 The Chhatra-janata, then, was a symbol of the uprising’s wide appeal and signaled its rise above ossified ideologies. With ordinary Bangladeshis both wary and weary of party politics, the hyphenated agent of political change bridged the divisions long manipulated by mainstream political forces.

Reform or Revolution?

In 2020, in these pages, Harry Blair asked of Bangladesh, “Can hope for democracy survive what looks to be a lengthy authoritarian winter?”23 The “monsoon revolution” of 2024, or what I have called here the July uprising, would surely be a resounding yes to that question. On August 8, three days after the collapse of the Awami League regime, an interim government was sworn in with Muhammad Yunus as its chief advisor. It was Students Against Discrimination who requested Yunus to take on the position of the de facto leader of a newly imagined polity.

A Nobel Peace Prize winner with a focus on development, Yunus has [End Page 75] long enjoyed broad local acceptance and international recognition despite a strained relationship with the Awami League regime, particularly Sheikh Hasina. The interim government, made up of technocrats, lawyers, academics, and development workers, with students in advisory positions, has already taken a number of steps to fix the economy and reform the state. One of its main tasks has been to create the conditions for a free and fair national election, which it claimed would be possible only after serious house-cleaning.

Creating the Constitutional Reform Commission was a significant step toward this end.24 Whether to rewrite, revise, or discard the constitution has been one of the most hotly debated topics since the changing of the guard in national politics. It was perhaps on this question that a unique tension came to the fore—not, as one might expect, between reform and revolution but between the desire for regime change through credible elections and the call for postrevolution reform. A number of political parties, including the BNP, belonged in the first camp. The party’s leadership dismissed the need to rewrite the constitution—which was drafted in 1972 but has been amended a number of times since, mostly to disastrous results—remaining on the side of constitutional continuity. The BNP’s opposition to the students’ demand for the removal of the president is in keeping with this position.25

Four months into the interim government’s tenure, the student leadership was still rejecting what it considered a Mujibist (mujibbadi) constitution.26 Indeed, the call for a new basic law topped the list of five demands that Students Against Discrimination released on 22 October 2024.27 Some of the student leaders considered the 1972 Constitution, drafted without elected representatives or popular input, as the “original sin” and rejected the ready association between an elected government and a democratic one.28 Also on the list of demands were the immediate removal of the president, the voiding of the last three national elections, and the proclamation of a new republic in the “spirit” of the July uprising (abbhuthyan) and the July revolution (biplab). The word “spirit” appeared on the list in English, reflecting a conscious choice to move away from the Bengali word chetona (literally, spirit), which is now deeply tied to the political discourse of the Awami League, especially in the form of muktijuddher chetona, the spirit of the liberation war.

How will this tension between the country’s largest political party’s vocal demand for regime change through elections and the student coalition’s simultaneously revolutionary and reformist impulses ultimately play out? Ordinary Bangladeshis have been cautiously optimistic. Most are still struggling with the rising cost of living, not to mention a law-and-order situation in disarray because of a demoralized police force and familiar signs of vengeful retributions. At the same time, the transition government has been working steadily but slowly. Still, the streets of Dhaka in the days and months that followed the bloody uprising were [End Page 76] crowded with every possible community of interest, from ready-made garment factory workers to bureaucrats to religious minorities and ethnic groups. They staged regular sit-ins on busy streets, halted traffic, and demanded salaries, pay raises, job security, rights, recognition, and everything in between. Democracy in Bangladesh still needs work, but politics has indeed come back.

Nusrat Sabina Chowdhury

Nusrat Sabina Chowdhury is associate professor of anthropology at Amherst College. She is the author of Paradoxes of the Popular: Crowd Politics in Bangladesh (2019).

NOTES

1. In October 2024, the Human Rights Support Society identified 986 deaths between July and October, of which 868 have been identified. This included those who were injured during the protests as well as 51 members of law enforcement. See “At Least 986 Killed in July Uprising,” Daily Star, 25 October 2024, www.thedailystar.net/news/bangladesh/rights/news/least-986-killed-july-uprising-3736086.

2. Lisa Mitchell, Hailing the State: Indian Democracy between Elections (Durham: Duke University Press, 2023).

3. “The Plot Thickens over Calls for the President to Quit,” Daily Star, 24 October 2024, https://images.thedailystar.net/news/bangladesh/news/the-plot-thickens-over-callsthe-president-quit-3734951.

4. Rozina Islam, “Govt to Retrieve Allowance with Interest from Fake Freedom Fighters,” Prothom Alo, 19 June 2024, https://en.prothomalo.com/bangladesh/l2bn9v1urt.

5. “Bangladesh Protesters Make Defiant Call for March on Dhaka,” Al Jazeera, 5 August 2024, www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/5/bangladesh-protesters-make-defiantcall-for-march-on-dhaka.

6. Nusrat Sabina Chowdhury, Paradoxes of the Popular: Crowd Politics in Bangladesh, 1st ed. (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2019).

7. For more on the figure of the “collaborator,” see Naeem Mohaiemen, “History Is Hard Work, but Are We Willing?” Forum Magazine, March 2013, https://alalodulal.org/2013/03/04/history/.

8. Navine Murshid, “Searching for Answers: Stitching Together News During the Internet ‘Blackout,'” Dhaka Tribune, 25 July 2024, www.dhakatribune.com/opinion/oped/352660/searching-for-answers.

9. Pierre Prakash, “Bangladesh on Edge After Crushing Quota Protests,” Crisis Group, 25 July 2024, www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-asia/bangladesh/bangladeshedge-after-crushing-quota-protests; Tathira Baatul, “Abu Sayed’s Last Stand,” Slightly Political (Substack newsletter), 1 August 2024, slightlypolitical.substack.com/p/abusayeds-last-stand.

10. Arild Engelsen Ruud, “Bangabandhu as the Eternal Sovereign: On the Construction of a Civil Religion,” Religion 54, no. 4 (2022): 532–49.

11. Nusrat Sabina Chowdhury, “A Second Coming: The Specular and the Spectacular 50 Years On,” South Asia Chronical 10 (2020): 31–58, www.iaaw.hu-berlin.de/de/region/suedasien/publikationen/sachronik/02-focus-chowdhury-nusrat-sabina-a-second-coming.pdf.

12. Human Rights Watch, “Bangladesh: Repression, Security Force Abuses Discredit Elections,” 11 January 2024, www.hrw.org/news/2024/01/11/bangladesh-repressionsecurity-force-abuses-discredit-elections; Ali Riaz and Md Sohel, How Autocrats Rise: Sequences of Democratic Backsliding (Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan, 2024); Arild Engelsen Ruud and Mubashar Hasan, eds., Masks of Authoritarianism: Hegemony, Power and Public Life in Bangladesh (Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan, 2022).

13. Star Business Report, “2023: Infrastructure Was a Glimmer of Hope in a Perilous Year,” Daily Star, 31 December 2023, www.thedailystar.net/business/news/2023-infrastructure-was-glimmer-hope-perilous-year-3507106.

14. Harry Blair, “The Bangladesh Paradox,” Journal of Democracy 31 (October 2020): 138–50.

15. Nusrat Sabina Chowdhury, “Bangladesh in 2022 and 2023: Democracy and Disillusionment,” Asian Survey 64 (March–April 2024): 321–29.

16. “The Politics of Development: A Conversation with Sheikh Hasina,” Whiteboard (March 2024).

17. Monorom Polok and Md Shamsul Hoque, “‘Corruption Is Hijacking Our Development Process,'” Daily Star, 29 October 2024, www.thedailystar.net/opinion/views/news/corruption-hijacking-our-development-process-3739291.

18. Ali Riaz, “Is the Bangladesh Success Story Unraveling?” Atlantic Council, 2 May 2024, www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/is-the-bangladesh-success-story-unraveling/.

19. Alessandro Ford, “Al Jazeera: Bangladesh PM Close to Dhaka Mafia Family,” Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project, 4 February 2021, www.occrp.org/en/news/al-jazeera-bangladesh-pm-close-to-dhaka-mafia-family.

20. “Once a Peon at My Home, Now Owns Tk 4 Billion: PM Hasina,” Prothom Alo, 14 July 2024, https://en.prothomalo.com/bangladesh/dt7pjqi94c.

21. Chowdhury, Paradoxes of the Popular.

22. “Bangladesh Protesters Make Defiant Call for March on Dhaka,” Al Jazeera, 5 August 2024, www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/5/bangladesh-protesters-make-defiantcall-for-march-on-dhaka.

23. Blair, “Bangladesh Paradox.”

24. On 5 November 2024, the commission opened its website (https://crc.legislative-div.gov.bd/), which solicited public opinion on constitutional reforms that could be submitted anonymously.

25. The latest protests erupted when, four months after the fall of the regime, the president claimed he did not know if Sheikh Hasina had been able to resign before fleeing. In an interview with a newspaper editor, he said he never saw the document. Students Against Discrimination interpreted this as an Awami League strategy to question the constitutional legitimacy of the interim government.

26. Sarwar Tusher, inline graphic [The BNP and its postuprising confusion], Samakal, 2 September 2024.

27. The list of demands was shared with the author by a member of Students Against Discrimination in a personal communication on 24 October 2024.

28. Tusher, inline graphic [The BNP and its postu prising confusion].

Copyright © 2025 National Endowment for Democracy and Johns Hopkins University Press

And then there were three: The race to succeed Nancy Pelosi takes shape

A rock ’em, sock ’em campaign seems ready to ensue in San Francisco’s first competitive congressional race since 1987

A person in a blue shirt and striped tie stands outdoors in front of a tree, looking at the camera. by Joe Eskenazi November 24, 2025 (MissionLocal.org)

Three people speak at separate events: a woman by a microphone, a man at a podium, and another man holding a microphone and gesturing with his hand.
(From left to right) District 1 Supervisor Connie Chan, Saikat Chakrabarti, and Sen. Scott Wiener are officially in the running to succeed Rep. Nancy Pelosi.

Will San Franciscans be voting on whether to put cars on the Great Highway again next year?

This seems to be a question akin to: Will Mayor Lurie post internet videos of himself drinking coffee? 

In short: Yes, you can count on another Great Highway ballot measure in 2026.

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All of San Francisco has the next several months to practice their bad Al Pacino “Just when I thought I was out, they pulled me back in” impressions.

Will this ballot measure win? No. Not even the people who will be ardently backing it expect it to win. So why do it? 

A drive along the Great Highway was more than just a scenic oceanside trip. It also got you someplace. With this ballot measure, the reverse will be true: It’s not so much about the destination. It’s about the trip. Confused? Don’t be. Here’s what we wrote on Nov. 3:   

Valencia Cyclery 62325

Nobody seems to think a ballot measure in 2026 to reopen the highway would pass. But if such a measure were to be put before the electorate, and if a bloc of Chinese voters ran to the polls, and if there were a Chinese candidate running in a high-profile race — well, that would surely be interesting …

All of this happened, more or less. 

With Supervisor Connie Chan’s entry last week into the race to succeed Rep. Nancy Pelosi, all of this is also becoming less and less of a hypothetical. So, expect such a ballot measure. But expect more ballot measures, and not just about the Great Highway.

Expect one in June for the primary and one in November. Surely one will be about putting cars back on the highway and the other will be about … zoning? Or maybe marijuana dispensaries on Taraval? So long as it gets large numbers of motivated Westside Chinese voters out to the polls, does it matter? 

Back to the Picture SR

Chan joined State Sen. Scott Wiener, wealthy former tech executive and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez lieutenant Saikat Chakrabarti, and several minor candidates who, perhaps, lost a bet, to run for California’s 11th congressional district.

It will be an interesting race, in the “May you live in interesting times” meaning of that word. But also a somewhat maddening one. 

It harks to a scene in the film “L’Armee des Ombres” in which French Resistance fighters realize they have to kill a collaborator. But they’ve never done it before. And they don’t know how.

11/24 - 12/1

Nobody still in the business has run a real San Francisco congressional race. Pelosi has held this seat since 1987. There hasn’t been a serious and competitive race for two generations.

The rules in federal races are different from state, which are different from municipal. The candidates and their strategists will have to figure this one out as they go. And we’re all along for the ride. 

A woman in a bright pink blazer speaks at a podium with a green emblem, gesturing with her right hand against a dark background.
Rep. Nancy Pelosi receives the Leo T. McCarthy Award from the University of San Francisco on Nov. 21st, 2024 at Hyatt Regency in San Francisco. Photo by Jessica Monroy for Drew Altizer Photography

At the 2006 White House Correspondents Dinner, Stephen Colbert, in his right-wing blowhard persona, took the piss out of President George W. Bush. 

11/1-11/27

“The greatest thing about this man is he’s steady. You know where he stands,” said Colbert. “He believes the same thing Wednesday that he believed on Monday, no matter what happened on Tuesday. Events can change; this man’s beliefs never will.” 

This was not meant as a compliment. Bush, who was to critical thinking what he is to portraiture, understood this.   

You could say the same thing about Wiener, though. In this case, however, it is a compliment.

Wiener is not looking for splashy causes to hitch his wagon to. He has held a core set of beliefs on housing policy, streamlining, equality, etc. for decades, and has soldiered on through the bad times and the good. 

We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: Voters, it seems, value ideological consistency. Until you disagree with them. And then you’re on your own. 

So, Wiener believed what he believed on Monday and again on Wednesday. But, on Tuesday, San Francisco closed down the Great Highway and recalled Supervisor Joel Engardio.

And, for whatever reason, Wiener chose to antagonize the city’s most volatile voters at their moment of triumph, haranguing them on the day of the recall election for “freezing the city in amber” and acting to “deeply harm San Francisco and San Franciscans.” 

The fate of a windswept highway and upzoning in the avenues are now galvanizing political forces. City leaders have taken to selling the upzoning plan not on its merits but by promising that the state of California will give it to this city good and hard if we fail to pass it. 

Wiener was essentially the legislative dentist creating the sharp-toothed mandates that would be used to do this. This one could come back to bite him. 

So, Scott Wiener may have a brewing Westside problem. Some of the voters who most emphatically pushed him to victories vs. Jane Kim and Jackie Fielder may now be smarting over the Great Highway, upzoning and recall issues.

It will be a potential bellwether to see where more conservative groups, like the Chinese American Democratic Club, which supported Wiener in the past, fall this time.    

But, if you were a betting person, he’s still the favorite (if you’re betting on the others: Get odds). Wiener has, by far, the best name recognition and nobody but nobody will work harder.

He has a stronghold in District 8, the neighborhood that consistently has the highest voter turnout, and is also the only significant moderate or LGBTQ candidate in the race. It is hard to conceive of him not finishing first in the primary and nigh-impossible to conceive of him not finishing in the all-important top-two.

Is it his race to lose? Possibly. Could he lose it? Definitely.  

Vintage illustration of the U.S. Capitol building in Washington, D.C., with an early automobile parked on the street in front.

The roadmap to a Connie Chan victory, meanwhile, is an old and familiar one. In fact, in the same year that Pelosi first won her congressional seat, Art Agnos won a mayor’s race with a coalition of progressive voters and the Asian community — and the Asian community is now much larger. 

Chan, in fact, has a potentially larger base to draw from than Wiener: Asian/Chinese voters, the Westside and then an assortment of Great Highway refuseniks, disgruntled neighborhood dwellers and others who are chafing against what used to be referred to as “Downtown.” 

Within that coalition are conservatives, even Republicans. Wiener is a bête noire for voters who never turn off Fox News and go to people like Megyn Kelly for their fair and balanced news.

There is an unintended symbiotic relationship here, in which right-wing loons and provocateurs generate millions of page views by decrying Wiener as a menace because of his advocacy for trans people and participation in gay street festivals; Wiener then reminds San Francisco voters that he is the bête noire of right-wing loons and provocateurs.  

Less red-pilled conservatives, meanwhile, may gravitate to Chan because of Wiener’s YIMBY housing policies. 

There is a precedent for this: When Kevin de León quixotically took on Sen. Dianne Feinstein in 2018, he outperformed the incumbent in red counties, despite being objectively more liberal than Feinstein.

Conservatives voted against the more conservative Feinstein because of either policy disagreements or personal animus, instead siding with the lesser-known liberal. 

This will be something to keep an eye on. But a Chan victory, by and large, requires her to do big numbers in the Chinese community, which would potentially negate Wiener’s LGBT stronghold in District 8. 

Would 60 percent be enough? Maybe not. It may take even better numbers than that. Those totals will be hard to produce. But nobody said running for Nancy Pelosi’s seat would be easy. 

Mayor London Breed, flanked by House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and others including Supervisor Ronen at a ribbon cutting ceremony at Horace Mann Buena Vista’s new soccer field. Sept. 2018 Photo by Abraham Rodriguez.

As for Chakrabarti, he is a young, energetic, charismatic — and extraordinarily wealthy — wild card.

He, too, has a lane: San Franciscans have already proven they’ll vote for wealthy non-politicians, even one who isn’t charismatic. Chakrabarti definitely has charisma to spare — and a $167 million smile.

Insofar as the outsider who wants to shake things up is a viable pitch, Chakrabarti is a viable (self-funding) candidate.

But Chakrabarti’s lane is narrow. Voters in search of a progressive candidate with a record can vote for Chan. Voters in search of a tech-savvy urbanist with a record can vote for Wiener. 

Chakrabarti is also in the unusual position of appealing to San Francisco voters who gravitate to national left-wing politics without yet having the backing of San Francisco voters who gravitate to San Francisco left-wing politics.

As we’ve noted before, while any insurgent left-wing candidate (even one without matinee-idol looks and a winning smile) would want to liken himself to New York City mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani, this isn’t yet something Chakrabarti can reasonably do.

He got off on a bad foot with the local Democratic Socialists of America by putting money into unseating the only DSA supervisor, Dean Preston. Chakrabarti also donated to the campaign of District 11 candidate Michael Lai.  

Chakrabarti can certainly win over elements of the city’s left — and, for that matter, YIMBYs. But the years-in-the-making army of DSA precinct-walkers of the sort that undergirded Mamdani’s victory will not materialize. He will have to find a new and different way of winning. 

To an extent, every candidate will. They will also be facing issues that no San Francisco candidate has dealt with in decades, if ever. This is a federal election, so Israel policy is, finally, germane. But not just Israel policy: If you don’t know the candidates’ One China policy, expect to by June. 

The candidates and their strategists will have to figure this one out as they go. And we’re all along for the ride. 

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Joe Eskenazi

getbackjoejoe@gmail.com

Managing Editor/Columnist. Joe was born in San Francisco, raised in the Bay Area, and attended U.C. Berkeley. He never left.

“Your humble narrator” was a writer and columnist for SF Weekly from 2007 to 2015, and a senior editor at San Francisco Magazine from 2015 to 2017. You may also have read his work in the Guardian (U.S. and U.K.); San Francisco Public Press; San Francisco Chronicle; San Francisco Examiner; Dallas Morning News; and elsewhere.

He resides in the Excelsior with his wife and three (!) kids, 4.3 miles from his birthplace and 5,474 from hers.

The Northern California branch of the Society of Professional Journalists named Eskenazi the 2019 Journalist of the Year.More by Joe Eskenazi

How billionaires took over American politics

Story by Beth Reinhard, Naftali Bendavid, Clara Ence Morse, Aaron Schaffer (MSN.com)

New York City billionaire John Catsimatidis has long been immersed in politics. But last year the Republican real estate and oil tycoon donated more money than he ever had before — $2.4 million to support Donald Trump and congressional Republicans, nearly twice as much as he gave in 2016.

Catsimatidis said he feels a growing urgency to try to influence the course of American politics, given the wide divergence between the two parties.

“If you’re a billionaire, you want to stay a billionaire,” said Catsimatidis, whose net worth is estimated at $4.5 billion. It’s not just about his own wealth, he said, adding, “I worry about America and the way of life we have.”

In an era defined by major political divisions and massive wealth accumulation for the richest Americans, billionaires are spending unprecedented amounts on U.S. politics. Dozens have stepped up their political giving in recent years, leading to a record-breaking surge of donations by the ultrarich in 2024. Since 2000, political giving by the wealthiest 100 Americans to federal elections has gone up almost 140 times, well outpacing the growing costs of campaigns, a Washington Post analysis found.Related video: Which US States Have The Most Billionaires? (VideoElephant – Video)

Which US States Have The Most Billionaires?

In 2000, the country’s wealthiest 100 people donated about a quarter of 1 percent of the total cost of federal elections, according to a Post analysis of data from OpenSecrets. By 2024, they covered about 7.5 percent, even as the cost of such elections soared. In other words, roughly 1 in every 13 dollars spent in last year’s national elections was donated by a handful of the country’s richest people.

The richest 100 Americans spent on average $21 million in federal elections between 2000 and 2010.

Court rulings in 2010 allowed unlimited spending by unions and corporations, and created super PACs.

Over the past decade, spending by these billionaires rose steadily — until 2024, when it increased rapidly, crossing the $1 billion threshold.

Over the past quarter-century, political, legal and economic changes have reshaped the relationship between wealth and political power in America. Economists say wealth is now more concentrated at the very top than at any time since the Gilded Age. The tech and market revolutions of recent decades have created riches on an unprecedented scale. Changing norms on executive compensation and lower-tax policies under Republican and Democratic administrations have helped insulate those fortunes. And in three landmark decisions, starting with 2010’s Citizens United vs. FEC, federal courts gutted post-Watergate campaign finance restrictions, clearing the way for donors to contribute unlimited money to elections.Your Book, No Strings Attached - Self-Publish Your Dream Book - Dreams Don’t Self-Publish

As a result, U.S. politicians are more dependent on the largesse of the billionaire class than ever before, giving one-four-hundredth of 1 percent of Americans extraordinary influence over which politicians and policies succeed. Political scientists and campaign finance watchdogs also say big money is driving up campaign costs and eroding public confidence in American democracy.

In the 2022 Arizona Senate race, for instance, billionaire venture capitalist Peter Thiel helped a friend and former employee, political novice Blake Masters, win a competitive Republican primary contest against the sitting state attorney general and a self-funding millionaire by pouring $15 million into a super PAC backing his campaign. Masters’s political consultant, Chad Willems, recalled seeing the first super-PAC-funded attack ad against a rival.

“I was delighted. That’s an honest answer,” Willems said, though he added that Masters’s loss to the well-funded Democratic incumbent, Sen. Mark Kelly, shows that support from a billionaire doesn’t guarantee success. “Things have gotten a lot more expensive, and so you are relying on fundraising a lot more.”These Animal Socks Are The Gift Everyone Will Love This Christmas

Former representative Cheri Bustos (Illinois), who headed House Democrats’ campaign arm during the 2020 cycle, said an individual’s money — or the ability to raise it — is a big factor when parties seek candidates for office.

“Part of what you look at when you recruit is the ability to raise money,” Bustos said. “It’s not just being a self-funder, it’s more: Do you have access to people who could make big contributions? Do you have those kinds of connections?”

Donations are not the only path to power for the ultra-wealthy; following Trump’s lead, some billionaires are parlaying their financial clout into public office. At least 44 of the 902 U.S. billionaires on Forbes magazine’s 2025 list, or their spouses, have been elected or appointed to state or federal office in the past 10 years, from high-level Cabinet posts to more obscure advisory board seats, a review by The Post found.

This powerful clique includes Howard Lutnick, a former investment banker who now serves as Trump’s commerce secretary; JB Pritzker, an heir to the Hyatt hotel empire and the Democratic governor of Illinois; and Paul Atkins, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, who is married to a roofing heiress.

7.5% of dollars spent in the 2024 cycle were donated by the 100 wealthiest Americans.

America’s 902 billionaires are collectively worth more than $6.7 trillion, the most wealth ever amassed by the nation’s ultra-rich, according to Forbes. A little more than a decade ago, there were half as many billionaires in the U.S., with a total worth estimated at $2.6 trillion when adjusted for inflation. Elon Musk, already the world’s richest man, recently secured an incentive-heavy $1 trillion pay package, which Tesla shareholders approved to keep him at the company for the next decade.

Overall, billionaires have rallied behind Trump’s Republican Party. More than 80 percent of the federal campaign spending by the 100 wealthiest Americans in 2024 went to Republicans, The Post found. Trump himself raised 15 times as much from the 100 richest Americans in 2024 than he did during his first presidential campaign, in 2016. By comparison, Democrat Kamala Harris raised three times as much from the wealthiest in 2024 as Hillary Clinton did in 2016.

What changed? Republicans long characterized Silicon Valley as a bastion of liberalism. But over the past half-decade, many of tech’s wealthiest titans rebelled against the Biden administration’s criticism and policing of their industry. Last year, many tech barons threw their support behind the GOP, which they saw as more aligned with their often-libertarian ideals and their companies’ economic interests. Trump and his party actively wooed influential tech leaders, embracing cryptocurrency and promising to limit AI regulation. His vice president, JD Vance, formerly worked as a venture capitalist in San Francisco, forging ties to Thiel, former Google CEO Eric Schmidt and venture capitalist Marc Andreessen.

Musk is the starkest example of the shift. He accounted for a sizable portion of the uptick in political spending in 2024, doling out $294 million to help elect Trump and other Republicans in federal and state elections. Dozens of other tech or finance billionaires joined him, collectively giving about $509 million more to Republicans than to Democrats.

More than 80% of giving by the 100 wealthiest Americans in 2024 went to Republicans or conservative groups.

That was a dramatic swing from 2020, when billionaires who made their fortunes in tech or finance contributed about $186 million more to Democrats than to Republicans.

Trump’s sweeping agenda of tax cuts and deregulation, along with a sense that Democrats have embraced the far left, pushed other billionaires to align more with Republicans, said Marc Shuster, a Miami-based lawyer who represents multimillionaires and billionaires.

“They think the left has been taken over by Zohran Mamdanis,” Shuster said, pointing to the newly elected Democratic socialist mayor of New York. “I think they’ve shifted because a Democratic Party that used to stand for the working class is now immersed in gender ideology.”

“The progressive left of the Democratic Party is a socialist party,” said Thomas Peterffy, who founded an electronic brokerage firm and has a net worth of $57.3 billion, speaking from one of his homes in Aspen, Colorado. “The wealthiest people are business people, and they are surging to Trump because they understand how much better Trump is for a prosperous economy.”

Catsimatidis, a former Democrat who co-hosts a popular radio talk show with a Fox News vibe, said he doesn’t trust Democrats to handle illegal immigration, crime or the economy.

“Trump is making common-sense decisions that a businessman would do on behalf of the United States of America,” Catsimatidis said over dinner at the steakhouse across the street from the radio station he bought five years ago for $12.5 million. “The country was out of control.”

When Trump first ran for office in 2016, he pitched himself as someone whose personal fortune made him uncorruptible, and he promised to break the power of elites in Washington and “drain the swamp.” A decade later, many Americans on both sides of the political aisle tell pollsters they fear that the country has spun away from a healthy balance between political power and economic might, between the vote and the dollar. A Washington Post-Ipsos poll conducted in September found that a majority of Americans have a negative view of billionaires spending more money on elections, including about a third who said it is “very bad.”

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont), who for decades has raised alarms about the undue influence of the very rich, found a receptive audience this year as some 280,000 people attended his “Fighting Oligarchy” rallies in both red and blue states.

“People are very, very worried about where we are as a nation today,” Sanders said in an interview. “It has to do with a gut understanding that we’re living in a nation where ordinary people are struggling to put food on the table, pay rent, pay for health care, pay their electric bills, pay for their food … while people like [Elon] Musk and Larry Ellison and others are making billions every day.”

Freezing temperatures moved Donald Trump’s second inauguration indoors, leaving tens of thousands of people with tickets out in the cold on Jan. 20. Even some governors and foreign dignitaries were exiled to overflow areas.

But at least 17 billionaires, collectively worth more than $1 trillion, claimed coveted seats in the Capitol Rotunda — a historic concentration of wealth that seemed to herald a new class of American oligarchs, there to celebrate a president known for publicly rewarding his allies and punishing his opponents.

The three richest men in the world — Musk, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos (who owns The Washington Post) and Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg — took places of honor next to Trump’s family. The world’s fifth-richest man, Louis Vuitton executive Bernard Arnault, was there with his wife and two children. Several other billionaires were seated close by, including Apple CEO Tim Cook, former Marvel owner Isaac Perlmutter and media mogul Rupert Murdoch.How billionaires took over American politics

How billionaires took over American politics© Ricky Carioti/The Washington PostAt least 17 billionaires were seated in the Rotunda for Trump's swearing-in.

At least 17 billionaires were seated in the Rotunda for Trump’s swearing-in.© Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

“It was so striking and so out in the open that the rich people are running the country,” said former Wall Street executive Morris Pearl, who chairs Patriotic Millionaires, a group that has advocated raising taxes on the rich since the Obama administration and held a “How to Beat the Broligarchs” conference in April. “It used to be in the back rooms. … It became so clear in that moment.”

Billionaires didn’t acquire their influence in D.C. overnight. President Bill Clinton aggressively courted Wall Street, then signed a sweeping financial deregulation bill and a trade deal strongly backed by wealthy Americans. President George W. Bush also relied heavily on affluent donors, then pushed through tax cuts that benefited the rich, as well as the Troubled Asset Relief Program to bail out big banks. In 2008, Barack Obama became the first presidential candidate in the post-Watergate era to reject public campaign financing, opting out of the system’s spending limitations and instead raising huge sums from private donors.

Bush’s TARP and Obama’s Great Recession stimulus package ignited a populist backlash that persists to this day, paving the way for Trump’s message that despite his wealth, he shares ordinary Americans’ fury at a rigged system. Yet under Trump, the first billionaire president, the ultra-wealthy have set up shop inside the corridors of government more openly than ever before.

The president installed about a dozen billionaires in his current administration and tapped Musk, his biggest donor, to oversee massive layoffs of civil service employees. Trump’s Cabinet is the wealthiest in U.S. history, with a combined net worth of $7.5 billion, according to Forbes. That’s more than double the $3.2 billion net worth of Trump’s first Cabinet and 64 times the combined wealth held by Biden’s Cabinet.

Trump has proudly hosted billionaires at the newly gilded White House at least four times this fall, mingling with Google co-founder Sergey Brin, oilman Harold Hamm and hedge fund manager Bill Ackman. The wealthiest Americans are even helping to fund the administration’s priorities: At least 10 billionaires or their family foundations have contributed to a nonprofit organization for the construction of a $300 million ballroom that Trump is adding to the White House. During the recent government shutdown, billionaire Timothy Mellon reportedly gave $130 million to help pay the salaries of U.S. troops.

At the same time, Trump has championed a deregulation and tax cut agenda that is bringing huge benefits to wealthy Americans. Under Musk, DOGE (which stands for Department of Government Efficiency) slashed the regulatory state that polices — and infuriates — billionaires, along with their business activities. The IRS has lost thousands of workers, which watchdogs say cripples efforts to pursue tax cheats — reversing an expansion planned by the Biden administration. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, created to ensure that financial institutions treat their customers fairly, is on its deathbed. And Trump’s main legislative achievement, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, locked in lower tax rates for corporations and allowed the children of the super-rich to inherit $15 million tax-free, while cutting Medicaid programs that benefit the poor and the elderly.

The political might of the ultra-wealthy has limits. Several billionaires, including Catsimatidis, banded together to try to stop Mamdani, warning that his election would mean an economic cataclysm. But Mamdani prevailed, citing the billionaires’ opposition as a badge of honor. “We can respond to oligarchy and authoritarianism with the strength it fears, not the appeasement it craves,” he said during a fiery victory speech this month in New York.Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont), right, joins Zohran Mamdani at a campaign rally last month in Queens during the New York mayoral race. Both have railed against the power of the wealthy.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont), right, joins Zohran Mamdani at a campaign rally last month in Queens during the New York mayoral race. Both have railed against the power of the wealthy.© Andres Kudacki/Getty Images

Some activists and politicians on the left argue that the rising influence of the ultrarich is transforming the United States into an oligarchy. In his farewell address in January, President Joe Biden warned that “an oligarchy is taking shape in America of extreme wealth, power and influence.”

It is not always clear what liberals mean when they use the term. Oligarchy, or rule by the few, is most often associated with autocracies like Russia, which is ruled by President Vladimir Putin and a small group of cronies. In the U.S., the term is being adopted by those who argue that billionaires have attained a level of power they see at odds with traditional American democracy.

44 American billionaires or their spouses have held state or federal office since 2015

“There is a greater awareness on the part of voters of the role of wealth in the political system,” said Northwestern University political science professor Jeffrey Winters, who has studied oligarchs around the world. “And this has shifted the conversation away from words like donors, contributors and megadonors to oligarchs and oligarchy.”

The anti-billionaire message is being widely embraced by the Democratic Party’s mainstream, not just its left flank. As the government shutdown began in October, California Gov. Gavin Newsom posted, “Donald Trump wants you to pay more for your healthcare so he can give his billionaire buddies a tax cut.” Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic governor-elect in Virginia, attacked her opponent’s support for Trump’s tax policy in a campaign ad, saying, “You pay more so billionaires pay less.”

Mark Cuban, the billionaire Texas investor best known for his appearances on the “Shark Tank” reality television show, said Democrats should tone down their rhetoric condemning the wealthiest Americans. “Biden’s Democratic Party turned their back on successful business people, and it backfired,” said Cuban, whose net worth is estimated at $5.7 billion.

However Cuban, who supported Harris for president but said he didn’t donate to her, also said he believes that billionaires shouldn’t be allowed to spend unlimited sums on politics. “Either the quality of your ideas stands out or you buy influence, and I’d rather know it’s my ideas than the check I wrote,” said Cuban, who describes himself as an independent. “People do try to buy power, that’s obvious.”

Some prominent Republicans have begun to wrestle with their party’s ties to billionaires, particularly tech moguls, whom they accuse of suppressing conservative voices and exposing children to dangerous online content. When several tech leaders dined at the White House in September, Stephen K. Bannon, a former Trump adviser and an influential talk show host in the MAGA movement, lashed out.

“They’re all in for themselves,” he said on his “War Room” podcast. “And the day that we stumble — the day that we stumble — they’re going to be on the other side.”

Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Missouri) said in an interview that the GOP has not always sufficiently addressed the concerns of the working class, although he said Trump is moving the party in the right direction.

“A conservative party worth its salt is a party of the working person. I mean, that’s what it needs to be,” Hawley said. “What are you trying to conserve? You’re trying to conserve home, family, labor. … Right now, working people are really under assault.”

But given billionaires’ growing reach in American politics, it is far easier for politicians to denounce them than to escape their influence.

Democratic Texas state Rep. James Talarico, a Presbyterian seminarian, launched a campaign for the U.S. Senate in September using explicitly Christian language to excoriate billionaires, airing an attention-grabbing ad urging people to “start flipping tables” in emulation of Jesus expelling moneylenders from the temple in Jerusalem.

“There is probably no greater through line in the teachings and ministry of Jesus than concern for the poor and criticism of extreme wealth,” Talarico said in an interview. “There’s a recognition in our faith that hoarding resources is not only harmful to your neighbors, it’s also harmful to your own spiritual health and well-being.”

Yet Talarico has accepted tens of thousands in campaign funds from a pro-gambling PAC backed by Miriam Adelson, a billionaire casino mogul and major Republican donor. He defended taking the donations, saying he supports legalized gambling to raise tax revenue for public schools.

“It’s not that I will never sit down with a billionaire or work with a billionaire on an issue,” Talarico said. “All I’m saying is that we have to change the system so that those billionaires have far less influence in our political system.”

Methodology

To identify the richest 100 Americans, The Washington Post used the Forbes 400 lists from 2010 to 2025. For prior years, The Post used data compiled by researchers Ricardo Fernholz and Kara Hagler. The Post identified donors who were among the top 1,000 in federal elections for each cycle since 2000 using data provided by OpenSecrets. This data included giving to Federal Election Commission committees and Section 527 nonprofit groups. Giving by married couples was grouped together. All federal giving totals exclude giving to an individual’s own political campaign. Data on industries was based on Forbes’s billionaires list.

For donations from billionaires, The Post looked at federal and state-level political giving to candidates and ballot measures in all 50 states between 2015 and 2024, using data from OpenSecrets. This was supplemented with state PAC data from Transparency USA for 2017 through 2024 for 24 states.

The Post relied on OpenSecrets’ partisan classifications of federal data to analyze donation recipients and identified a donor as “primarily” supporting a party if at least 75 percent of their total giving went to candidates, committees or political nonprofits promoting Republican or Democratic ideology.

Donations to Trump and Democratic presidential candidates include giving to the Democratic National Committee, the Republican National Committee, campaign committees and affiliated PACs, and any super PACs or hybrid PACs where most independent expenditures went to influence the presidential race.

Net worth reflects wealth as of March 7, 2025, according to the Forbes billionaires list.

About this story

Reporting by Beth Reinhard, Naftali Bendavid, Clara Ence Morse and Aaron Schaffer. Illustrations by Tucker Harris. Graphics by Luis Melgar. Illustrations contain prop paper money.

Design and development by Tucker Harris. Design editing by Betty Chavarria. Photo editing by Christine T. Nguyen. Editing by Nick Baumann, Patrick Caldwell, Wendy Galietta and Anu Narayanswamy.